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Ikhtiar Trading Jurnal

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Ikhtiar

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Quote from: Ikhtiar on November 22, 2025, 10:33:39 PM
Today I attempted to sell Bitcoin with a stop-loss order placed at 85778.05 and a take-profit order at 83370.95. Bitcoin is in a fairly clear downtrend on the 15-month timeframe. The price decline is strongly visible on the left side of the chart, where the price fell sharply and then moved sideways in a prolonged consolidation. The 200-day moving average (MA200) is above the price, indicating that bearish pressure remains dominant. As long as the price remains below the MA, the primary bias remains downward, although there may be some minor corrections along the way.
My open sell position on Bitcoin hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $60.47. Bitcoin is currently bullish on the 15-month timeframe, and the trend has reversed from bearish to bullish. This can be seen from Bitcoin's movement, which is above the 200-day moving average (MA200).
#3781 - November 23, 2025, 08:39:50 PM
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Ikhtiar

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Quote from: Ikhtiar on November 22, 2025, 10:39:48 PM
Today I attempted to sell Litecoin with a stop-loss order placed at 83.79 and a take-profit order at 80.35. On the M15 chart, Litecoin's candlesticks moved within a narrow range, with the upper level close to the horizontal resistance line where the sell position was placed. During this phase, buyers appeared to be attempting to push the price higher, but were repeatedly held back and failed to break through the resistance area and the red moving average line. This indicates that buyers are not yet strong enough to change the market direction.
My open sell position on Litecoin hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $8.55. On the 15-day moving average (MTF), Litecoin's price appears to be declining after touching the nearest resistance area. A bearish candlestick with a fairly clear body indicates renewed selling pressure. However, there's a possibility that Litecoin will continue to rise as it remains above the 200-day moving average (MA200).
#3782 - November 23, 2025, 11:33:27 PM
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« Last Edit: November 23, 2025, 11:36:31 PM by Ikhtiar »

Ikhtiar

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Quote from: Ikhtiar on November 22, 2025, 10:42:09 PM
Today I attempted to buy Ethereum with a stop-loss order placed at 2717.96 and a take-profit order at 2810.41. Ethereum remains in a downtrend on the 15-month timeframe. This is evident from the price consistently moving below the red moving average line, which appears to be a long-term moving average (MA), possibly the 200-day moving average (MA200) or a variation thereof. This MA line is steadily declining, indicating that selling pressure has persisted for some time and shows no signs of a strong reversal. As long as the price remains below this line, the market bias remains dominated by sellers, despite occasional small retracements or price bounces.
My open buy position on Ethereum hit the take profit, resulting in a $2.25 profit. Etherium is currently trending bullish on the 15-month timeframe, and we can still look for buying opportunities. Although Ethereum appears to be declining, this is likely temporary and merely a correction.
#3783 - November 23, 2025, 11:35:52 PM
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« Last Edit: November 23, 2025, 11:38:38 PM by Ikhtiar »

Ikhtiar

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Quote from: Ikhtiar on November 22, 2025, 10:44:51 PM
Today I attempted to sell Ripple with a stop-loss order placed at 1.9777 and a take-profit order at 1.9085. Ripple's price on the M15 timeframe appears to be in a fairly prolonged downtrend. This is indicated by the red moving average line, which continues to decline and remains above the price. This condition indicates that the main market sentiment remains bearish. The previous decline was quite sharp, then the market entered a prolonged consolidation phase. This consolidation is evident from a series of candlesticks that move horizontally within a narrow range, although there are occasional long tails due to sudden selling pressure.
My open sell position on Riple hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $16.45. On the M15 chart, the red moving average line of Riple appears to be above the price. This confirms that the medium-term trend is indeed bullish, and there's still a possibility of a rebound today.
#3784 - November 23, 2025, 11:40:41 PM
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Today I attempted to buy EURUSD with a stop-loss at 1.1517 and a take-profit at 1.1540. The EURUSD price structure on the 15-month timeframe shows quite dynamic movement, with a long decline followed by a rebound and then consolidation. The thick red line crossing the chart represents a long-period moving average, most likely the 200-day SMA, which is often used as a reference for the main trend. In this context, the price is still generally moving around this line, so it doesn't yet show a clear bullish or bearish trend dominance. However, there are several important clues from the candlestick pattern's behavior relative to the moving average area.
#3785 - November 25, 2025, 02:30:07 AM
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#3786 - Today at 07:30:44 PM

Ikhtiar

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Today I attempted to buy GBPUSD with a stop-loss order placed at 1.3095 and a take-profit order at 1.3125. If we examine the GBPUSD chart in more detail on the right side of the M15 timeframe, the price doesn't show any major fluctuations. The candlesticks are moving closely together, indicating a small consolidation process before the market decides on its next direction. Consolidation near resistance usually indicates that the market is accumulating energy. If a breakout occurs, the upward movement is usually much stronger than normal. Conversely, failure to break through resistance could trigger a retracement to the support area near the 200-day moving average.
#3786 - November 25, 2025, 02:36:32 AM
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Today I attempted to sell the USDX with a stop-loss order placed at 100.26 and a take-profit order at 100.06. On the 15-month chart, the USDX frequently moved below the 200-day moving average (MA), indicating a weakening market bias. Occasionally, the price attempted to rise and break through the moving average, but was unable to sustain above it for long. The price's inability to maintain above the 200-day moving average indicates a lack of solid bullish momentum, leading to a more dominant, albeit less aggressive, bearish, trend.
#3787 - November 25, 2025, 02:40:00 AM
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Ikhtiar

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Today I attempted to buy gold with a stop-loss order placed at 4119.51 and a take-profit order at 4171.89. Gold on the 15-month timeframe is in a fairly strong upward trend after a prolonged sideways movement. The price structure on the left side of the chart appears to be moving sideways, with several attempts to break through the red moving average line, which appears to be the 200-day moving average (MA) as a medium-term trend reference. During this phase, the price remains directional, with candlesticks moving back and forth around the area. This reflects market uncertainty before finally finding new momentum to move in a clearer direction.
#3788 - November 25, 2025, 02:44:17 AM
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Today I attempted to buy GBPJPY with a stop-loss order at 205.03 and a take-profit order at 205.89. On the M15 chart, the GBPJPY price is currently very close to the moving average (MA) line, even appearing to break through it several times, but unable to maintain a significant distance above it. The price's movement around the MA indicates a market uncertainty. The trend bias remains unclear as the price lacks strong momentum from either buyers or sellers.
#3789 - November 25, 2025, 02:47:08 AM
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Ikhtiar

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Today I attempted to buy USDCAD with a stop-loss order placed at 1.4101 and a take-profit order at 1.4124. The USDCAD chart on the 15-month timeframe shows a sideways market trend with a weak bullish trend. The price appears to be consolidating between two key levels: the buy level, indicated by the green dotted line, and the stop-loss level, indicated by the red dotted line. Furthermore, there's a thick red line representing a long-period moving average, likely around the 200-day moving average (MA200), which provides an overview of the major medium-term trend. On the left side of the chart, the price briefly spiked upward, indicating strong buying pressure during that time period. However, after the spike, the price fell again and entered a prolonged consolidation phase. This pattern indicates that the market is losing momentum and is seeking a balance between buyers and sellers.
#3790 - November 25, 2025, 02:51:02 AM
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Ikhtiar

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Today I attempted to sell EURJPY with a stop-loss order placed at 180.90 and a take-profit order at 180.28. The EURJPY on the M15 timeframe clearly shows a downward market trend, as seen from its price structure and the 200-day moving average. Price movement from the left side of the chart shows a dominant downtrend, with a consistent pattern of lower highs and lower lows, indicating that selling pressure remains stronger than buying pressure.
#3791 - November 25, 2025, 02:53:40 AM
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Ikhtiar

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Today I attempted to sell USDJPY with a stop-loss order placed at 157.03 and a take-profit order at 156.45. On the M15 chart, USDJPY's price movement around the red moving average (MA) line showed some form of rejection. Each time the price touched or approached the red line, a candlestick with a relatively long upper shadow appeared, indicating renewed selling pressure in that area. This is a common characteristic of a healthy downtrend, where each retracement serves as an opportunity for sellers to re-enter the market.
#3792 - November 25, 2025, 02:55:49 AM
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Ikhtiar

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Today I attempted to buy USDCHF with my stop-loss placed at 0.8076 and take-profit at 0.8098. The USDCHF chart on the 15-day moving average (TF) shows market conditions tending to be in a moderate bullish phase, with a slowly but steadily rising price structure, particularly considering the consistent price position above the red moving average line, likely the 200-day moving average (MA200). When the price moves and stabilizes above this MA, the market is typically in an uptrend, although the strength of the increase can vary depending on the momentum of each session. The left side of the chart shows a fairly long downward phase, but then the price begins to rebound from the lower area and slowly approaches the 200-day moving average.
#3793 - November 25, 2025, 02:58:11 AM
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Ikhtiar

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Today I attempted to sell CADJPY with a stop-loss order placed at 111.29 and a take-profit order at 110.87. CADJPY on the M15 timeframe exhibited a downward trend since the beginning of the chart. This decline was evident in a series of long bearish candlesticks that consistently formed lower lows and lower highs. This trend then continued until the price approached the 200-day moving average (MA). As the price approached the 200-day moving average (MA), several candlesticks with relatively long upper shadows appeared. This pattern signaled rejection in that area, indicating that buyers attempted to push the price up but lacked sufficient strength to break through the dynamic resistance area.
#3794 - November 25, 2025, 03:01:35 AM
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Ikhtiar

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Quote from: Ikhtiar on November 25, 2025, 02:30:07 AM
Today I attempted to buy EURUSD with a stop-loss at 1.1517 and a take-profit at 1.1540. The EURUSD price structure on the 15-month timeframe shows quite dynamic movement, with a long decline followed by a rebound and then consolidation. The thick red line crossing the chart represents a long-period moving average, most likely the 200-day SMA, which is often used as a reference for the main trend. In this context, the price is still generally moving around this line, so it doesn't yet show a clear bullish or bearish trend dominance. However, there are several important clues from the candlestick pattern's behavior relative to the moving average area.
My open buy position on EURUSD hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $1.30. On the 15-month timeframe, EURUSD appears to be rising and has successfully broken through the resistance area at 1.1551. I believe EURUSD will continue to rise today.
#3795 - November 25, 2025, 11:31:08 PM
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