Ikhtiar Trading Jurnal

Posts: 20609 · #3751 - November 18, 2025, 11:55:26 PM

Today I attempted to sell NZDUSD with my stop-loss placed at 0.5663 and take-profit at 0.5648. NZDUSD on the M15 timeframe. After an initial period of volatility, the price experienced a significant decline, breaking through previous support levels. Despite a recovery attempt, the price failed to hold convincingly above the moving average (MA). The MA now acts as strong dynamic resistance; every time the price attempts to rise above this level, selling pressure reappears, pushing the price back down. This is typical of a market in a short-term downtrend, despite the movement being characterized by high volatility. The price pattern shows a series of lower peaks and troughs overall.

Posts: 20609 · #3752 - November 18, 2025, 11:59:52 PM

Today I tried to buy AUDUSD with a stop-loss at 0.6498 and a take-profit at 0.6526. AUDUSD is in a bullish bias on the M15 timeframe, which means a buy strategy would have a higher probability of success. Hopefully, I'll make a profit on AUDUSD today.

Posts: 20609 · #3753 - November 20, 2025, 12:00:08 PM

Today I attempted to sell EURUSD with my stop-loss placed at 1.1532 and take-profit at 1.1501. The EURUSD on the M15 timeframe shows consistent bearish market conditions. The price movement extends downward with a fairly clear slope, reinforced by the position of the red moving average line, which is well above the current price. This indicates that the medium- to short-term momentum is still heavily dominated by sellers, and there are no strong signs of a reversal. Every time the price tries to rise closer to the moving average line, there is always a rejection reaction, causing the price to fall again.

Posts: 20609 · #3754 - November 20, 2025, 12:03:09 PM

Today I attempted to sell GBPUSD with a stop-loss at 1.3085 and a take-profit at 1.3048. On the M15 timeframe, the GBPUSD market structure remains clearly under bearish pressure. The price movement on the left side of the chart shows a fairly long consolidation phase before a strong downward impulse. The aggressive price decline was followed by a series of small pullbacks that failed to break back above the red moving average, confirming that the dominant trend is still controlled by sellers. The moving average itself appears to be descending at a steady slope, indicating that bearish momentum still dominates the overall price dynamics.

Posts: 20609 · #3755 - November 20, 2025, 12:06:31 PM

Today I attempted to buy USDX with a stop-loss at 100.10 and a take-profit at 100.53. On the M15 timeframe, the USDX price moved sideways for a fairly long period. However, after breaking out of the consolidation area, bullish momentum began to increase significantly. The price increase was then followed by a regular pullback, indicating that buyers were in no rush to push prices higher but were in full control of the market's rhythm. This kind of neat pattern is a sign of a healthy trend that usually has the potential to continue as long as there is no strong fundamental disruption or price rejection at a specific resistance level.

#3756 - **Today** at 04:23:13 PM

Posts: 20609 · #3756 - November 20, 2025, 12:08:50 PM

Today I tried selling gold with a stop-loss order placed at 4081.56 and a take-profit order at 4046.04. Gold on the M15 timeframe. The price movement on the right side of the chart indicates that the market is still trying to determine its next direction. The price shows several small candles, indicating a consolidation process. This condition usually occurs when market participants wait for a stronger moment to push the price, either upward or downward. If seller pressure increases, the price has the potential to fall back towards the nearest support area. However, if buyers re-assert their strength, there is a possibility that the price will break through the resistance area and move to a higher level.

Posts: 20609 · #3757 - November 20, 2025, 12:11:25 PM

Today I attempted to buy GBPJPY with a stop-loss order at 205.27 and a take-profit order at 4046.04. Gold on the M15 timeframe. The price movement on the right side of the chart indicates that the market is still trying to determine its next direction. The price shows several small candles, indicating a consolidation process. This condition usually occurs when market participants wait for a stronger moment to push the price, either upward or downward. If seller pressure increases, the price has the potential to fall back towards the nearest support area. However, if buyers re-assert their strength, there is a possibility that the price will break through the resistance area and move to a higher level.

Posts: 20609 · #3758 - November 20, 2025, 11:01:14 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on November 20, 2025, 12:00:08 PM

Today I attempted to sell EURUSD with my stop-loss placed at 1.1532 and take-profit at 1.1501. The EURUSD on the M15 timeframe shows consistent bearish market conditions. The price movement extends downward with a fairly clear slope, reinforced by the position of the red moving average line, which is well above the current price. This indicates that the medium- to short-term momentum is still heavily dominated by sellers, and there are no strong signs of a reversal. Every time the price tries to rise closer to the moving average line, there is always a rejection reaction, causing the price to fall again.

My open sell position on EURUSD hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $1.70. On the M15 timeframe, EURUSD briefly rose to 1.1549, hitting my stop-loss. However, I see that EURUSD is currently still moving below the 200-day moving average (MA200), indicating a potential further decline.

Posts: 20609 · #3759 - November 20, 2025, 11:03:26 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on November 20, 2025, 12:03:09 PM

Today I attempted to sell GBPUSD with a stop-loss at 1.3085 and a take-profit at 1.3048. On the M15 timeframe, the GBPUSD market structure remains clearly under bearish pressure. The price movement on the left side of the chart shows a fairly long consolidation phase before a strong downward impulse. The aggressive price decline was followed by a series of small pullbacks that failed to break back above the red moving average, confirming that the dominant trend is still controlled by sellers. The moving average itself appears to be descending at a steady slope, indicating that bearish momentum still dominates the overall price dynamics.

My open sell position on GBPUSD hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $2.30. GBPUSD on the M15 timeframe apparently staged a false breakout, as after briefly rising to 1.3123, it immediately fell back down and even broke through the support area.

Posts: 20609 · #3760 - November 20, 2025, 11:07:48 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on November 20, 2025, 12:06:31 PM

Today I attempted to buy USDX with a stop-loss at 100.10 and a take-profit at 100.53. On the M15 timeframe, the USDX price moved sideways for a fairly long period. However, after breaking out of the consolidation area, bullish momentum began to increase significantly. The price increase was then followed by a regular pullback, indicating that buyers were in no rush to push prices higher but were in full control of the market's rhythm. This kind of neat pattern is a sign of a healthy trend that usually has the potential to continue as long as there is no strong fundamental disruption or price rejection at a specific resistance level.

My open buy position on USDX hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $2.20. If we look closely at the USDX's pattern on the 15-month timeframe, it's quite interesting. It briefly dipped but failed to break through the 200-day moving average (MA200). This indicates that the USDX is currently in a bullish trend, and we can still look for buying opportunities.

Posts: 20609 · #3761 - November 20, 2025, 11:22:15 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on November 20, 2025, 12:08:50 PM

Today I tried selling gold with a stop-loss order placed at 4081.56 and a take-profit order at 4046.04. Gold on the M15 timeframe. The price movement on the right side of the chart indicates that the market is still trying to determine its next direction. The price shows several small candles, indicating a consolidation process. This condition usually occurs when market participants wait for a stronger moment to push the price, either upward or downward. If seller pressure increases, the price has the potential to fall back towards the nearest support area. However, if buyers re-assert their strength, there is a possibility that the price will break through the resistance area and move to a higher level.

My open sell position in gold hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $15.23. Gold is currently trading sideways on the 15-month timeframe, with no clear direction. However, if it falls today and breaks through the support at 4038.38, the gold trend will likely shift to bearish.

Posts: 20609 · #3762 - November 20, 2025, 11:30:57 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on November 20, 2025, 12:11:25 PM

Today I attempted to buy GBPJPY with a stop-loss order at 205.27 and a take-profit order at 4046.04. Gold on the M15 timeframe. The price movement on the right side of the chart indicates that the market is still trying to determine its next direction. The price shows several small candles, indicating a consolidation process. This condition usually occurs when market participants wait for a stronger moment to push the price, either upward or downward. If seller pressure increases, the price has the potential to fall back towards the nearest support area. However, if buyers re-assert their strength, there is a possibility that the price will break through the resistance area and move to a higher level.

My open buy position on GBPJPY hit my take profit, earning me a profit of $3.80. GBPJPY is currently falling on the 15-month timeframe and testing the demand area. However, this decline is merely a correction, and it's likely to rise again.

Posts: 20609 · #3763 - **Today** at 10:04:46 AM

Today I attempted to sell EURUSD with a stop-loss order at 1.1545 and a take-profit order at 1.1512. The EURUSD price structure on the M15 chart tends to be in a downtrend. This is evident from the position and direction of the red moving average line, which consistently slopes downward and remains above the price movement for most of the observed period. When the price is below the moving average and fails to make a convincing breakout upward, it generally indicates that bearish pressure remains dominant. Even when the price attempted to rise, forming a consolidation structure on the right side of the chart, the attempt was blocked and failed to consistently break through the moving average.

Posts: 20609 · #3764 - **Today** at 10:08:50 AM

Today I attempted to sell GBPUSD with my stop-loss placed at 1.3084 and take-profit at 1.3031. The GBPUSD chart on the 15-month timeframe shows a consistent downtrend over a relatively long period. This can be seen from the price position below the downward-sloping red moving average. When the price repeatedly fails to break through the moving average and always returns to the downside after touching it, this usually indicates a dominant bearish sentiment. The price structure on the left side of the chart shows a fairly aggressive decline, followed by a longer, flat consolidation phase in the center of the chart.

Posts: 20609 · #3765 - **Today** at 10:10:59 AM

Today I attempted to buy USDX with a stop-loss order placed at 99.93 and a take-profit order at 100.51. On the 15-month chart, the USDX price gradually rose, with stable candlesticks rarely breaking through the moving average. Afterward, a more aggressive surge occurred, forming a new swing high. As the market entered a prolonged consolidation phase, it was apparent that, despite decreasing volatility, the price remained within the upper range and showed no significant signs of weakening. The consolidation tended to be flat but remained within the bullish zone, as it never completely broke through the previous higher low structure. Typically, this pattern indicates that the market is awaiting a catalyst or additional momentum to resume its upward movement.