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Ikhtiar Trading Jurnal

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Ikhtiar

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Quote from: Ikhtiar on November 25, 2025, 02:36:32 AM
Today I attempted to buy GBPUSD with a stop-loss order placed at 1.3095 and a take-profit order at 1.3125. If we examine the GBPUSD chart in more detail on the right side of the M15 timeframe, the price doesn't show any major fluctuations. The candlesticks are moving closely together, indicating a small consolidation process before the market decides on its next direction. Consolidation near resistance usually indicates that the market is accumulating energy. If a breakout occurs, the upward movement is usually much stronger than normal. Conversely, failure to break through resistance could trigger a retracement to the support area near the 200-day moving average.
My open buy position on GBPUSD hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $1.50. I believe GBPUSD will continue to rise on the 15-month timeframe today, as the current trend has shifted to bullish and has successfully formed a new demand area.
#3796 - November 25, 2025, 11:33:21 PM
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Quote from: Ikhtiar on November 25, 2025, 02:40:00 AM
Today I attempted to sell the USDX with a stop-loss order placed at 100.26 and a take-profit order at 100.06. On the 15-month chart, the USDX frequently moved below the 200-day moving average (MA), indicating a weakening market bias. Occasionally, the price attempted to rise and break through the moving average, but was unable to sustain above it for long. The price's inability to maintain above the 200-day moving average indicates a lack of solid bullish momentum, leading to a more dominant, albeit less aggressive, bearish, trend.
My open sell position on USDX hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $1.20. The USDX is currently moving below the 200-day moving average (MA200) on the 15-day moving average (TF), indicating the trend has shifted to bearish. The USDX has also successfully formed several new supply areas, indicating sellers are currently dominating the market.
#3797 - November 25, 2025, 11:35:31 PM
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Ikhtiar

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Quote from: Ikhtiar on November 25, 2025, 02:44:17 AM
Today I attempted to buy gold with a stop-loss order placed at 4119.51 and a take-profit order at 4171.89. Gold on the 15-month timeframe is in a fairly strong upward trend after a prolonged sideways movement. The price structure on the left side of the chart appears to be moving sideways, with several attempts to break through the red moving average line, which appears to be the 200-day moving average (MA) as a medium-term trend reference. During this phase, the price remains directional, with candlesticks moving back and forth around the area. This reflects market uncertainty before finally finding new momentum to move in a clearer direction.
My open buy position in gold hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $27.61. Gold on the 15-month timeframe briefly dipped and hit my stop-loss, but it's currently still moving above the 200-day moving average (MA200), indicating the gold trend remains bullish.
#3798 - November 25, 2025, 11:38:00 PM
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Quote from: Ikhtiar on November 25, 2025, 02:47:08 AM
Today I attempted to buy GBPJPY with a stop-loss order at 205.03 and a take-profit order at 205.89. On the M15 chart, the GBPJPY price is currently very close to the moving average (MA) line, even appearing to break through it several times, but unable to maintain a significant distance above it. The price's movement around the MA indicates a market uncertainty. The trend bias remains unclear as the price lacks strong momentum from either buyers or sellers.
My open buy position on GBPJPY hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $2.62. GBPJPY briefly dipped on the 15-month timeframe, but quickly rebounded, reaching 205.96. GBPJPY is currently moving above the 200-day moving average (MA200), indicating a potential rise today.
#3799 - November 25, 2025, 11:45:29 PM
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Ikhtiar

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Today I attempted to sell Bitcoin with a stop-loss order placed at 91774.52 and a take-profit order at 90672.32. On the M15 chart, Bitcoin's price appears to be attempting a recovery by moving sideways or consolidating around the moving average line. This pattern typically indicates a new direction-determining area, where the market is awaiting confirmation of whether the bearish momentum will continue or a reversal to resume the uptrend. However, the sharp decline that occurred indicates that the resistance area is indeed valid and strong, as it was able to prevent the continuation of the uptrend and push the price back down.
#3800 - November 28, 2025, 09:08:27 PM
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#3801 - Today at 07:30:44 PM

Ikhtiar

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Today I attempted to sell Litecoin with a stop-loss order placed at 85.40 and a take-profit order at 83.86. Before the price dropped sharply to a lower level, Litecoin experienced several rejections from the upper resistance area on the 15-month timeframe. After this significant drop, the price attempted to recover, but the recovery was not very convincing. The price only managed to rise slightly before being held back by the area that previously served as support and then became resistance. This phenomenon demonstrates a classic pattern in technical analysis: support turned resistance, which often signals the continuation of a bearish trend.
#3801 - November 28, 2025, 09:10:48 PM
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Ikhtiar

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Today I attempted to buy Ethereum with a stop-loss order placed at 3026.71 and a take-profit order at 3086.77. At the beginning of the chart, the price of Ethereum on the M15 timeframe showed a gradual upward movement, then entered a fairly broad consolidation phase. This consolidation indicated a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers, but because the price remained above the moving average, buyers remained dominant. After this consolidation, a bullish impulse emerged, pushing the price above the previous resistance area, followed by a moderate retracement.
#3802 - November 28, 2025, 09:13:02 PM
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Ikhtiar

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Today I attempted to sell Riple with a stop-loss order placed at 2.2052 and a take-profit order at 2.1656. Overall, Riple's price hasn't shown a strong dominant trend on the M15 timeframe, as it's mostly fluctuating around the red moving average line. The moving average itself appears to be flat or has only a slight slope, indicating a neutral medium-term trend. Under these conditions, the market is often more difficult to predict, and movements are often volatile, requiring extra attention in positioning and risk management.
#3803 - November 28, 2025, 09:15:17 PM
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Ikhtiar

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Today I attempted to sell Cardano with a stop-loss order placed at 0.42638 and a take-profit order at 0.41526. Cardano on the M15 chart. Observing the pattern, a series of lower highs and lower lows indicates a fairly clear downtrend. After a sharp decline, the price forms a small consolidation pattern, which usually serves as a preparation phase before the next decline. This structure is typical of bearish markets, where each uptrend tends to be a selling opportunity rather than a sign of a trend reversal.
#3804 - November 28, 2025, 09:17:41 PM
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Ikhtiar

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Today I attempted to sell Solana with a stop-loss order placed at 139.22 and a take-profit order at 136.49. On the M15 timeframe, Solana's market conditions appear to have experienced a significant shift in momentum over the past few sessions. Price movement initially appeared sideways, followed by a sharp decline that broke through the previous support area. The following analysis will be structured and in-depth, with an emphasis on trend direction, price reaction to moving averages, and potential scenarios for traders to consider.
#3805 - November 28, 2025, 11:19:40 PM
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Ikhtiar

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Today I attempted to sell Filecoin with a stop-loss at 1,646 and a take-profit at 1,597. On the M15 chart, Filecoin's price broke below the moving average and held below it. Despite several pullback attempts from buyers, the overall price structure showed no significant strength to rebound. Even when the price spiked significantly in a few candles, it was quickly pushed back down. The rapid sell-off reaction after the spike suggests the market remains dominated by bearish sentiment, despite occasional bouts of sudden volatility.
#3806 - November 28, 2025, 11:22:46 PM
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Ikhtiar

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Today I attempted to sell Uniswap with a stop-loss at 6,233 and a take-profit at 6,094. On the M15 timeframe, Uniswap's price moved below the moving average and repeatedly failed to break above it. This is a clear sign that the moving average (MA) acts as quite strong dynamic resistance. Several bullish attempts were seen when the price rose close to or slightly exceeded the MA, but each time a bearish candle appeared, pushing the price back down. This pattern indicates that despite some buying interest, selling pressure remains more consistent and prevents the price from forming a more stable uptrend.
#3807 - November 28, 2025, 11:26:02 PM
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Ikhtiar

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Today I attempted to sell Chainlink with a stop-loss order placed at 13.27159 and a take-profit order at 13.06496. Chainlink on the M15 timeframe exhibited quite dynamic price movements, with a pattern shifting from an uptrend to a correction phase, and finally indicating the formation of a new downtrend. The price structure visible on the chart provides numerous clues about market sentiment, which is slowly shifting from optimistic to more defensive. By understanding the flow sequentially, we can identify more realistic trading opportunities and better assess risk.
#3808 - November 28, 2025, 11:28:19 PM
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Ikhtiar

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Today I attempted to sell Dogecoin with a stop-loss at 0.15182 and a take-profit at 0.14917. On the M15 chart, Dogecoin experienced a strong surge, but after reaching its peak, the market immediately entered a prolonged pullback phase. After this decline, the price attempted to form a new structure but failed to reach a higher high. This indicates that buyers are slowly losing momentum and the market is beginning to move under seller pressure. Despite several upward swings, the resulting highs tend to be flat, indicating that the market is unable to break through the existing resistance.
#3809 - November 28, 2025, 11:30:34 PM
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Ikhtiar

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Quote from: Ikhtiar on November 28, 2025, 09:08:27 PM
Today I attempted to sell Bitcoin with a stop-loss order placed at 91774.52 and a take-profit order at 90672.32. On the M15 chart, Bitcoin's price appears to be attempting a recovery by moving sideways or consolidating around the moving average line. This pattern typically indicates a new direction-determining area, where the market is awaiting confirmation of whether the bearish momentum will continue or a reversal to resume the uptrend. However, the sharp decline that occurred indicates that the resistance area is indeed valid and strong, as it was able to prevent the continuation of the uptrend and push the price back down.
My open sell position on Bitcoin hit the take profit, resulting in a profit of $27.67. Bitcoin appears to be declining today on the 15-month timeframe, moving below the 200-day moving average (MA200). It's possible that Bitcoin will continue its decline today and attempt to break through the support area at 90148.87.
#3810 - November 29, 2025, 09:13:58 PM
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