Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

Microsoft Stock (MSFT) Soars to Record High Following Strong Earnings Report


As the chart illustrates, Microsoft (MSFT) shares surged sharply after the close of the regular trading session ? an immediate market reaction to the company?s strong quarterly results.

According to available data, MSFT's post-market price jumped to $555 per share, exceeding its previous all-time high by more than 8%.

Why Did MSFT Share Price Rise?

The quarterly report provided several reasons for optimism, including:

→ Earnings per share (EPS) came in at $3.65, beating analysts? expectations of $3.37 by over 8%. Revenue also exceeded forecasts, totalling $76.4 billion versus the projected $73.9 billion.
→ Microsoft?s cloud revenue rose by 27% to $46.7 billion, while Azure?s annualised revenue exceeded $75 billion, driven by growing demand for AI-related services.

In response to these results, Barclays analysts quickly raised their price target for Microsoft shares from $550 to $625.



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What Are Autoregressive Models, and How Can You Use Them in Trading?


Autoregressive (AR) models help traders analyse market movements by identifying statistical relationships in historical price data. These models assume that past values influence current prices, making them useful for spotting trends and price behaviour. This article explores ?What is autoregression??, how AR models function, their role in trading, and how traders apply them to market analysis.

What Is an Autoregressive Model?
Autoregressive (AR) models are statistical tools that can be used in numerous spheres, including market prices, weather, and traffic conditions. They analyse market movements by using past price data to understand current trends. The autoregressive definition refers to a model where each value in a time series depends on previous values plus an error term.

The number of previous values considered is called the ?lag order,? denoted as AR(p), where ?p? represents the number of lags. In an autoregressive model example, an AR(1) model looks at just the previous value to estimate the current one, while an AR(3) model considers the last three. In trading, the key idea is that if historical prices show a consistent pattern?whether trending or reverting to a mean?an AR model can help identify that structure.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Apple (AAPL) Shares Jump Following Earnings Report


Yesterday, after the close of the regular trading session, Apple released its earnings report, which surpassed analysts? expectations:
→ Earnings per share: actual = $1.57, forecast = $1.43;
→ Revenue: actual = $94.04 billion, forecast = $89.35 billion.

As a result, AAPL shares surged in the post-market, rising from $207.57 to $212.51.

Media Commentary:

→ The company reported a 13% year-on-year increase in iPhone sales.
→ However, according to Tim Cook, tariffs have already cost the company $800 million and this figure could exceed $1 billion in the next quarter.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

US Dollar Index (DXY) Plummets Following Labour Market Data


The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell by approximately 1.4% on Friday after the release of disappointing US labour market figures. According to Forex Factory:

→ The unemployment rate rose from 4.1% to 4.2%;

→ The Nonfarm Employment Change figure came in at 73K, well below the forecast of 103K. This is the lowest level of job creation in the nonfarm sector in 2025 and is roughly half the previous month?s reading (prior to revisions).

→ Furthermore, revisions for May and June were significantly more severe than usual. The May figure was revised downward by 125,000 ? from +144,000 to +19,000. Similarly, the June figure was revised down by 133,000 ? from +147,000 to +14,000.

These results point to a weakening labour market, which increases the likelihood of a rate cut aimed at supporting economic growth. In turn, expectations of a Fed rate cut are acting as a bearish driver for the US dollar.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 4 - 8 August

In this video, we?ll explore the key economic events, market trends, and corporate news shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into forex, commodities, and stocks to help you navigate the week ahead. Lets dive in!

In this episode of Market Insights, Gary Thomson unpacks the strategic implications of the week?s most critical events driving global markets.

👉 Key topics covered in this episode:
- BoE Interest Rate Decision Markets expect a 25 bps rate cut from the Bank of England on 7 August, but GBP volatility may hinge more on the MPC vote split and policy tone. Inflation has eased but remains above target, keeping the BoE cautious. What factors can trigger volatility in GBP pairs?
- Unemployment Rate in Canada Canada?s jobs data due 8 August could sway rate cut expectations. Last month?s surprise drop in unemployment eased pressure on the Bank of Canada. Will the upcoming jobs report revive rate cut bets and weigh on the Canadian dollar?
- Corporate Earnings Statements This week?s earnings spotlight major tech and consumer firms. Key focus areas include AI adoption, data center growth, and consumer spending trends, with Palantir, AMD, Super Micro, Disney, and Shopify all in play. Which company?s earnings do you think will have the biggest market impact ? and why?
- Trade Tensions Trade tensions remain a market risk, even without new Trump announcements this week. Reactions from major partners like India, the EU, China, and Canada could spark volatility.

Gain insights to strengthen your trading knowledge.

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Watch it now and stay updated with FXOpen.

Don't miss out on this invaluable opportunity to sharpen your trading skills and make informed decisions.

Disclaimer: This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Nasdaq 100 Analysis: Index Rebounds After Friday?s Decline


The release of disappointing US labour market data on Friday unsettled both stock market participants and the President of the United States:

→ Donald Trump promptly dismissed Erica McEntarfer, Commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, accusing her of falsifying employment data.
→ Stock indices accelerated their decline, with the Nasdaq 100 Index (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) falling below its 16 June low.

However, US stock indices staged a strong recovery on Monday. According to Reuters, yesterday marked the largest daily percentage gain since 27 May.

Why Did Stock Indices Rise?

Possible reasons include:
→ Buyers were attracted by the falling share prices of companies that, for the most part, had delivered strong quarterly earnings;
→ Market participants are betting on a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September (a move strongly advocated by Trump), which could support both the economy and the stock market.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

What Is a Pyramiding Strategy, and How Does It Work in Trading?


Pyramiding is a trading strategy where traders gradually increase their position size as the market moves in their favour. Instead of committing full capital upfront, they add to winning positions at key levels. This article explains how pyramiding works, common strategies, potential risks, and key considerations for traders looking to add it to their trading approach.

What Is Pyramiding?
Pyramiding is a strategy where traders gradually add to an effective position instead of going all in from the start. It?s used in trending markets, where traders look to take advantage of sustained price movements by expanding their exposure as the trend develops. The key difference between pyramiding and simply increasing position size at the outset is that pyramiding limits initial risk. Instead of committing full capital upfront, traders build up their position only when the market moves in their favour.

Applying a pyramid to a position is particularly common in markets with strong momentum. A trader, for example, might start with one unit of an asset and, if the price moves favourably, add another half-unit at a predefined level. If the trend continues, they might add another quarter-unit. This gradual scaling means more capital is committed only when conditions confirm the trend.

The logic behind pyramiding in trading is straightforward: when the market is moving in the right direction, the strategy compounds potential returns without significantly increasing initial risk. It also allows traders to adjust their exp

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.