Pause in Dollar Rally: Weak Data and Powell Dismissal Rumours
Amid rising market volatility, the US dollar is losing ground: USD/JPY is correcting after a recent bullish impulse, while USD/CAD is retreating from the upper boundary of its medium-term sideways range. This corrective movement was triggered by disappointing US producer price index (PPI) data and speculation surrounding a potential dismissal of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell?rumours later denied by Donald Trump.
Yesterday's US macroeconomic data underperformed expectations: the core PPI was flat month-on-month (forecast: +0.2%), while the annual reading slowed to 2.6% versus the expected 2.7%. The headline PPI also showed weakness, fuelling speculation that the Federal Reserve might accelerate its easing cycle if producer price pressures continue to weaken.
Market participants also reacted to a brief spike in volatility following unconfirmed reports that Powell could be removed from office. Although the rumour was quickly debunked, the episode has contributed to lingering unease in the dollar-denominated asset segment.
In the near term, traders? attention is shifting towards today?s US labour market data, which could shape the dollar's direction for the remainder of the week.
USD/JPY
After updating its May highs, USD/JPY sharply pulled back and is currently trading near the 148.00 level. Technical analysis suggests the potential for a deeper correction, as a bearish engulfing pattern has formed on the daily timeframe. However, if recent highs are breached again, the pair may resume its rally towards the 150.00?151.00 range.
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