Ikhtiar Trading Jurnal

Posts: 21197 · #3931 - December 24, 2025, 11:44:09 AM

Today I attempted to sell USDJPY with a stop-loss order placed at 156.22 and a take-profit order at 155.63. From a trend perspective, the current market is leaning bearish on USDJPY on the M15 timeframe. This can be seen from the series of lower highs and lower lows formed after a significant decline. The red moving average line is above the price and is beginning to curve downward, indicating that the medium- to short-term trend is weakening and selling pressure remains dominant. Every time the price attempts to rise near the moving average, the gains tend to be limited and immediately responded by a decline.

Posts: 21197 · #3932 - December 24, 2025, 11:46:34 AM

Today I attempted to sell USDCHF with a stop-loss order placed at 0.7884 and a take-profit order at 0.7852. USDCHF on the M15 timeframe. From a trend perspective, the price's continued position below the red moving average indicates that selling pressure continues to dominate the market. The moving average also appears to be declining at a fairly steady slope, indicating that bearish momentum remains intact. Each time the price attempts to approach the moving average, its upward movement is always limited and followed by a decline.

Posts: 21197 · #3933 - December 24, 2025, 11:49:06 AM

Today I attempted to buy CADJPY with a stop-loss order placed at 113.82 and a take-profit order at 114.34. CADJPY on the M15 timeframe: In terms of price action, the market structure indicates that the price is moving within a fairly clear range. After forming a swing low following a sharp decline, the price attempted to rise but failed to form a significant higher high. Conversely, the price did not immediately form a new lower low. This indicates that buyers and sellers are still holding each other back and forth, resulting in price movement moving back and forth in the middle area. This type of price action often represents an accumulation or distribution phase before the price determines its next direction.

Posts: 21197 · #3934 - December 24, 2025, 10:54:53 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on December 24, 2025, 10:31:42 AM

Today I attempted to buy EURUSD with a stop-loss at 1.1784 and a take-profit at 1.1818. The EURUSD price structure on the 15-month timeframe shows a series of higher highs and higher lows, arranged quite neatly. This strengthening pattern experienced a sharp correction at one point when a large bearish candlestick appeared, pushing the price down, approaching the red line. However, this pressure was short-lived as buyers quickly responded, pushing the price back up.

My open buy position on EURUSD hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $1.80. EURUSD is indeed showing a decline on the 15-day moving average (MTF) today, and is currently attempting to break through the 200-day moving average (MA200) and move downwards.

Posts: 21197 · #3935 - December 24, 2025, 10:57:01 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on December 24, 2025, 10:34:38 AM

Today I attempted to buy GBPUSD with a stop-loss order placed at 1.3499 and a take-profit order at 1.3548. The GBPUSD chart on the 15-month timeframe shows the price is in a small consolidation zone around the buy level marked by the green line. The price has touched this area several times and appears to be testing it as a minor resistance level, which may have previously been a key intraday level. When the price repeatedly approaches the same level, there are usually two main possibilities. First, the price will breakout if buyers are strong enough. Second, the price will bounce back down if sellers maintain the area.

My open buy position on GBPUSD hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $2.30. GBPUSD is falling on the 15-month timeframe and is currently approaching the demand area. If GBPUSD fails to break through this area, it is likely to rise again and attempt to break through the resistance area.

#3936 - **Today** at 03:53:47 PM

Posts: 21197 · #3936 - December 24, 2025, 10:59:08 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on December 24, 2025, 10:36:47 AM

Today I attempted to sell the USDX with a stop-loss order at 97.97 and a take-profit order at 97.66. On the M15 chart, the USDX exhibited numerous patterns that reinforced its bearish bias. Several long bearish candles appeared early in the move, forming a series of massive pressure moves. These candles indicated the release of aggressive selling volume, which pushed the price down in several waves.

My open sell position on the USDX hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $1.60. After declining for several days, the USDX on the 15-month timeframe finally appears to be starting to rise again, and there's a possibility the trend will shift to bullish.

Posts: 21197 · #3937 - December 24, 2025, 11:01:35 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on December 24, 2025, 10:39:44 AM

Today I tried to buy gold with a stop-loss order placed at 4464.00 and a take-profit order at 4512.43. Gold on the M15 timeframe: Several large bullish candles appeared in the swing low area, indicating that buyers are always there to push the price higher. On the other hand, the bearish candles that appeared tended to be small and appeared more like mild correction candles than signs of a trend reversal. There were also several rejection candles with long lower tails, especially when the price approached the area near the 200-day moving average (MA).

My open buy position on gold hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $21.90. Gold on the 15-month timeframe successfully broke through the support at 4468.50 and is now starting to move below the 200-day moving average (MA200).

Posts: 21197 · #3938 - December 24, 2025, 11:04:35 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on December 24, 2025, 10:42:34 AM

Today I attempted to sell GBPJPY with a stop-loss order at 210.84 and a take-profit order at 210.43. On the M15 chart, GBPJPY saw several long bearish candles, indicating a short-term seller impulse. These candles typically indicate aggressive position distribution or unwinding. Conversely, bullish candles that appear during a correction tend to have small bodies and are not sustainable. These candles reflect a minor buyer reaction or response that isn't strong enough to break the bearish pressure.

My open sell position on GBPJPY touched take profit and I made a profit of $1.41. GBPJPY on TF M15 is indeed in a downtrend and currently GBPJPY can be seen rising and testing the supply area. If this supply area cannot be penetrated by GBPJPY, there is a possibility that it will fall again.

Posts: 21197 · #3939 - December 24, 2025, 11:14:13 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on December 24, 2025, 11:17:06 AM

Today I attempted to sell EURJPY with a stop-loss at 184.01 and a take-profit at 183.59. On the M15 chart, EURJPY's price movement exhibited characteristics of a bearish market taking a break. After a downward impulse, the price formed a narrow range with fairly clear upper and lower boundaries. This range often serves as an area of continued distribution before the price resumes its main trend direction.

My open sell position on EURJPY hit my take profit, resulting in a profit of $1.41. On the M15 timeframe, EURJPY appears to be falling and forming new support at 183.26. I believe EURJPY will continue to decline today, and we can look for selling opportunities.

Posts: 21197 · #3940 - December 24, 2025, 11:16:19 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on December 24, 2025, 11:46:34 AM

Today I attempted to sell USDCHF with a stop-loss order placed at 0.7884 and a take-profit order at 0.7852. USDCHF on the M15 timeframe. From a trend perspective, the price's continued position below the red moving average indicates that selling pressure continues to dominate the market. The moving average also appears to be declining at a fairly steady slope, indicating that bearish momentum remains intact. Each time the price attempts to approach the moving average, its upward movement is always limited and followed by a decline.

My open sell position on USDCHF hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $2.41. USDCHF is trending upwards on the 15-month timeframe, almost breaking through the 200-day moving average (MA200). I believe USDCHF will rise today, and we can look for buying opportunities to profit.

Posts: 21197 · #3941 - December 26, 2025, 11:26:31 PM

Today I attempted to sell Bitcoin with my stop-loss placed at 87952.96 and take-profit at 86975.88. Bitcoin on the M15 timeframe: From a candlestick pattern perspective, there are several important signals worth noting. During the initial consolidation phase, many candlesticks had small bodies and relatively balanced shadows, reflecting market uncertainty. Subsequently, several bullish candles appeared with long bodies and closes near the high, indicating aggressive buying pressure. However, after the price reached the upper area, long bearish candles appeared with dominant bodies and small lower shadows, indicating strong selling pressure and the possibility of massive profit-taking.

Posts: 21197 · #3942 - December 26, 2025, 11:28:38 PM

Today I attempted to buy Litecoin with a stop-loss order placed at 76.34 and a take-profit order at 77.18. Litecoin on the M15 timeframe shows that the price is closely respecting certain horizontal levels. It's clear that the price has repeatedly reacted to the same zone, either as a rebound point or as a rejection area. The middle area of the chart appears to act as a balance zone, where the price often returns after moving too far up or down. This zone reflects the current fair value accepted by the majority of market participants.

Posts: 21197 · #3943 - December 26, 2025, 11:31:10 PM

Today I attempted to sell Ethereum with a stop-loss at 2940.66 and a take-profit at 2906.79. On the M15 timeframe, Ethereum's price movement on this chart isn't entirely in a strong and stable trend. At the beginning of the chart, the price tends to move sideways with a weakening trend, marked by a series of slowly forming lower highs. This indicates that selling pressure remains quite dominant during this phase.

Posts: 21197 · #3944 - December 26, 2025, 11:33:21 PM

Today I attempted to sell Riple with a stop-loss at 1.8600 and a take-profit at 1.8338. Ripple's price movement on the M15 chart tends to be in a weakening or mild bearish trend. This is evident from the price trending below the main moving average and forming lower highs at several points. Although there was a strong upward push, the movement was short-lived and was quickly followed by significant selling pressure. This indicates that sellers still have relatively greater control, while buyers are not yet strong enough to change the overall trend structure.

Posts: 21197 · #3945 - December 26, 2025, 11:36:06 PM

Today I attempted to sell Cardano with my stop-loss placed at 0.35303 and take-profit at 0.34555. Cardano on the M15 timeframe: In terms of candlestick patterns, this chart displays a wealth of important information regarding market psychology. In the upper area, candles often appear with relatively small bodies and fairly long upper shadows. This pattern reflects selling pressure that arises every time the price attempts to rise, preventing the increase from lasting. Conversely, in the lower area, candles appear with long lower shadows, indicating rejection of the low price and the entry of buyers to prevent further declines.