Ikhtiar Trading Jurnal

Posts: 21197 · #3916 - December 23, 2025, 10:42:17 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on December 23, 2025, 02:32:27 AM

Today I tried to buy GBPUSD with a stop-loss order placed at 1.3462 and a take-profit order at 1.3504. GBPUSD on the M15 timeframe: Looking at the overall trend, the initial trend tended to be weak to neutral, then gradually shifted to an uptrend. This change was evident when the price began to hold above the moving average line, which previously served as dynamic resistance. When the price broke through and held above the moving average, the market structure began to change.

My open buy position on GBPUSD hit the take profit level, resulting in a $2.10 profit. GBPUSD on the 15-month timeframe (MT5) is showing a steady rise today, with no signs of a decline. I believe GBPUSD will continue to rise today, and we can still look for buying opportunities.

Posts: 21197 · #3917 - December 23, 2025, 10:44:41 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on December 23, 2025, 02:34:51 AM

Today, I tried selling the USDX with a stop-loss at 98.21 and a take-profit at 97.96. On the 15-month chart, the USDX clearly showed a structural change, from higher highs and higher lows to lower highs and lower lows. The first significant breakout occurred when the price failed to form a new higher high and instead reversed sharply downward. After that, the pullback failed to return above the moving average but instead stalled below it.

My open buy position on the USDX hit the take profit, resulting in a $1.20 profit. The USDX is under seller pressure on the 15-day moving average (MT5) today and continues to decline. This can be seen from its increasingly low movement, still below the 200-day moving average (MA200). We can still look for selling opportunities on the USDX today.

Posts: 21197 · #3918 - December 23, 2025, 10:48:39 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on December 23, 2025, 02:37:06 AM

Today I tried to buy gold with a stop-loss order placed at 4457.60 and a take-profit order at 4527.16. Gold on the M15 timeframe. From a candlestick pattern perspective, the shift in market sentiment is quite clear. During the consolidation phase, candles are dominated by dojis, or candles with small bodies and relatively balanced upper and lower shadows. However, after an upward breakout, bullish candles begin to appear with longer bodies and closes near the high. This pattern indicates that buyers are becoming more aggressive in controlling price movements.

My open buy position on gold hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $35,340. Gold on the 15-month timeframe did drop to 4,429.30, but it subsequently rebounded and is now back above the 200-day moving average (MA200), indicating that the decline was merely a correction.

Posts: 21197 · #3919 - December 23, 2025, 10:51:38 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on December 23, 2025, 02:39:34 AM

Today I attempted to buy GBPJPY with a stop-loss order placed at 210.33 and a take-profit order at 211.35. GBPJPY on the M15 timeframe. From a trend perspective, this chart overall shows a fairly strong bullish trend. After an initial consolidation phase, a very strong bullish impulse occurred, marked by a series of consecutive bullish candles with large bodies. This impulse signaled significant buying pressure and laid the foundation for the formation of a short- to medium-term uptrend.

My open buy position on GBPJPY hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $2.84. GBPJPY was previously in a bullish phase on the 15-month timeframe, but then fell, breaking through the 200-day moving average (MA200) and hitting my stop-loss at 210.33. GBPJPY has now returned above the 200-day moving average, so I expect it to rise again today.

Posts: 21197 · #3920 - December 23, 2025, 10:56:58 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on December 23, 2025, 02:42:22 AM

Today, I tried to sell USDCAD with a stop-loss order at 1.3754 and a take-profit order at 1.3721. On the M15 chart, small candles with longer upper tails are starting to appear on the USDCAD. This is often referred to as an upside rejection candle, indicating that every time the price attempts a pullback, selling pressure returns, pushing the price lower. This pattern is often seen before a downtrend continues. The candlestick may be a bearish pin bar or an indecision candle that closes lower, indicating buyer weakness.

My open sell position on USDCAD hit the take profit, resulting in a profit of $1.02. Today, USDCAD on the 15-day moving average (TF) showed a significant decline, even reaching 1.3681. There are no signs of resistance from buyers, and sellers currently appear to be dominating this currency pair.

#3921 - **Today** at 05:30:52 PM

Posts: 21197 · #3921 - December 23, 2025, 11:29:21 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on December 23, 2025, 02:44:58 AM

Today I attempted to sell EURJPY with a stop-loss order placed at 184.49 and a take-profit order at 183.61. On the M15 chart, EURJPY is starting to show signs of weakness, with bearish candles appearing more frequently than before. Although initially corrective, the decline gradually became more pronounced as the price began to fall closer to the moving average line. The red moving average, which initially acted as dynamic support during the uptrend, now appears to be about to be tested and potentially broken.

My open sell position on EURJPY hit the take profit, resulting in a profit of $2.31. Today, EURJPY appears to have fallen to 183.41 on the 15-hour timeframe, after which it formed a bullish pinbar candle. Currently, EURJPY is touching the supply area and is likely to fall further.

Posts: 21197 · #3922 - December 23, 2025, 11:32:13 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on December 23, 2025, 02:48:23 AM

Today, I tried selling USDJPY with a stop-loss order at 156.66 and a take-profit order at 156.01. The USDJPY chart on the M15 timeframe shows several candlestick patterns changing. During the bullish phase, the candlestick bodies appear full and long, reflecting the unhindered strength of buyers. However, as the reversal phase approaches, the candlestick bodies shrink, and the shadows become dominant. Many candlesticks with long upper tails and small bodies appear in the resistance area. This indicates strong selling pressure and market uncertainty about the continuation of the price increase. A bearish candlestick that breaks through a small support structure below it provides stronger confirmation that a reversal is taking place.

My open sell position on USDJPY hit my take profit, earning me a profit of $1.86. On the M15 timeframe, USDJPY dropped to 155.66, hitting my take profit of 156.01.

Posts: 21197 · #3923 - December 23, 2025, 11:35:16 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on December 23, 2025, 02:50:42 AM

Today, I tried selling USDCHF with a stop-loss order at 0.7912 and a take-profit order at 0.7881. The USDCHF candlestick pattern on the M15 timeframe during this downtrend shows several important signals. First, there are many bearish candles with fairly firm bodies, indicating stable and consistent selling pressure. Second, several candles with short lower tails indicate that sellers were able to close near their lows. This is a strong bearish sign because it indicates that buyers were unable to put up significant resistance.

My open sell position on USDCHF hit the take profit, resulting in a profit of $1.78. On the 15-month timeframe, USDCHF appears to be falling and forming a new support area. I believe there's a possibility that USDCHF will correct today, at least toward the supply area at 0.7897.

Posts: 21197 · #3924 - December 24, 2025, 10:31:42 AM

Today I attempted to buy EURUSD with a stop-loss at 1.1784 and a take-profit at 1.1818. The EURUSD price structure on the 15-month timeframe shows a series of higher highs and higher lows, arranged quite neatly. This strengthening pattern experienced a sharp correction at one point when a large bearish candlestick appeared, pushing the price down, approaching the red line. However, this pressure was short-lived as buyers quickly responded, pushing the price back up.

Posts: 21197 · #3925 - December 24, 2025, 10:34:38 AM

Today I attempted to buy GBPUSD with a stop-loss order placed at 1.3499 and a take-profit order at 1.3548. The GBPUSD chart on the 15-month timeframe shows the price is in a small consolidation zone around the buy level marked by the green line. The price has touched this area several times and appears to be testing it as a minor resistance level, which may have previously been a key intraday level. When the price repeatedly approaches the same level, there are usually two main possibilities. First, the price will breakout if buyers are strong enough. Second, the price will bounce back down if sellers maintain the area.

Posts: 21197 · #3926 - December 24, 2025, 10:36:47 AM

Today I attempted to sell the USDX with a stop-loss order at 97.97 and a take-profit order at 97.66. On the M15 chart, the USDX exhibited numerous patterns that reinforced its bearish bias. Several long bearish candles appeared early in the move, forming a series of massive pressure moves. These candles indicated the release of aggressive selling volume, which pushed the price down in several waves.

Posts: 21197 · #3927 - December 24, 2025, 10:39:44 AM

Today I tried to buy gold with a stop-loss order placed at 4464.00 and a take-profit order at 4512.43. Gold on the M15 timeframe: Several large bullish candles appeared in the swing low area, indicating that buyers are always there to push the price higher. On the other hand, the bearish candles that appeared tended to be small and appeared more like mild correction candles than signs of a trend reversal. There were also several rejection candles with long lower tails, especially when the price approached the area near the 200-day moving average (MA).

Posts: 21197 · #3928 - December 24, 2025, 10:42:34 AM

Today I attempted to sell GBPJPY with a stop-loss order at 210.84 and a take-profit order at 210.43. On the M15 chart, GBPJPY saw several long bearish candles, indicating a short-term seller impulse. These candles typically indicate aggressive position distribution or unwinding. Conversely, bullish candles that appear during a correction tend to have small bodies and are not sustainable. These candles reflect a minor buyer reaction or response that isn't strong enough to break the bearish pressure.

Posts: 21197 · #3929 - December 24, 2025, 11:03:16 AM

Today I attempted to sell the USCAD with a stop-loss order at 1.3694 and a take-profit order at 1.3657. The USDCAD market structure on the 15-month timeframe is very neat within a downtrend. Each time the price forms a new swing low, it only makes a limited pullback before resuming its decline. These pullbacks often stop at minor resistance levels or around previously broken support levels. This is a typical characteristic of bearish continuation, where broken support becomes resistance.

Posts: 21197 · #3930 - December 24, 2025, 11:17:06 AM

Today I attempted to sell EURJPY with a stop-loss at 184.01 and a take-profit at 183.59. On the M15 chart, EURJPY's price movement exhibited characteristics of a bearish market taking a break. After a downward impulse, the price formed a narrow range with fairly clear upper and lower boundaries. This range often serves as an area of continued distribution before the price resumes its main trend direction.