Ikhtiar Trading Jurnal

Posts: 20381 · #3541 - October 21, 2025, 11:29:02 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on October 20, 2025, 11:27:22 PM

Today I attempted to buy USDX with a stop-loss at 98.38 and a take-profit at 98.80. On the M15 timeframe, USDX price movement shows a more stable upward trend, with a pattern of higher lows and higher highs beginning to form sequentially. This is a hallmark of a healthy uptrend. Every time the price makes a small correction, buyers appear to step back in, preventing further price declines. This pattern indicates strong buying interest and the market is building consistent positive momentum. If this pattern continues, there is a strong opportunity for further upside, potentially breaking through the resistance level around the upper orange line, which also serves as a take-profit target.

My open buy position on USDX hit the take profit, resulting in a profit of $1.80. The USDX on the M15 timeframe currently shows no signs of a decline, and I think to be on the safe side, we can look for buying opportunities again, as the USDX is currently moving above the 200-day moving average (MA200).

Posts: 20381 · #3542 - October 21, 2025, 11:31:44 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on October 20, 2025, 11:32:00 PM

Today I tried to buy gold with a stop-loss at 4332.31 and a take-profit at 4390.16. On the M15 timeframe, gold price movement shows a healthy increase. Each time the price corrects, buyers re-enter and maintain their positions to prevent further price declines. This structure forms a consistent pattern of higher lows and higher highs. Furthermore, in the resistance area, the price appears to have experienced slight selling pressure, but has not shown any significant signs of reversal. This condition indicates consolidation at the peak, which generally determines whether the price will break higher or experience a temporary correction before continuing its upward movement.

My open buy position on gold hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $30.59. Gold has now started to fall again, having risen too high. I think we can still look for selling opportunities as gold is likely to fall further today, at least towards the nearest support area.

Posts: 20381 · #3543 - October 21, 2025, 11:35:42 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on October 20, 2025, 11:35:02 PM

Today I attempted to buy GBPJPY with a stop-loss order placed at 201.74 and a take-profit order at 202.57. GBPJPY on the M15 timeframe. From the price action structure, it appears that the price formed a fairly sharp upward pattern in the middle of the chart, but failed to break through the resistance area above, marked by the upper orange line. Afterward, the price declined again and fluctuated around the moving average (MA) line without a clear direction. This pattern can be interpreted as a short-term sideways movement, where the market is seeking a balance between supply and demand. The candlesticks formed also show low volatility with relatively small bodies, indicating slowing market activity.

My open buy position on GBPJPY hit take profit, resulting in a profit of $2.78. GBPJPY briefly dropped to 202.55 on the M15 timeframe, but was blocked by the demand area, and there's potential for GBPJPY to rise again. So, we can still look for buying opportunities.

#3544 - **Today** at 10:31:44 AM

Posts: 20381 · #3544 - October 21, 2025, 11:37:59 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on October 20, 2025, 11:37:21 PM

Today I attempted to buy USDCAD with a stop-loss order placed at 1.4022 and a take-profit order at 1.4048. USDCAD on the M15 timeframe. Looking at the price structure on the left side of the chart, the price fluctuated around the 1.4050 to 1.4070 area, then experienced a significant decline, breaking through strong support and forming a new low. After reaching the lower level, the price began forming a series of candlesticks with a higher low pattern, indicating buyers' attempts to regain control of the market. However, this increase was held back by the resistance area around the red moving average line, which now serves as the upper limit of the price movement. This pattern indicates that despite the buying reaction, selling pressure is still holding the price back from moving higher.

My open buy position on USDCAD hit the take profit, resulting in a profit of $0.93. Currently, USDCAD is moving below the 200-day moving average (MA200) on the 15-day moving average (TF), indicating the current trend has turned bearish. Therefore, our best bet today is to look for sell opportunities on USDCAD.

Posts: 20381 · #3545 - October 21, 2025, 11:40:39 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on October 20, 2025, 11:39:29 PM

Today I attempted to sell EURJPY with a stop-loss order placed at 175.75 and a take-profit order at 175.26. On the M15 timeframe, EURJPY experienced a sharp decline, forming a significant low, then moved up in a pattern resembling a technical retracement. However, each time the price approached the moving average (MA) area, selling pressure reappeared, preventing further gains. This indicates that the MA line effectively functions as dynamic resistance. This market structure demonstrates the continued strong dominance of sellers, despite declining trading volume. Buyers appear unable to break through the key resistance around the MA line, indicating a significant trend change.

My open sell position on EURJPY hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $1.52. On the 15-month timeframe, EURJPY successfully broke through the 200-day moving average (MA200) and formed a new demand area, so it's highly likely to continue rising today.

Posts: 20381 · #3546 - October 21, 2025, 11:43:54 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on October 20, 2025, 11:42:07 PM

Today I attempted to buy USDJPY with a stop-loss order placed at 150.38 and a take-profit order at 151.17. On the M15 timeframe, USDJPY is attempting to stabilize after experiencing a sharp decline. The price movement on the chart indicates a consolidation phase following a downtrend, where selling pressure is weakening and buyers are taking positions to prevent further declines. The curved red line on the chart represents the medium-term Moving Average (MA), which is currently trending downward, indicating that the main trend remains in sellers' hands, although signs of a slow reversal are beginning to emerge.

My open buy position on USDJPY hit my take profit, resulting in a profit of $2.38. USDJPY formed a support area at 152.19, and is currently attempting to test this support area. If it breaks through, it is likely to continue rising.

Posts: 20381 · #3547 - October 21, 2025, 11:46:07 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on October 20, 2025, 11:44:23 PM

Today I attempted to buy USDCHF with a stop-loss order placed at 0.7907 and a take-profit order at 0.7948. On the M15 timeframe, USDCHF appeared to have attempted several rebounds from the support area around 0.7910. The candlestick pattern formed showed long tails at the bottom of several candles, indicating buying pressure each time the price touched that area. This phenomenon indicates that the support area is quite strong and serves as a lower boundary guarded by market participants. On the other hand, the nearest resistance area appears to be around 0.7940 to 0.7950, which is a major obstacle preventing the price from continuing to rise further. As long as the price fails to break through this area decisively, the potential for sideways movement remains wide open.

My open buy position on USDCHF hit the take profit level, earning me a profit of $2.64. I believe USDCHF will continue to rise today, as I see no signs of a decline, and USDCHF has also successfully formed several areas of demand.

Posts: 20381 · #3548 - October 21, 2025, 11:48:43 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on October 20, 2025, 11:46:52 PM

Today I attempted to buy CADJPY with a stop-loss order placed at 107.10 and a take-profit order at 107.84. On the M15 timeframe, the CADJPY pattern formed indicates a consolidation phase following a downtrend. The price appears to be repeatedly held at a strong support area around 107.00, which is where buying pressure consistently emerges. At the same time, the nearest resistance area is around 107.70, which has served as the upper limit of price movement in recent sessions. This pattern indicates that the market is in a state of balance between buyers and sellers, with a slight tendency towards a short-term uptrend. This is supported by several small bullish candles that continue to appear, pushing the price closer to the resistance area.

My open buy position on CADJPY hit the take profit level, resulting in a profit of $2.11. CADJPY is currently firmly above the 200-day moving average (MA200), so it's likely to continue rising as long as the support area at 107.86 is broken.

Posts: 20381 · #3549 - October 21, 2025, 11:51:12 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on October 20, 2025, 11:50:18 PM

Today I attempted to buy NZDUSD with a stop-loss order placed at 0.5730 and a take-profit order at 0.5757. A closer look at the NZDUSD on the M15 timeframe reveals that the price level around 0.5730 to 0.5740 appears to be a key area. This area serves as dynamic support, where the price has repeatedly held up during corrections. Meanwhile, the area around 0.5750 is a strong short-term resistance zone because it previously witnessed a price reversal. Therefore, the resulting price structure suggests potential consolidation between these two areas before the market determines its next direction, whether to continue the uptrend or return to a deeper correction.

My open buy position on NZDUSD hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $1.20. NZDUSD tested the 200-day moving average (MA200) during today's trading but failed to break below it. Currently, NZDUSD is still moving above the 200-day moving average, so it's likely to rise further today.

Posts: 20381 · #3550 - October 21, 2025, 11:53:18 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on October 20, 2025, 11:52:40 PM

Today I attempted to buy AUDUSD with a stop-loss order at 0.6497 and a take-profit order at 0.6538. On the M15 timeframe, the AUDUSD market structure shows an impulsive upward movement pattern followed by a small correction or sideways movement. This pattern usually indicates that the uptrend is not over, but is merely taking a break before continuing its next move. Therefore, traders should wait for confirmation of a breakout above resistance to open a buy position with greater confidence. If a breakout occurs and the price is able to hold above 0.6530, the next target could be the 0.6550 area or even higher if momentum remains strong.

My open buy position on AUDUSD hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $2.10. AUDUSD is currently moving below the 200-day moving average (MA200) on the 15-month timeframe, so it would be safer to look for sell opportunities on AUDUSD today.

#3551 - **Today** at 10:31:44 AM

Posts: 20381 · #3551 - October 21, 2025, 11:56:16 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on October 20, 2025, 11:54:47 PM

Today I attempted to sell EURCHF with a stop-loss order at 0.9243 and a take-profit order at 0.9199. Technically, EURCHF is near 0.9250 on the M15 timeframe, with the nearest resistance level around 0.9250, while the next strong support level is seen around 0.9200. If the price breaks through 0.9200 with strong selling pressure, the downside could continue towards the 0.9180 to 0.9160 area as the next target. However, if the price fails to break through the support level and instead bounces up to 0.9250, it could indicate a deeper retracement towards 0.9270 or even 0.9290 before the downtrend resumes.

My open sell position on EURCHF hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $2.26. EURCHF briefly fell on the 15-day moving average (M15) and managed to break through the 200-day moving average (MA200), but buyers re-entered and pushed EURCHF back up. So, I think we can look for buying opportunities on EURCHF today.

Posts: 20381 · #3552 - October 21, 2025, 11:58:35 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on October 20, 2025, 11:56:52 PM

Today I attempted to sell EUR/GBP with my stop-loss placed at 0.8697 and take-profit at 0.8672. EUR/GBP on the M15 timeframe. A closer look at the chart structure shows that EUR/GBP had previously experienced a significant increase, but failed to maintain that momentum and reversed after hitting the resistance area around the moving average (MA) line. After the sharp decline, the price moved sideways within a narrow range between 0.8680 and 0.8700. This condition indicates a consolidation phase, or a pause in the market before determining its next direction. Despite attempts to rebound, seller pressure remained strong, so any buyer attempts to push the price upward were always stalled in the same area. Thus, the market trend remains bearish in the short term.

My open sell position on EURGBP hit the take profit, resulting in a $1.60 profit. Looking at EURGBP's movement today, it appears the pair is poised for a reversal and is currently testing the 200-day moving average (MA200). If the 200-day moving average (MA200) breaks above, the EURGBP trend will shift to bullish.

Posts: 20381 · #3553 - October 22, 2025, 08:56:40 AM

Today I attempted to sell EURUSD with a stop-loss order placed at 1.1616 and a take-profit order at 1.1581. The current EURUSD position on the M15 timeframe reflects a situation where buyers are losing confidence in maintaining their positions, while sellers are capitalizing on the momentum to increase pressure. When prices continue to decline with increasing volume, this is often a sign that the market is in an active distribution phase. New buyers who enter too quickly risk incurring floating losses, especially in the absence of clear reversal signals or confirmation from additional indicators such as the RSI or MACD.

Posts: 20381 · #3554 - October 22, 2025, 08:59:12 AM

Today I attempted to sell GBPUSD with my stop-loss placed at 1.3351 and take-profit at 1.3299. On the M15 timeframe, GBPUSD experienced a lengthy consolidation phase before experiencing a sharp decline with strong momentum. The bearish volume spike that caused this downward movement indicates a massive sell-off, possibly triggered by the release of fundamental data or specific economic news. After this sharp movement, the price attempted to stabilize within a narrow area, forming a small consolidation pattern, which usually serves as a temporary pause before the trend resumes its main movement.

Posts: 20381 · #3555 - October 22, 2025, 09:01:20 AM

Today I attempted to buy USDX with a stop-loss order placed at 98.81 and a take-profit order at 99.23. On the M15 timeframe, the USDX price moved sideways around the moving average (MA) line before finally breaking upward. Upward momentum began to strengthen after the price managed to stay above the line, indicating that selling pressure had weakened and buying strength was solidifying. This pattern indicates a natural transition from the accumulation phase to the expansion phase, where buyers begin to take control and push the price to higher levels.