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Ikhtiar Trading Jurnal

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Ikhtiar

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Quote from: Ikhtiar on October 13, 2025, 11:45:41 PM
Today I attempted to buy USDJPY with a stop-loss at 152.08 and a take-profit at 152.67. USDJPY on the M15 timeframe. Looking at the price movement structure, the main trend previously seen was a fairly clear downtrend, with the price consistently forming lower highs and lower lows. After reaching the low, the price began attempting an upward correction, but so far the increase has remained contained around the Moving Average line. This indicates that this area is a strong dynamic resistance, where market participants tend to take advantage of the opportunity to sell when the price approaches it.

My open buy position on USDJPY hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $1.84. On the 15-day moving average (TF), USDJPY has moved below the 200-day moving average (MA200), and I see it has broken through the support level at 151.64. This means there's a possibility that USDJPY will decline today, allowing us to look for sell opportunities.
#3511 - October 14, 2025, 11:50:47 PM
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Ikhtiar

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Quote from: Ikhtiar on October 13, 2025, 11:47:50 PM
Today I attempted to buy USDCHF with a stop-loss order placed at 0.8030 and a take-profit order at 0.8057. On the M15 timeframe, USDCHF is showing a correction after experiencing strong bearish pressure. The price dropped sharply, forming a new low, but then began to show signs of recovery, with a significant upward movement, breaking through the red Moving Average line. This Moving Average serves as a medium-term trend reference, and its current position is slightly below the price, providing an early signal that the market is shifting sentiment from bearish to neutral.
My open buy position on USDCHF hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $1.74. On the 15-month timeframe, USDCHF failed to break through the supply area at 0.8006 and is currently attempting to rise, but the current increase is merely a correction.
#3512 - October 14, 2025, 11:53:02 PM
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Ikhtiar

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Today I attempted to buy EURUSD with a stop-loss order placed at 1.1681 and a take-profit order at 1.1722. On the M15 timeframe, EURUSD price movement shows a fairly strong upward impulse, followed by a relatively measured correction. This correction occurred after the price reached the resistance area around the take-profit point seen on the chart. The decline from this area indicates that some market participants began taking profits after the previous significant increase. However, as long as the price remains above the psychological support level and above the moving average line, the potential for the uptrend to continue is still wide open. This condition indicates that the market still has an overall bullish bias.
#3513 - October 17, 2025, 10:48:47 AM
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#3514 - Today at 02:57:16 PM

Ikhtiar

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Today I tried to buy GBPUSD with my stop-loss placed at 1.3406 and take-profit at 1.3477. GBPUSD on the M15 timeframe. From the price action, we can observe that after touching the moving average line, the price began to form several small candles with short bodies and relatively long lower shadows. This pattern indicates that buyers are starting to re-enter the market and prevent further declines. This condition is often an early sign of a potential reversal or continuation of an uptrend after a correction. If a bullish candle with a stronger body appears in the subsequent movement, this can be considered a confirmation signal that buying momentum is starting to dominate again.
#3514 - October 17, 2025, 10:50:51 AM
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Ikhtiar

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Today I attempted to sell the USDX with a stop-loss order placed at 98.37 and a take-profit order at 98.01. On the M15 timeframe, the USDX candlestick pattern appearing in the lower area indicates slight resistance from buyers after the price reached a temporary low. The candlestick's long lower tail indicates that buyers are attempting to prevent further declines. However, the strength of this reversal isn't strong enough to change the trend direction, as the price remains stuck below a minor resistance area parallel to the sell entry level. This indicates that the market is undergoing a minor consolidation in the support area before determining its next direction. In a strong trend like this, consolidation is usually just a preparation phase for further declines.
#3515 - October 17, 2025, 10:53:14 AM
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Ikhtiar

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Today I attempted to buy gold with a stop-loss order placed at 4300.11 and a take-profit order at 4374.17. Gold on the M15 timeframe shows a fairly strong uptrend. Overall, buyers are still dominating the price movement, as evidenced by a series of higher highs and higher lows in the price structure. The price is also still above the red moving average line, which serves as dynamic support in an uptrend. The line is rising with a positive slope, indicating that upward momentum remains dominant and market sentiment toward gold remains positive in the short to medium term.
#3516 - October 17, 2025, 10:55:23 AM
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Ikhtiar

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Today I attempted to sell GBPJPY with my stop-loss placed at 201.93 and take-profit at 200.90. GBPJPY on the M15 timeframe. Looking at the price structure, the market movement shows that after a brief rise, the price began to fall around the resistance area that coincides with the moving average line. After that, a sharp decline occurred, indicating significant selling pressure from market participants. This bearish momentum sent the price down until it broke through the temporary support level, before finally bouncing back and making a small correction. This correction appears to be a natural retracement phase in a downtrend, not a sign of a strong reversal. In situations like this, retracements often present an opportunity for traders to seek new sell positions at the next resistance area.
#3517 - October 17, 2025, 10:57:48 AM
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Today I attempted to sell USDCAD with a stop-loss at 1.4045 and a take-profit at 1.4022. The USDCAD price on the M15 timeframe shows that the market experienced a fairly long consolidation phase after a brief surge. The price pattern formed a series of peaks and troughs of similar height, indicating market participants' uncertainty about the next direction. However, every time the price attempted to rise above the moving average, selling pressure emerged, preventing it from maintaining its bullish momentum. This signals that buyer power is weakening, while sellers are slowly taking control. The recent move, which broke through a minor support level, also strengthens the potential for further price declines in the near term.
#3518 - October 17, 2025, 11:04:39 AM
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Today I attempted to sell EURJPY with a stop-loss order placed at 175.66 and a take-profit order at 174.80. On the M15 timeframe, EURJPY is currently in a downward trend, dominated by strong selling pressure. Overall, the price is moving below the red moving average, indicating a bearish short-term trend. The slightly downward trend of the moving average confirms that market momentum is predominantly controlled by sellers. Although there have been several price attempts to break above the line, each attempt has been followed by rejection and renewed downward pressure. This pattern indicates that the area around the moving average acts as dynamic resistance, effectively holding back price increases temporarily.
#3519 - October 17, 2025, 11:07:46 AM
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Quote from: Ikhtiar on October 17, 2025, 10:48:47 AM
Today I attempted to buy EURUSD with a stop-loss order placed at 1.1681 and a take-profit order at 1.1722. On the M15 timeframe, EURUSD price movement shows a fairly strong upward impulse, followed by a relatively measured correction. This correction occurred after the price reached the resistance area around the take-profit point seen on the chart. The decline from this area indicates that some market participants began taking profits after the previous significant increase. However, as long as the price remains above the psychological support level and above the moving average line, the potential for the uptrend to continue is still wide open. This condition indicates that the market still has an overall bullish bias.
My open buy position on EURUSD hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $1.70. EURUSD fell in today's trading and managed to break through the 200-day moving average (MA200). I'm guessing this EURUSD movement will likely continue next week, as I see sellers starting to enter this currency pair.
#3520 - October 17, 2025, 11:22:18 PM
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#3521 - Today at 02:57:16 PM

Ikhtiar

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Quote from: Ikhtiar on October 17, 2025, 10:50:51 AM
Today I tried to buy GBPUSD with my stop-loss placed at 1.3406 and take-profit at 1.3477. GBPUSD on the M15 timeframe. From the price action, we can observe that after touching the moving average line, the price began to form several small candles with short bodies and relatively long lower shadows. This pattern indicates that buyers are starting to re-enter the market and prevent further declines. This condition is often an early sign of a potential reversal or continuation of an uptrend after a correction. If a bullish candle with a stronger body appears in the subsequent movement, this can be considered a confirmation signal that buying momentum is starting to dominate again.
My open buy position on GBPUSD hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $3.40. GBPUSD appeared to have fallen in today's trading and managed to establish support at 1.3389. Currently, GBPUSD is being held back by the 200-day moving average (MA200), and if it fails to break through, it is likely to fall further.
#3521 - October 17, 2025, 11:24:31 PM
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Ikhtiar

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Quote from: Ikhtiar on October 17, 2025, 10:53:14 AM
Today I attempted to sell the USDX with a stop-loss order placed at 98.37 and a take-profit order at 98.01. On the M15 timeframe, the USDX candlestick pattern appearing in the lower area indicates slight resistance from buyers after the price reached a temporary low. The candlestick's long lower tail indicates that buyers are attempting to prevent further declines. However, the strength of this reversal isn't strong enough to change the trend direction, as the price remains stuck below a minor resistance area parallel to the sell entry level. This indicates that the market is undergoing a minor consolidation in the support area before determining its next direction. In a strong trend like this, consolidation is usually just a preparation phase for further declines.
My open sell position on USDX hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $1.80. Looking at the USDX's movement on the 15-day moving average (TF), it began to rise and broke through the 200-day moving average (MA200). This indicates buyer resistance after a brief period of decline.
#3522 - October 17, 2025, 11:29:00 PM
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Ikhtiar

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Quote from: Ikhtiar on October 17, 2025, 10:55:23 AM
Today I attempted to buy gold with a stop-loss order placed at 4300.11 and a take-profit order at 4374.17. Gold on the M15 timeframe shows a fairly strong uptrend. Overall, buyers are still dominating the price movement, as evidenced by a series of higher highs and higher lows in the price structure. The price is also still above the red moving average line, which serves as dynamic support in an uptrend. The line is rising with a positive slope, indicating that upward momentum remains dominant and market sentiment toward gold remains positive in the short to medium term.
My open buy position on gold hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of 31.86. Gold is seen declining on the 15-month timeframe after hitting a historic high yesterday. Gold is currently below the 200-month timeframe and is likely to continue falling next week.
#3523 - October 17, 2025, 11:31:50 PM
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Ikhtiar

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Today I attempted to sell EURUSD with my stop-loss placed at 1.1662 and take-profit at 1.1624. EURUSD on the M15 timeframe. Generally, the trend direction seen on this chart shows bearish pressure dominating, or a fairly consistent price decline. After the price formed a higher peak on the left side of the chart, the subsequent movement showed a series of gradual declines followed by a small consolidation phase, but was unable to break through to a significant resistance level. This indicates that selling forces still dominate the market, and buyers have not yet been able to control the momentum.
#3524 - October 20, 2025, 11:19:51 PM
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Ikhtiar

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Today I attempted to sell GBPUSD with my stop-loss placed at 1.3424 and take-profit at 1.3386. GBPUSD on the M15 timeframe. From a price action perspective, several patterns confirm weak buying power. Each time the price attempts to rise, the resulting candlesticks exhibit long upper wicks, indicating strong selling pressure emerging at certain levels. Furthermore, the price pattern shows a series of lower highs and lower lows. This structure indicates a steady downward trend and is characteristic of a healthy bear market. As long as this pattern persists, the potential for further decline remains open.
#3525 - October 20, 2025, 11:25:13 PM
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