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Ikhtiar Trading Jurnal

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Ikhtiar

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Quote from: Ikhtiar on September 27, 2025, 10:24:45 PM
Today, I attempted to buy Filecoin with a stop-loss at 2,149 and a take-profit at 2,239. Filecoin on the M15 timeframe. Looking at the overall trend, the 200 Moving Average is still sloping downwards, indicating that the major trend remains under bearish pressure. The price briefly attempted to rise, approaching the 200 MA area, even breaking above it. However, after that, the price corrected again and moved sideways below the Moving Average. This confirms that despite the attempted rise, the dominant trend has not completely changed.
My open buy position on Filecoin hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $0.28. Filecoin briefly dropped to 2,124 on the 15-month timeframe, but then rebounded and is now moving above the 200-day moving average (MA200).
#3391 - September 28, 2025, 11:29:12 PM
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Ikhtiar

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Quote from: Ikhtiar on September 27, 2025, 10:27:43 PM
Today, I attempted to buy Uniswap with a stop-loss order placed at 7,554 and a take-profit order at 7,759. Uniswap, on the M15 timeframe, shows market dynamics in a transitional phase. Although the main trend remains bearish, signs of recovery are visible, with higher lows, consecutive bullish candles, and the price starting to break through the 200-day moving average (MA). Key levels to watch are support at 7.52 and resistance at 7.69. A breakout at either of these levels will determine the direction of the next move.
My open buy position on Uniswap hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $0.54. Uniswap is currently trending upwards, and on the 15-month timeframe, it has successfully formed a demand area at 7,626. We can try buying if Uniswap corrects to this area.
#3392 - September 28, 2025, 11:31:28 PM
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Ikhtiar

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Quote from: Ikhtiar on September 27, 2025, 10:30:19 PM
Today, I attempted to buy Chainlink with a stop-loss order placed at 20.81104 and a take-profit order at 21.42164. On the M15 timeframe, Chainlink experienced a fairly lengthy consolidation phase in the lower area before finally breaking through to the upside. This consolidation indicates accumulation by market participants, which then drives the price upward. A breakout from the consolidation area usually signals the beginning of a new trend, provided the price can stay above the breakout level. Furthermore, the rapid price increase indicates that momentum is on the buyers' side, although there is still potential for a retracement to retest the new support area.
My open buy position on Chainlink hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $1.35. On the 15-month timeframe, Chainlink is currently rising, but a bearish channel has already formed. This indicates that Chainlink may correct first, at least toward the nearest demand area.
#3393 - September 28, 2025, 11:34:11 PM
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#3394 - Today at 06:14:39 PM

Ikhtiar

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Quote from: Ikhtiar on September 27, 2025, 10:32:42 PM
Today, I attempted to buy Dogecoin with a stop-loss order at 0.22946 and a take-profit order at 0.23630. Dogecoin on the M15 timeframe. Price action analysis shows that the price consolidated for quite some time around the lower area, which can be interpreted as an accumulation phase. This consolidation phase is crucial because it usually lays the groundwork for the next major move. After breaking out of the consolidation area, the price showed a sharp rise, indicating buyers were beginning to dominate. This surge could be an early indication that the market is ready to form a new trend, provided the price can stay above the breakout area. However, there is still the possibility of a retracement, as rapid gains are often followed by corrections before continuing further.
My open buy position on Dogecoin hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $14.80. Dogecoin appeared to have risen today and formed a new supply area at 0.23395. Currently, Dogecoin is moving well above the 200-day moving average (MA200), indicating that buyers are still dominating.
#3394 - September 28, 2025, 11:40:28 PM
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Ikhtiar

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Today I attempted to buy EURUSD with a stop-loss at 1.1714 and a take-profit at 1.1756. On the M15 timeframe, the EURUSD pattern formed shows several rejections in the lower area, indicating buyers are starting to enter after the previous strong seller pressure. In the upper area, several long candlestick tails are also visible pointing upwards, indicating that each time the price attempts to break through resistance, sellers remain quite active, pushing the price down. This condition indicates a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers, causing the price to move in a consolidation pattern around the 1.1720 level.
#3395 - September 29, 2025, 09:15:20 PM
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Today I attempted to buy GBPUSD with a stop-loss at 1.3408 and a take-profit at 1.3461. On the M15 timeframe, the GBPUSD price action showed a higher low pattern, with increasingly higher lows, indicating buyers were attempting to regain control of the market. However, no significant higher highs were observed as the price remained stuck in the resistance area. Given this situation, it can be said that a short-term uptrend has begun to form, but it has not yet been fully confirmed. If the price manages to break through the nearest resistance, the chance of further upside increases. However, if it fails, the price could potentially retest the support area.
#3396 - September 29, 2025, 09:17:51 PM
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Today I attempted to sell GBPJPY with my stop-loss placed at 199.76 and take-profit at 199.40. On the M15 timeframe, GBPJPY has several important levels to watch. The nearest support appears to be around 199.30, where the price held several times and buyers reacted. If this level is broken, the price has the potential to continue its decline towards the next support level around 199.00, which is also an important psychological level.
#3397 - September 29, 2025, 09:20:53 PM
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Today I attempted to sell USDCAD with a stop-loss at 1.3924 and a take-profit at 1.3898. USDCAD on the M15 timeframe. Looking at the trend, the price moved significantly higher at the start of the movement, reaching a peak around 1.3950. However, selling pressure soon began to creep in, causing the price to gradually reverse downwards. The price's current position below the moving average further emphasizes that the short-term trend is starting to be dominated by sellers. The moving average, which previously supported the upward movement, has now transformed into dynamic resistance, exerting pressure on the price from above. As long as the price remains below this line, the bearish trend is dominant.
#3398 - September 29, 2025, 09:23:27 PM
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Today I attempted to sell USDX with my stop-loss placed at 98.06 and take-profit at 97.79. USDX on the M15 timeframe. Looking at the price movement, the main trend visible on the chart is down. Initially, the price moved quite strongly upward, reaching a peak of around 98.50, but then significant selling pressure began to emerge. The price began forming lower highs and lower lows, a hallmark of a bearish trend. This selling pressure became more pronounced when the price broke below the red moving average line, which in this case can be considered a reference for the intermediate trend. The current price position below the moving average line indicates that sellers are still dominant.
#3399 - September 29, 2025, 11:42:05 PM
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Today I attempted to buy gold with a stop-loss order placed at 3817.82 and a take-profit order at 3842.20. On the M15 timeframe, the candlestick patterns on the chart clearly show bullish candles, especially during the sharp price increase phase in the middle to upper part of the chart. Large bullish candles indicate a strong push from buyers, which significantly boosted the price. After reaching the resistance level, the candles began to shrink, and some candles formed consolidation patterns, such as dojis or small-bodied candlesticks. This pattern indicates the market is experiencing a pause after a prolonged rally.
#3400 - September 29, 2025, 11:46:18 PM
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#3401 - Today at 06:14:39 PM

Ikhtiar

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Today I attempted to sell EURJPY with a stop-loss order placed at 174.39 and a take-profit order at 174.08. EURJPY on the M15 timeframe. Trend-wise, the price initially appeared to be in a fairly stable uptrend, with a series of higher highs and higher lows. However, after that, the price began to lose momentum and eventually fell, breaking through the red moving average line, which acts as dynamic support. The fact that the price is now below the moving average is a strong indication that the trend has turned bearish in the short term. Furthermore, the decreasing slope of the moving average confirms that selling pressure is more dominant than buying pressure.
#3401 - September 29, 2025, 11:51:12 PM
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Ikhtiar

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Today I attempted to sell USDJPY with a stop-loss at 148.78 and a take-profit at 148.33. On the M15 timeframe, USDJPY price movement predominantly formed small candles with relatively long upper tails. This phenomenon usually indicates selling pressure whenever the price attempts to rise. Candles with small bodies indicate market indecision, but because they are positioned at the bottom, the potential for further decline remains dominant. Furthermore, there are no significant reversal patterns such as a double bottom, a clear hammer, or a bullish engulfing pattern in the support area, so the chance of a reversal remains low. As long as there is no strong bullish formation, the most logical scenario is for the downtrend to continue.
#3402 - September 29, 2025, 11:55:28 PM
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Today I tried to sell USDCHF with my stop-loss placed at 0.7987 and take-profit at 0.7962. USDCHF on the M15 timeframe. From the price action perspective, we can see that after a sharp decline, the price entered a consolidation phase in the lower area around 0.7964. This consolidation indicates that the market is accumulating or awaiting new momentum. Typically, after a sideways phase like this, a continuation movement in the direction of the previous trend, namely downward, will occur. However, it's important to note that if the price fails to break through strong support below, a brief correction may occur before continuing the decline. Price action in this consolidation area must be closely monitored as it will be key to the next direction.
#3403 - September 29, 2025, 11:57:41 PM
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« Last Edit: September 30, 2025, 12:00:06 AM by Ikhtiar »

Ikhtiar

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Quote from: Ikhtiar on September 29, 2025, 09:15:20 PM
Today I attempted to buy EURUSD with a stop-loss at 1.1714 and a take-profit at 1.1756. On the M15 timeframe, the EURUSD pattern formed shows several rejections in the lower area, indicating buyers are starting to enter after the previous strong seller pressure. In the upper area, several long candlestick tails are also visible pointing upwards, indicating that each time the price attempts to break through resistance, sellers remain quite active, pushing the price down. This condition indicates a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers, causing the price to move in a consolidation pattern around the 1.1720 level.
My open buy position on EURUSD today hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $1.60. EURUSD rose to 1.1761 today, but then briefly dipped, hitting my stop-loss at 1.1714.
#3404 - September 30, 2025, 10:55:30 AM
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Ikhtiar

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Quote from: Ikhtiar on September 29, 2025, 09:20:53 PM
Today I attempted to sell GBPJPY with my stop-loss placed at 199.76 and take-profit at 199.40. On the M15 timeframe, GBPJPY has several important levels to watch. The nearest support appears to be around 199.30, where the price held several times and buyers reacted. If this level is broken, the price has the potential to continue its decline towards the next support level around 199.00, which is also an important psychological level.
My open sell position on GBPJPY today hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $1.48. GBPJPY is still in a downtrend on the 15-month timeframe. This can be seen from the GBPJPY's increasingly lower price movement, moving below the 200-day moving average (MA200). I believe we can still look for sell opportunities on GBPJPY today.
#3405 - September 30, 2025, 10:57:41 AM
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