The release of China's trade balance data scheduled for release at 10:00 WIB will likely trigger high volatility in global financial markets amid escalating escalation of tensions between the US and China after President Trump at the beginning of last week said he would plan to raise import tariffs on Chinese goods .
Furthermore, in the European session, the release of German industrial production data at 1:00 p.m. and the ECB minutes at 6:30 p.m. will attract the attention of EURUSD traders amid their search for indications of economic health in the region after recent fundamental fundamentals have been released. And for the US session, the focus will be on oil reserves data from EIA at 21:30 WIB after the API reported a rise in reserves in the US.
Market Movers today
Movement Potential
Gold
Gold prices have a chance to strengthen in the short term amid rising demand for safe haven assets amid US-China trade and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East to test resistance levels at $ 1288 - $ 1293. If it moves down, the support level is seen at $ 1280 - $ 1275.
Oil
Oil prices have a chance to move down in the short term if the market responds to reports of an increase in oil reserves from API overnight to test the support level at $ 61.20 - $ 60.70. However, the price is likely to rise to test resistance at $ 62.00 - $ 62.50 if EIA at 21:30 WIB reports a decline in reserves in the US.
EURUSD
EURUSD has a chance to weaken in the short term as the market is still burdened with bad fundamentals lately to test the support at 1.1160 - 1.1110. If moving up the resistance level is at 1.1220 - 1.1270. The market looks forward to German industrial production data at 13:00 WIB and minutes of the ECB at 18:30 WIB for further movement catalysts.
GBPUSD
The ongoing Brexit uncertainty, especially after increasing demand for PM May, resigned has the potential to trigger a decline in GBPUSD in the short term to test the support at 1.3040 - 1.2990. However, if moving up the resistance level is at 1.3100 - 1.3150 with the market waiting for Halifax UK HPI data at 2:30 p.m. WIB and MPC member David Ramsden's speech at 3:15 p.m. WIB to trigger further GBPUSD movements.
USDJPY
BOJ minutes release which is seen as still dovish has the opportunity to push up the USDJPY in the short term to test resistance at 110.50 - 111.00. However, if the sentiment of US-China trade tensions still dominates the market, the USDJPY has a chance to move down to test the support at 109.90 - 109.40.
AUDUSD
AUDUSD has the chance to move up in the short term, if the release of China's trade balance data scheduled for 10:00 WIB the results look optimistic by testing the resistance level at 0.7040 - 0.7090. However, if the data is released pessimistically accompanied by sentiment of US-China trade tensions, it is likely to trigger a decline in AUDUSD to test the support at 0.6980 - 0.6930.