Farmerfx trading journal

Posts: 35 · #16 - November 26, 2025, 10:08:26 PM

USDJPY has tended to draw lower lows over the past five days. This reflects a weakening trend in the USD. This may be influenced by expectations of a Fed rate cut and the possibility of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates to curb inflation. Sell limit USDJPY 156,673, SL 156,873, TP 155,673, or adjust accordingly.

Posts: 35 · #17 - November 30, 2025, 11:14:27 PM

Technically, USDCAD has fallen, approaching the dynamic support of the 200-day moving average (MA) at around 1.391887. The price is within the lower band, which could serve as a support zone. However, expectations of a Fed rate cut may still put pressure on the USD. Bet here: buy through MT5 FXOpen, USDCAD at 1.39703, SL 1.39280, TP 1.41155, which may change depending on further market changes.

Posts: 21196 · #18 - November 30, 2025, 11:20:41 PM

Quote from: farmerfx on November 30, 2025, 11:14:27 PM

Technically, USDCAD has fallen, approaching the dynamic support of the 200-day moving average (MA) at around 1.391887. The price is within the lower band, which could serve as a support zone. However, expectations of a Fed rate cut may still put pressure on the USD. Bet here: buy through MT5 FXOpen, USDCAD at 1.39703, SL 1.39280, TP 1.41155, which may change depending on further market changes.

Your buy entry plan at 1.39703 with a stop-loss of 1.39280 and a take-loss of 1.41155 demonstrates that you've established clear risk parameters and targets. Your stop-loss is quite logical, as it's located just below your perceived support area. Hopefully, USDCAD will rise today and you'll profit.

Posts: 35 · #19 - December 01, 2025, 11:18:13 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on November 30, 2025, 11:20:41 PM

Your buy entry plan at 1.39703 with a stop-loss of 1.39280 and a take-loss of 1.41155 demonstrates that you've established clear risk parameters and targets. Your stop-loss is quite logical, as it's located just below your perceived support area. Hopefully, USDCAD will rise today and you'll profit.

Thanks for the comment. Until now, the position is still floating, and I will let the market movement end it.

Posts: 21196 · #20 - December 02, 2025, 04:46:10 AM

Quote from: farmerfx on December 01, 2025, 11:18:13 PM

Thanks for the comment. Until now, the position is still floating, and I will let the market movement end it.

Okay, bro, good luck. Don't change your plan just because of temporary price movements. Many traders lose money by moving their stop-losses, moving their targets, or closing their positions too soon. If you have a plan before entering, stick to it until the position is fully closed.

#21 - **Today** at 10:41:22 AM

Posts: 35 · #21 - December 03, 2025, 11:23:04 PM

EURUSD rose due to a weakening USD and a risk-on global sentiment. Today, we are still holding our long position at 1.16101 with a SL of 1.15886 without a specific target.

Posts: 21196 · #22 - December 03, 2025, 11:34:26 PM

Quote from: farmerfx on December 03, 2025, 11:23:04 PM

EURUSD rose due to a weakening USD and a risk-on global sentiment. Today, we are still holding our long position at 1.16101 with a SL of 1.15886 without a specific target.

I think this is a fairly rational approach to capitalizing on the strengthening momentum of the EURUSD due to the weakening USD and rising global risk appetite. When fundamentals support a weakening dollar, pairs like the EURUSD typically receive an additional boost from capital inflows into risky assets.

Posts: 21196 · #23 - December 04, 2025, 01:00:46 AM

I think EURUSD is likely to rise today, as I see the trend remaining bullish. The most important thing when entering the market is to be prepared for the risks we've already identified.

Posts: 35 · #24 - December 09, 2025, 12:03:29 AM

EURUSD fell yesterday, but the price drew an indecision candle. If expectations for a Fed rate cut continue to rise, the USD may weaken. On the other hand, the ECB is not expected to cut interest rates anytime soon as inflation remains high. Today, try again on MT5, open long position pair EURUSD at 1.16401, SL 1.6319, TP 1.6702, or depending on analysis updates through the FXOpen platform.

Posts: 21196 · #25 - December 09, 2025, 11:10:54 PM

Quote from: farmerfx on December 09, 2025, 12:03:29 AM

EURUSD fell yesterday, but the price drew an indecision candle. If expectations for a Fed rate cut continue to rise, the USD may weaken. On the other hand, the ECB is not expected to cut interest rates anytime soon as inflation remains high. Today, try again on MT5, open long position pair EURUSD at 1.16401, SL 1.6319, TP 1.6702, or depending on analysis updates through the FXOpen platform.

It's true that the EURUSD formed an indecision candle after weakening. This type of candlestick indicates market indecision, where buyers and sellers are unable to control the direction. In such conditions, the market typically waits for the next fundamental catalyst before making a more decisive move. Therefore, opening a position too quickly without additional confirmation can increase the risk of a false breakout.

Posts: 35 · #26 - December 10, 2025, 11:15:44 PM

Silver prices appear to remain bullish. The Fed's decision to lower interest rates has weakened the USD, driving silver higher. Fundamentally, silver is widely used in the electronics industry, in solar panels, and in electric vehicles. Rising industrial demand provides long-term structural support for silver. A floating position on silver long position at 61,074, with a SL of 59,762, and an unspecified target.

Posts: 21196 · #27 - December 10, 2025, 11:53:50 PM

Quote from: farmerfx on December 10, 2025, 11:15:44 PM

Silver prices appear to remain bullish. The Fed's decision to lower interest rates has weakened the USD, driving silver higher. Fundamentally, silver is widely used in the electronics industry, in solar panels, and in electric vehicles. Rising industrial demand provides long-term structural support for silver. A floating position on silver long position at 61,074, with a SL of 59,762, and an unspecified target.

The bullish sentiment stemming from the Fed's interest rate cut aligns with commodity market principles. When interest rates fall, the USD typically weakens, making assets like silver and gold more attractive. However, it's important to note that the effects of a weaker USD aren't always long-lasting. If subsequent US economic data again shows strength, the USD could strengthen again, putting downward pressure on silver prices.

Posts: 35 · #28 - December 15, 2025, 02:54:53 PM

On silver, there's a reversal signal on the M30 timeframe, with the price crossing the middle band. The weakening USD supports silver as a safe-haven asset. Today, I'm trying a pending order on silver at 61,230 with a stop-loss of 60,146 and a take-profit of 64,000.

Posts: 35 · #29 - December 16, 2025, 11:24:51 PM

Gold is currently around $4,305, moving above the psychological level of $4,300. Yesterday's US data release produced mixed results, dampening expectations for an interest rate cut, limiting gold's gains. If the price breaks below $4,300, I will focus on the $4,200 range for the next support level.

Posts: 35 · #30 - December 21, 2025, 11:45:03 PM

On the daily timeframe, the AUDUSD pair is moving near the middle band, a frequently consolidation zone. Expectations of a Fed rate hike, driven by several supportive US economic data last week, may be a catalyst for USD weakness. If this analysis is correct, the AUDUSD pair could rebound. However, with Christmas approaching, trading volumes are likely to decrease, which could lead to a sideways market or increased volatility. Here try pending order buy limit at 0.66000 SL 0.6000 TP 0.66800.