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Farmerfx trading journal

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farmerfx

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On Saturday, February 28, the US and Israel attacked Iran, killing its supreme leader, Ayatollah Khamenei. Oil, silver, and gold prices surged due to the geopolitical risk premium. Iran launched retaliatory attacks on US and Israeli military bases. Long positions in silver are still held.
#76 - March 01, 2026, 11:53:39 PM
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farmerfx

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The market has become highly volatile amid the conflict in the Middle East. Although silver prices fell yesterday due to a stronger USD, I remain skeptical of long-term gains. Therefore, I speculated on taking a long position in silver with a stop-loss near yesterday's low on the FXOpen MT5 platform. If the USD continues to strengthen today, the stop-loss might be triggered.
#77 - March 04, 2026, 12:44:28 AM
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farmerfx

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The current gold price is around $5170, with movement likely within the $5000-$5200 range. A breakout of this level could push gold to new highs. Escalation in the Middle East remains a catalyst for gold's safe-haven status. On the other hand, gold is negatively correlated with the USD; if the USD strengthens, gold tends to fall, while if the USD weakens, gold tends to rise. Here, I hold a long position in gold with a stop-loss at $4998.
#78 - March 05, 2026, 12:41:18 AM
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farmerfx

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Oil prices are soaring, with WTI opening above $100 today. I'm holding my long position with a modified stop-loss at around $96.33. Some analysts predict oil prices could reach $120 if the Middle East war disrupts supply.
#79 - March 08, 2026, 11:54:54 PM
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farmerfx

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Today, oil prices corrected to around $85 after briefly rising above $100. Tensions in the Middle East may ease if Trump and Netanyahu's meeting discusses a ceasefire. Meanwhile, Iran has firmly rejected negotiations with the US, citing repeated US disruptions. I try to bet on oil prices rising again.
#80 - March 10, 2026, 12:04:04 AM
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Farmerfx trading journal in Trading Journal_6803a6c52eb12
#81 - Today at 08:01:16 PM

farmerfx

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Today, I tried betting on WTI oil again by opening a long position because the price broke out of the BB squeeze. The Middle East conflict isn't over yet, so oil prices are still likely to rise.
#81 - March 11, 2026, 11:38:58 PM
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farmerfx

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The current price of WTI oil is around $95.48, having risen from around $93.07 previously. Conditions in the Strait of Hormuz appear unstable, with the threat from Iran still present. Although the Strait of Hormuz is open with special protocols, not all ships are allowed to pass through. Oil prices are likely to remain high. However, there are US efforts to release oil inventories to maintain supply, which could lead to a price correction. I am maintaining a long position in oil by moving my stop-loss to the breakeven point.
#82 - March 12, 2026, 11:42:32 PM
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farmerfx

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Oil prices gapped up at the opening today. WTI opened at 99.75, then dropped to around 96. IEA members reportedly planned to release their strategic oil reserves to support supply. My stop-loss position in profit was hit by the oil price decline. I'm currently trying again with a pending buy limit order at around 92.89 and a stop-loss at 88.89, with a target of around 100.00.
#83 - March 15, 2026, 11:58:16 PM
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farmerfx

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Today, I am still maintaining my position on the XTIUSD. WTI prices are currently at roughly $95. The Iran war shows no signs of ending. Supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz continue to threaten oil prices, despite IEA members releasing their strategic oil reserves to support supply.
#84 - March 17, 2026, 11:27:36 PM
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farmerfx

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Today I tried speculating by opening a short position on gold. Gold dropped below $5,000 after the Fed decided to keep interest rates unchanged. With higher inflation projections in 2026, the market expects the Fed to maintain high interest rates for longer, which theoretically would encourage investors to choose high-yielding US Treasuries over non-yielding assets like gold.
#85 - March 18, 2026, 11:25:20 PM
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farmerfx

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Gold positions were liquidated with profit-taking hitting the target. Today, gold opened with a gap, but the question remains whether this area will serve as a price floor for gold or whether prices will continue to fall due to massive profit-taking amid the Fed's hawkish stance. A wait-and-see approach is in play.
#86 - March 22, 2026, 11:09:01 PM
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farmerfx

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Gold prices fell sharply to a low of around $4,098. This was followed by a rebound. If large institutions holding leveraged gold positions continue to take profits, gold may fall again. However, if this area is considered strong support, gold may slowly rise. Here, I'm betting on a buy position with a stop-loss at the nearest support zone.
#87 - March 23, 2026, 11:43:27 PM
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farmerfx

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Gold prices on the hourly timeframe tend to move sideways, possibly reflecting a possible weakening and potential for a long-term rally. We are still holding a long position in gold with a limited averaging strategy.
#88 - March 24, 2026, 10:48:59 PM
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farmerfx

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Long gold positions are currently at a floating loss, with gold down around $4401, and failing to confirm a reversal pattern after gold dropped as low as $4098.
#89 - March 26, 2026, 11:33:18 PM
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farmerfx

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Oil prices reached the psychological level of $100, long positions on XTIUSD were reached, and now they are trying to place pending orders around the $86 price level in a wait-and-see mode. The Middle East conflict situation, if the war escalates further, could lead to higher prices.
#90 - March 29, 2026, 11:19:58 PM
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