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Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen in Fundamental_67f83ac065b44

Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

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S&P 500 Shows Indecision Near All-Time High
Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen in Fundamental_7RG8aFwM_o

As the S&P 500 chart (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) shows, this morning the price approached yesterday?s high at A, but then sharply reversed downward (indicated by the arrow), forming a lower low at B.

This resembles a Double Top pattern, which can be interpreted as market indecision near the all-time high. Traders are weighing risks and opportunities that depend on US actions in Venezuela:

- Bullish factor: access to the country?s resources could act as a growth driver for the US economy. Yesterday, financials and energy sectors were the strongest performers.
- Bearish factor: related to geopolitical risks and the potential involvement of the US in a protracted conflict.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#2371 - January 06, 2026, 12:42:03 PM

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Intel (INTC) Shares Surge Following Chip Unveiling
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Intel (INTC) shares jumped above $44.30 yesterday, marking a 21-month high. The rally was driven by news from CES 2026, where the company unveiled its new Core Ultra Series 3 processors (codenamed Panther Lake). These are Intel?s first consumer chips manufactured using the advanced Intel 18A process technology.

Market participants interpreted the announcement as evidence that Intel?s ambitious turnaround strategy to restore its technological leadership is gaining traction. The launch of the 18A node suggests that Intel is once again capable of competing with TSMC on the leading edge of semiconductor manufacturing.

According to media reports, several analysts have raised their price targets for INTC shares, as the new technology opens up the prospect for Intel to secure contract manufacturing orders from major players such as Nvidia and Apple.

Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen in Fundamental_A57SyzHv_o

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#2372 - January 08, 2026, 11:40:47 AM

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AUD/USD Is Under Bearish Pressure
Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen in Fundamental_W2vdMlbx_o

As indicated by the AUD/USD chart, the Australian dollar has fallen below the 0.6680 level today, with the decline from Wednesday?s high (A) exceeding 1.1%.

Key bearish drivers include:

→ Declining inflation expectations. Data released on Wednesday showed a sharp slowdown in Australian inflation to 3.4%. This has removed the likelihood of a February rate hike by the Reserve Bank of Australia, which had previously maintained a hawkish stance.

→ Uncertainty surrounding China. The economy of Australia?s main trading partner is failing to deliver the expected strong growth, with today?s PMI data coming in mixed. This raises doubts about Chinese demand for Australian commodities and weighs on the AUD, which is often viewed as a proxy for the Chinese economy.

→ NFP-related risk aversion. Ahead of today?s US labour market report, investors are shifting into risk-reduction mode and increasing demand for so-called safe-haven US dollars amid concerns over potential negative surprises.

Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen in Fundamental_rCI1OBhh_o

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#2373 - January 09, 2026, 01:02:04 PM

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Market De-Risking Ahead of the US Employment Report: Euro and Pound Under Pressure
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European currencies have retreated from local highs amid a decline in risk appetite and ahead of the release of key US labour market data. Market participants are opting to reduce exposure before the publication of the employment report, which could set the direction for the US dollar and adjust expectations regarding the Federal Reserve?s next policy steps. As major players return following a period of reduced liquidity, the market is becoming more sensitive to fundamental drivers, while caution is increasing ahead of the release of high-impact statistics.

Overall, the market remains in a wait-and-see phase, characterised by restraint and a strong focus on upcoming US macroeconomic data. The employment report may become a key reference point, capable of shaping future risk allocation and setting the tone for movements in both the dollar and European currencies.

Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen in Fundamental_1vDxV1ef_o

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#2374 - January 09, 2026, 01:09:58 PM

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Defence Sector Shares Advance
Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen in Fundamental_LwVT8p4A_o

Recent developments, including the operation in Venezuela and unrest in Iran, are driving gains in defence sector equities. This week in particular:

→ The US President proposed increasing the military budget from USD 901 billion in 2026 to USD 1.5 trillion in 2027, providing a strong outlook for revenue growth across defence contractors and the military-industrial complex.

→ White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt stated that the US President and his team are discussing a range of options regarding Greenland, noting that the use of US armed forces always remains an option available to the Commander-in-Chief.

A clear example of the market?s reaction is the sharp rally in Lockheed Martin (LMT) shares. While trading at the start of the year opened near USD 483.50, the price exceeded USD 540 at the peak of yesterday?s session.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#2375 - January 09, 2026, 01:20:15 PM

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Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen in Fundamental_6803a6c52eb12
#2376 - Today at 05:31:46 PM

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Gold Price Breaks Above $4,600 for the First Time
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At the opening of Monday?s session on 12 January, gold (XAU/USD) gapped higher and briefly moved above the psychological $4,600 level, setting a new all-time high.

Bullish drivers:

→ Geopolitical tensions. Following developments in Venezuela, market attention has shifted to unrest in Iran and renewed discussion around the United States? interest in Greenland, whether through purchase or other means.

→ Renewed friction between the White House and the Federal Reserve. Over the weekend, Jerome Powell stated that he had received threats of criminal prosecution, possibly linked to his stance on interest-rate cuts, which differs from President Trump?s view.

Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen in Fundamental_4T14aqvJ_o

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#2376 - January 12, 2026, 11:50:54 AM

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Market Analysis: AUD/USD and NZD/USD Pull Back, Caution Creeps In
Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen in Fundamental_934k8brz_o

AUD/USD failed to stay in a positive zone and declined below 0.6700. NZD/USD is also moving lower and might extend losses below 0.5700.

Important Takeaways for AUD/USD and NZD/USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline from well above 0.6740 against the US Dollar.
- There is an expanding triangle forming with resistance at 0.6705 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
- NZD/USD declined steadily from 0.5800 and traded below 0.5760.
- There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.5750 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis
Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen in Fundamental_j8fyXAeZ_o

On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to clear 0.6765. The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline below 0.6750 against the US Dollar.

The pair even settled below 0.6720 and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was a clear move below 0.6680. A low was formed at 0.6663, and the pair is now consolidating losses. There was a minor recovery wave above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6766 swing high to the 0.6663 low.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#2377 - January 12, 2026, 11:58:16 AM

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The US Dollar Index (DXY) Turns Lower
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Capital flows into gold amid rising geopolitical and broader market risks, together with Jerome Powell?s remarks about potential criminal prosecution, have not only driven XAU/USD to record highs (as discussed earlier today) but have also put pressure on the US Dollar Index (DXY).

Markets are also digesting the latest Non-Farm Payrolls data released on Friday. The figures pointed to a slowdown in the US economy, with actual job growth at 50K versus expectations of 66K. This reinforces the case for interest-rate cuts and acts as a bearish factor for the US dollar.

As a result, the dollar index is moving lower today.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#2378 - January 12, 2026, 12:16:43 PM

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Pin Bar Candle: How Traders Identify and Use It
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A pin bar candle is one of those patterns traders talk about a lot, but often without much precision. Used properly, it can offer clues about rejected price levels and shifting control between buyers and sellers. This article breaks down what a pin bar candle actually represents, how traders identify pin bars, and how traders can develop a pin bar trading strategy.

Key Takeaways
- A pin bar candle is a reversal pattern defined by a small real body and a long upper/lower wick showing strong price rejection.
- Pin bars carry more weight when they form at clear support, resistance, or failed breakout levels.
- Higher timeframes tend to produce more useful pin bar signals than lower ones.
- The length and placement of the wick matter more than the candle colour.

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#2379 - January 12, 2026, 12:33:58 PM

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S&P 500 Hits a Record - But Is Everything Really So Positive?
Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen in Fundamental_sKyJ7aJk_o

As the S&P 500 chart shows (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen), the index touched 6,990 yesterday, marking an all-time high for the first time. The psychological 7,000 level is now within close reach. Optimism may be driven by the start of the earnings season, which could confirm continued growth in corporate profits.

But is the outlook entirely positive?

From a fundamental perspective, several factors could raise concerns:

→ News surrounding a criminal case involving Jerome Powell. This may be perceived as pressure on the Fed Chair and a threat to the central bank?s independence, potentially undermining the investment climate.

→ The upcoming release of CPI data (scheduled for today at 16:30 GMT+3). A scenario in which the figures point to rising inflation cannot be ruled out, which could trigger a sharp sell-off in equity markets.

→ Risks of the US becoming involved in new military conflicts.

From a technical standpoint, bearish signals are also emerging on the chart.

Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen in Fundamental_xVjtmm7b_o

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#2380 - January 13, 2026, 01:42:26 PM

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Silver Prices Stabilise Near Record Highs
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As the XAG/USD chart shows, the price of silver per ounce is consolidating near its all-time high, which lies above $85.

Bullish sentiment dominates the market, as concerns over the independence of the US Federal Reserve, heightened geopolitical tensions, and other factors have fuelled demand for safe-haven metals. According to media reports:

→ Official authorities are exerting pressure on the Fed to cut interest rates, having opened a criminal case against its Chair. Powell, in turn, described these actions as a ?pretext? for influencing the decisions of an independent financial institution.

→ Traders are also closely monitoring the escalation of protests in Iran, which could lead to US military involvement, alongside President Trump?s statements about the annexation of Greenland. In the aftermath of the operation in Venezuela, such scenarios are increasingly being viewed as realistic.

Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen in Fundamental_uPI04JK7_o

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#2381 - January 13, 2026, 01:48:36 PM

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SMT Divergence in Trading: Concepts and Strategies
Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen in Fundamental_eT202jV2_o

SMT divergence is a way of comparing related markets to spot subtle shifts in momentum that price alone can hide. Instead of focusing on indicators or single charts, it looks at how correlated instruments behave relative to each other at key highs and lows. When those relationships break down, it can reveal useful information about market pressure, positioning, and potential turning points. This article explains how SMT divergence works and how traders apply SMT divergence strategies.

Key Takeaways
- SMT divergence is a market analysis concept that occurs when two correlated instruments fail to make matching highs or lows, signalling a potential shift in momentum and underlying market pressure.
- Its core components are correlated instruments, a clear price mismatch at key levels, and institutional positioning.

SMT divergence is context-dependent. It is used near extremes and alongside market structure, rather than as a standalone signal.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#2382 - January 13, 2026, 01:51:52 PM

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Dollar Rises Amid Fed Uncertainty And Geopolitical Risks
Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen in Fundamental_bfaxddTA_o

The US currency maintains its upward momentum against a backdrop of macroeconomic uncertainty, political pressure on the Federal Reserve and rising geopolitical risks. Investors continue to favour the dollar as a "safe-haven asset", despite mixed signals from the regulator and a muted market reaction to recent political developments in the United States. An additional source of support remains the stability of US Treasury yields, which, after recent volatility, have consolidated near local levels, reflecting a wait-and-see stance among market participants.

The overall backdrop for the FX market remains tense. The investigation involving the Fed Chair and the growing political pressure have intensified discussions about the regulator?s independence, adding uncertainty to interest-rate expectations. At the same time, geopolitical risks and instability in certain regions continue to underpin demand for the dollar and limit interest in higher-risk currencies. In the near term, USD/JPY and USD/CAD dynamics will be shaped by the balance between US yields, signals from the Fed and political developments in both the US and Japan, with markets remaining highly sensitive to any new news catalysts.

Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen in Fundamental_BDMb0k07_o

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#2383 - January 14, 2026, 11:08:05 AM

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Market Analysis: EUR/USD Retreats as USD/JPY Rally Puts 160 in Sight
Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen in Fundamental_fKk4zQ8J_o

EUR/USD failed to clear 1.1700 and trimmed some gains. USD/JPY managed to reclaim 158.00 and might aim for more gains.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/JPY Analysis Today
- The Euro started a downside correction from the 1.1700 pivot zone.
- There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.1660 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
- USD/JPY climbed higher above 158.50 and 159.00.
- There is a bullish trend line forming with support near 158.50 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis
Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen in Fundamental_VpwsTMnH_o
On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from 1.1620. The Euro cleared a few key hurdles near 1.1650 to move into a positive zone against the US Dollar.

The pair settled above 1.1680 and the 50-hour simple moving average. A high was formed at 1.1698, and the pair started a downside correction. There was a drop below 1.1650 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1618 swing low to the 1.1698 high.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#2384 - January 14, 2026, 11:20:39 AM

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WTI Oil Price Rises Above $60
Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen in Fundamental_CHGY5ipb_o

As the XTI/USD chart shows, the price of a barrel climbed above $60 this week, reaching a one-month high.

The main bullish driver has been large-scale anti-government protests in Iran, which could lead to a change of power and/or military action. Trump has voiced support for the protesters and threatened 25% tariffs on all countries trading with Iran. Market participants fear that Iranian oil supplies (around 1.5?2 mb/d) could simply disappear, or that the Strait of Hormuz could be closed.

Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen in Fundamental_tJxMKzPu_o

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#2385 - January 14, 2026, 11:32:55 AM

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