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Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen in Fundamental_67f83ac065b44

Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

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Market Analysis: AUD/USD and NZD/USD Recover, Are Gains Just Getting Started?
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AUD/USD is attempting a recovery wave from 0.6440. NZD/USD is also correcting losses and might recover if there is a clear move above 0.5760.

Important Takeaways for AUD/USD and NZD/USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar found support near 0.6440 and is now recovering against the US Dollar.
- There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 0.6490 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
- NZD/USD is attempting a recovery wave above 0.5700.
- There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near 0.5720 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis
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On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair dipped from well above 0.6600. The Aussie Dollar declined below 0.6500, but the bulls were active near 0.6440 against the US Dollar.

A low was formed near 0.6440, and the pair is now correcting losses. There was a move above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward wave from the 0.6612 swing high to the 0.6440 low. There was also a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 0.6490.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#2191 - October 20, 2025, 10:49:14 AM

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S&P 500 Index Shows Elevated Volatility
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On the 4-hour chart of the S&P 500 Index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen), the ATR indicator with standard settings has not fallen below the 30 mark, signalling higher current market volatility compared to previous periods. Traders? decisions are being influenced by the ongoing government shutdown, developments around a potential US-China tariff deal, and an increasingly active earnings season. Market sentiment has also been shaped by renewed concerns over regional bank stability and profit-taking in AI-related stocks.

Looking ahead, the new week is also expected to bring heightened volatility, as:

→ US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng are set to meet in the coming days, paving the way for a potential meeting between Presidents Trump and Xi later this month.

→ Attention will also turn to quarterly results from Netflix, Coca-Cola, Tesla, IBM, and Intel. With key US economic data releases suspended due to the government shutdown, investors are likely to look to corporate earnings for direction.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#2192 - October 20, 2025, 11:05:42 AM

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XTI/USD Chart Analysis: Oil Prices Fall to Yearly Lows
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As shown on the XTI/USD chart, WTI crude is trading below $57 today, with the 2025 low sitting near $55. Several factors are currently weighing on oil prices:

→ Uncertainty surrounding the US-China trade deal ? the world?s two largest oil consumers ? continues to cloud the outlook for global growth and crude demand.

→ Increased output from OPEC+ members has added further pressure, with the IEA last week raising its forecast for a global oil surplus.

→ A decline in the risk premium following the peace agreement in the Middle East has also reduced support for oil prices.

So, what could happen next?

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#2193 - October 20, 2025, 01:12:10 PM

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#2194 - Today at 09:12:58 AM

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Market Insights with Gary Thomson: Canada, UK & US Inflation, UK Retail Sales, Earnings Reports


In this video, we?ll explore the key economic events and market trends, shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into financial markets to help you navigate the week ahead. Let?s dive in!

In this episode of Market Insights, Gary Thomson unpacks the strategic implications of the week?s most critical events driving global markets.

👉 Key topics covered in this episode:
- Canada?s Inflation Rate
- UK Inflation Rate
- UK Retail Sales
- US Inflation Rate
- Corporate Earnings Reports

Gain insights to strengthen your trading knowledge.

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Watch it now and stay updated with FXOpen.

Don't miss out on this invaluable opportunity to sharpen your trading skills and make informed decisions.

Disclaimer: This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#2194 - October 21, 2025, 07:31:38 AM

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10 Currencies That Are Considered the Weakest in Africa
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Currencies reflect the health of a nation?s economy, and several African nations continue to grapple with severe depreciation. From dependence on commodity exports to political unrest and chronic inflation, each case tells a different story of economic struggle.

This FXOpen article examines what are considered to be the lowest currencies in Africa, highlighting the structural challenges behind their weakness and the risks they face in global markets.

The List of 10 Currencies That Are Considered the Weakest in Africa
Currency weakness in Africa stems from many different pressures, including inflation, external debt, reliance on imports, and fragile governance. Each country faces a unique mix of structural challenges that influence exchange rate performance and investor confidence.

In the sections below, we look at the top 10 currencies that are considered the weakest in Africa, exploring the economic and political forces that drive depreciation. To provide consistency, the US dollar serves as the benchmark that offers direct comparisons of how these currencies trade on the global market.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#2195 - October 21, 2025, 11:30:17 AM

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What Are Falling Knives in Trading?
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You?ve probably heard the saying ?never catch a falling knife? ? but what does it really mean in trading? A falling knife typically reflects panic in the markets, driven by negative news, poor earnings, or broader economic uncertainty. The phrase warns against buying an asset that?s plummeting in price, as trying to determine the exact bottom can be both risky and costly. Let?s explore what drives these moves, the risks they carry, and how to approach them with caution.

Understanding the Falling Knife Pattern
A falling knife pattern reflects a significant rapid drop in an asset?s price, including stocks, commodities, forex pairs, indices, cryptocurrencies*, and more. This situation is often driven by negative news, poor earnings reports, or broader market sell-offs.

To identify a falling knife, traders consider several characteristics. Firstly, the decline is steep and sudden, typically marked by large bearish candlesticks that may appear as a large engulfing candle on a higher timeframe. Secondly, the volume often increases as the price falls, indicating panic selling. Thirdly, technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) might show oversold conditions, suggesting the asset is undervalued in the short term.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#2196 - October 21, 2025, 11:42:26 AM

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Apple (AAPL) Shares Hit an All-Time High
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On 26 September, we noted that Apple (AAPL) shares were nearing a record peak. Less than a month later, that forecast has materialised: according to the chart, AAPL surged more than 4% yesterday, surpassing its December 2024 high. This marks:
→ a new all-time record;
→ a return to second place by market capitalisation (Apple has overtaken Microsoft, while Nvidia remains in first position).

Why Are Apple Shares Rising?

→ Strong sales figures. Counterpoint Research reported that sales of the new iPhone 17 series in the US and China during the first ten days were 14% higher than those of the iPhone 16 last year. Analysts note that the base model offers significant improvements at the same price, encouraging consumers to upgrade.

→ Analyst forecasts. Loop Capital not only raised its rating to Buy (with a target price of $315) but also declared the start of a ?long-awaited upgrade cycle?. In their view, this is not a short-term surge but the beginning of sustained growth in shipments expected to continue until 2027.

Optimism is also fuelled by anticipation of Apple?s upcoming earnings report and the festive shopping season, which could further accelerate iPhone 17 sales.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#2197 - October 21, 2025, 11:51:14 AM

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USD/JPY Analysis: Yen May Stabilise Following Prime Minister?s Election
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According to media reports, conservative politician Sanae Takaichi has been elected Japan?s first female Prime Minister. As we noted on 7 October, she is a supporter of former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe?s Abenomics strategy, aimed at stimulating the economy through aggressive fiscal spending and ultra-loose monetary policy ? a factor that fuelled the sharp A→B rally to an eight-month high.

Meanwhile, the most likely candidate for the position of Finance Minister is Satsuki Katayama, a former Minister for Regional Revitalisation, who has previously expressed support for a stronger yen.

Fluctuations on the USD/JPY chart reflect the uncertainty traders currently face as they attempt to gauge the future direction of the Bank of Japan?s monetary policy.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#2198 - October 21, 2025, 11:56:33 AM

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The Butterfly Pattern: Idea and Application
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The butterfly pattern is one of the most recognised harmonic formations in technical analysis. Built around Fibonacci ratios, it provides traders with a structured way to spot potential market reversals. Unlike some patterns that complete within an initial price swing, the butterfly extends beyond it, often marking areas of exhaustion.

This article breaks down the idea and application of the butterfly pattern in trading, explaining its structure, uses, strengths, and how it compares with related patterns.

What Is the Butterfly Pattern?
The butterfly pattern is a harmonic reversal pattern built around Fibonacci measurements. Traders look for it when price forms a specific four-leg sequence, labelled X-A, A-B, B-C, and C-D. Unlike some harmonic patterns that complete within the original range, the butterfly extends beyond the starting point, making it distinct.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#2199 - October 22, 2025, 01:41:31 PM

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Market Analysis: Gold Dips From Highs As WTI Crude Oil Attempts Rebound
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Gold price started a downside correction from $4,380. WTI Crude oil is now attempting to recover after sliding toward $56.00.

Important Takeaways for Gold and WTI Crude Oil Prices Analysis Today
- Gold price climbed higher toward the $4,380 zone before there was a sharp decline against the US Dollar.
- It traded below a bullish trend line with support at $4,300 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.
- WTI Crude oil prices extended losses below the $60.00 support zone.
- It cleared a key bearish trend line with resistance at $57.50 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.

Gold Price Technical Analysis
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On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price climbed above $4,200. The price even spiked above $4,300 before the bears appeared.

A high was formed near $4,380 before there was a fresh decline below a bullish trend line with support at $4,300. There was a move below the $4,200 pivot level. The bears even pushed the price below $4,120 and the 50-hour simple moving average.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#2200 - October 22, 2025, 01:47:09 PM

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Correction Ends: European Currencies Lose Ground
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The euro and the pound resumed their decline after a brief recovery, remaining under pressure from both fundamental and political factors. Market participants noted rising uncertainty amid ongoing debates in the United States over the extended government shutdown and persistent geopolitical tensions. These developments continue to support demand for the US dollar and limit any meaningful rebound in European currencies.

Investors? attention today will focus on macroeconomic releases from the United Kingdom and the euro area. From London, inflation data (CPI, PPI, RPI) will provide further insight into the Bank of England?s next policy steps. In the eurozone, trade balance figures and speeches by European Central Bank officials, including President Christine Lagarde, are expected to influence market expectations regarding the timing of future rate adjustments.

Later in the day, investors will also look to US data ? weekly crude and gasoline inventories, along with mortgage lending statistics. While some of these indicators are of secondary importance, they could still affect short-term EUR/USD and GBP/USD movements, particularly amid elevated volatility and ongoing budget discussions in Washington.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#2201 - October 22, 2025, 01:50:26 PM

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General Motors (GM) Shares Hit All-Time High
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As shown on the General Motors (GM) stock chart:
→ During yesterday?s intraday session, the share price climbed above $67.40, surpassing the previous record high set in January 2022.
→ GM was among the top performers on the stock market, rising by around 15%.

The sharp rally followed the company?s strong third-quarter results:
→ Revenue: $48.6 billion (versus analysts? forecast of $45.0 billion).
→ Earnings per share: $2.80 (consensus forecast: $2.28).
→ Vehicle sales: 710,000 units in Q3, up 8% year-on-year.

Moreover, General Motors Co. delivered an upbeat outlook, stating that continued business optimisation and its decision to scale back electric vehicle production should help improve financial performance in the year ahead.

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#2202 - October 22, 2025, 01:54:53 PM

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Silver Price Falls Below $50
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According to the XAG/USD chart, silver has fallen below the $50 mark after setting a historic high on 17 October, when the price briefly climbed above $54.40 for the first time.

Since then, the market has turned lower:
→ Silver formed a bearish ABCD pattern and broke below the key $50 psychological level.
→ A similar move occurred in gold, which dropped this week from around $4,375 to nearly $4,000 per ounce.

As many media outlets have noted:
→ The decline in precious metals appears to be a correction within a broader uptrend;
→ The fundamental outlook remains strong.

However, the aggressive nature of the sell-off raises concern.
→ On one hand, the drop may have been driven by an overheated rally and heavily leveraged long positions.
→ On the other, the speed of the decline suggests the autumn metals rally could be nearing exhaustion.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
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