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Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen in Fundamental_67f83ac065b44

Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

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How to Trade a Pennant Pattern
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As a trader, you're always searching for new ways to stay ahead in the market. One such tool is the pennant pattern, a popular technical analysis formation that can help you identify potential bullish or bearish trends in price. The pennant is a crucial aspect in a trader's toolkit, regardless of their level of experience.

By learning pennants, you will get an additional trading tool that will help you make informed trading decisions. In this FXOpen guide, we will discuss how to spot it and apply it in your trading.

What Are Pennant Chart Patterns?

A pennant is a continuation pattern that forms during a brief pause in the current trend. They are typically seen as a smaller version of a symmetrical triangle and have features of flags with a flagpole being commonly used to determine take-profit targets. This formation can be either bullish or bearish, depending on the direction of the overall trend. A bullish pennant pattern occurs during an uptrend and signals a continuation of a bullish trend, while a bearish pennant pattern signals a continuation of a bearish trend.

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#1861 - June 17, 2025, 09:23:39 AM

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How Financial Markets Are Reacting to the Escalation in the Middle East
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The exchange of strikes between Iran and Israel continues. However, judging by the behaviour of various assets, market participants do not appear to expect further escalation:

→ Oil prices are falling. Monday?s candlestick on the XBR/USD chart closed significantly below the opening level.
→ Safe-haven assets are also retreating: the Swiss franc weakened during Monday?s U.S. session, while a bearish candle formed on the daily XAU/USD chart.

Equity markets, too, have largely held their ground.

The S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) climbed on Monday (A→B) following reports of potential talks between Iran and the U.S. However, it pulled back (B→C) after the U.S. President urged citizens to evacuate Tehran.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#1862 - June 17, 2025, 09:34:02 AM

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Bank of Japan Leaves Interest Rate Unchanged
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This morning, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) released its interest rate decision, keeping the rate unchanged as widely expected. According to Forex Factory, the BOJ Policy Rate remains at 0.5%.

BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda noted the following:
→ Japan?s economy is recovering moderately.
→ The Bank will continue raising rates if economic and inflationary conditions improve.
→ The situation surrounding trade tariffs remains highly uncertain.

The fact that the decision was anticipated by markets is reflected in price action on the charts.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#1863 - June 17, 2025, 04:24:09 PM

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#1864 - Today at 07:52:26 PM

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What Are Market Cycles And How Can You Use Them?
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Market cycles are a cornerstone of financial trading, shaping the opportunities and risks faced by traders across various markets. This article delves into the key phases of market cycles, how they manifest in different trading arenas, and how traders can capitalise on these predictable patterns for trading success.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#1864 - June 18, 2025, 12:16:22 PM

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Market Analysis: EUR/USD Faces Rejection, USD/JPY Recovers Above 145.00
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EUR/USD declined from the 1.1640 resistance and traded below 1.1550. USD/JPY is rising and might gain pace above the 145.50 resistance.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/JPY Analysis Today
  • The Euro started a fresh decline after a strong surge above the 1.1600 zone.
  • There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.1545 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
  • USD/JPY climbed higher above the 144.00 and 145.00 levels.
  • There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at 144.80 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis
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On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair rallied above the 1.1600 resistance zone before the bears appeared, as discussed in the previous analysis. The Euro started a fresh decline and traded below the 1.1550 support zone against the US Dollar.

The pair declined below 1.1520 and tested the 1.1475 zone. A low was formed near 1.1475 and the pair started a consolidation phase. There was a minor recovery wave above the 1.1495 level.

The pair tested the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1614 swing high to the 1.1475 low. EUR/USD is now trading below 1.1550 and the 50-hour simple moving average. On the upside, the pair is now facing resistance near the 1.1505 level.

The next key resistance is at 1.1545 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1614 swing high to the 1.1475 low. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.1545.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#1865 - June 18, 2025, 12:23:35 PM

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Natural Gas Prices on the Rise
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As shown on the XNG/USD chart today, natural gas prices are trading around $3.960 per MMBtu ? the highest level in over a month. This week?s series of bullish candles confirms strong demand.

Natural gas is becoming more expensive due to concerns over the military conflict between Iran and Israel. According to media reports:

→ Israel has attacked Iran?s South Pars gas field, and Donald Trump has called for the evacuation of Tehran.
→ Market participants fear that a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz could disrupt oil and natural gas supply chains.

In addition, forecasts of extreme heat in the US and increased demand for gas-powered air conditioning are also pushing prices higher.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#1866 - June 18, 2025, 12:53:58 PM

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Investors Flock to the US Dollar Amid Escalating Geopolitical Tensions
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The currency pairs USD/JPY and USD/CAD are showing significant gains amid the intensifying conflict between Israel and Iran, which has pushed oil prices higher. Investor fears have driven demand for the US dollar ? a so-called safe-haven asset. Statements by Donald Trump regarding the start of Iran?s ?unconditional capitulation? and the US?s readiness to completely put an end to its nuclear programme have further fuelled concerns over an escalation of the conflict, thereby increasing demand for the US dollar.

Today, investor attention will be focused on the Federal Reserve meeting, which may offer signals regarding the future path of monetary policy. In addition, market participants will be closely watching upcoming US employment data, as it could influence expectations around bond yields and the trajectory of dollar pairs.

USD/JPY
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The USD/JPY pair has risen to the 145.20 level, reflecting a tilt towards the dollar and a weakening yen amid geopolitical risks and rising US Treasury yields. Technical analysis of USD/JPY suggests a possible breakout above the three-week resistance at 145.60. A piercing line candlestick pattern has formed on the daily chart; if the pattern works, it could lead to a retest of the key resistance level at 146.30. At the same time, a rebound from current levels and a return to the medium-term sideways channel of 142.70?144.40 cannot be ruled out.

Events that could influence the USD/JPY pair:

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#1867 - June 18, 2025, 12:59:29 PM

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GBP/USD Hits June Low
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As the GBP/USD chart shows, the pair dropped sharply last night, falling below the 1.34170 level. This move marked the lowest point for the pound against the dollar since the beginning of June.

One of the main drivers behind this decline is the strengthening of the US dollar, which is attracting market participants amid heightened geopolitical tensions and a potential escalation of military conflict between Iran and Israel, involving US armed forces. According to the latest reports, Donald Trump has warned Tehran that US patience is wearing thin.

Today, however, the pound has seen a slight rebound, supported by the release of the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI). While the data confirmed that inflation is easing, the pace of decline is slower than expected. This may reduce the likelihood of interest rate cuts by the Bank of England ? which in turn has boosted the pound?s value.

What could happen next?

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#1868 - June 18, 2025, 01:06:43 PM

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How to Trade Crude Oil: Different Financial Instruments
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Crude oil is a dynamic and complex market, offering traders various instruments for participation. With opportunities for both short-term and long-term investment, it presents multiple avenues for exciting trading. This article delves into the different financial instruments available for crude oil trading profit, from CFDs to ETFs and everything in between.

Why Trade Crude Oil?

Crude oil, particularly its major benchmarks Brent Crude and West Texas Intermediate (WTI), is a highly traded commodity known for its significant liquidity and price volatility. These attributes make it attractive for traders looking to capitalise on price movements in either direction.

These markets operate nearly around the clock, accommodating traders across time zones. The best time to trade crude oil is usually during the overlap of the New York and London market hours, where liquidity is at its highest, facilitating more efficient trades.

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#1869 - June 19, 2025, 10:20:13 AM

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GBP and CHF Extend Decline Following Fed Meeting, Market Focus Shifts to Bank of England and Swiss National Bank Decisions
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The British pound and the Swiss franc remain under pressure against the US dollar following the Federal Reserve?s latest meeting, where the regulator left its key interest rate unchanged and signalled no rush to shift the course of monetary policy.

Despite easing inflation, the Fed has maintained a relatively hawkish stance, citing the need for convincing evidence of sustained disinflation. Combined with escalating global geopolitical tensions, this has supported the US dollar and contributed to its strength.

Against this backdrop, market participants have turned their attention to today?s decisions by the Swiss National Bank (SNB) and the Bank of England (BoE). According to the consensus forecast, the SNB may lower its rate by 25 basis points to 0.00%, which could exert downward pressure on the Swiss franc.

Meanwhile, divisions persist within the BoE: while some members of the committee may vote in favour of policy easing, the majority are likely to support holding the rate steady. The outcome of the vote will be a key driver for the short- and medium-term trajectory of the pound.

In the coming sessions, markets are expected to closely monitor signals from the regulators and the performance of the dollar. Should the external backdrop remain unchanged?and if a rate cut in Switzerland is confirmed alongside a more dovish stance from the BoE?pressure on local currencies could intensify.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#1870 - June 19, 2025, 10:27:22 AM

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#1871 - Today at 07:52:26 PM

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Coinbase (COIN) Shares Rise Following Stablecoin Legislation Approval
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Shares in Coinbase Global (COIN) surged by 11% yesterday, making the company the top performer in the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen).

The sharp rise was driven by news that the US Senate has approved the GENIUS stablecoin bill, which sets out a regulatory framework for the use of stablecoins ? crypto assets whose value is pegged to another currency or financial instrument, such as the US dollar.

The bill (which still requires approval from the House of Representatives) would pave the way for banks, fintech companies, and other financial market participants to use stablecoins. This development acted as a strong bullish catalyst for COIN shares.

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#1871 - June 19, 2025, 10:32:49 AM

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Silver Price Retreats from 2012 Highs
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As shown on the XAG/USD chart, the price of silver climbed above $37 per ounce yesterday ? a level not seen since 2012. However, this morning, the price has dropped by approximately 2.5% from yesterday?s peak.

The bullish driver behind the rally has been fears that the US could become involved in a military conflict between Israel and Iran. Concerns in financial markets intensified after media reports stated that US officials are preparing for a potential strike on Iran.

Another factor influencing silver's price was the Federal Reserve?s decision to keep interest rates unchanged and maintain a cautious policy stance. Yesterday, Jerome Powell warned that President Trump?s tariffs could fuel inflation (a bullish signal for silver) and complicate the economic outlook.

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#1872 - June 19, 2025, 10:46:14 AM

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Analytical Projections on UK Interest Rates for 2025 and 2026
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As the UK navigates a complex economic landscape marked by trade tensions, evolving monetary policy, and persistent inflationary pressures, the trajectory of interest rates remains a focal point. In 2025 and looking ahead to 2026, forecasts on UK interest rates diverge amid uncertainty surrounding global trade dynamics, domestic growth prospects, and the Bank of England?s policy response. This article delves into expert projections, weighing economic indicators and institutional forecasts to provide an outlook on where UK interest rates may be headed over the next two years.

UK Interest Rate Environment
The UK's interest rate landscape has undergone significant transformations over the past few years. From the end of 2021 to the middle of 2023, the Bank of England (BoE) raised interest rates from the historic low of 0.1% to 5.25%?the highest in UK interest rates history since 2008. The decision to elevate interest rates from near-zero levels was primarily driven by the need to counteract rising inflation, which has emerged as a considerable threat to the UK's economic stability.

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#1873 - June 20, 2025, 11:07:56 AM

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Mastercard (MA) and Visa (V) Shares Decline Due to Stablecoin Bill
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Yesterday, we reported that the US Senate had passed the GENIUS stablecoin bill, which establishes a legal framework for regulating the stablecoin market. This development led to a sharp rise in the share price of cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase (COIN), while simultaneously putting pressure on Mastercard (MA) and Visa (V) shares.

According to media reports, market participants are concerned that stablecoins could pose serious competition to these companies, which earn revenue primarily from transaction fees. This serves as an example of how blockchain technology, with its low-cost features and high speed, could disrupt leaders in the traditional finance sector.

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#1874 - June 20, 2025, 11:20:26 AM

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XBR/USD Chart Analysis: Oil Price Falls After Trump?s Decision
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As shown on the XBR/USD chart, the price of Brent crude oil has pulled back from yesterday?s 4.5-month high following a statement from the White House that President Donald Trump will make a decision within the next two weeks on whether the United States will take part in the Israel-Iran conflict.

According to Reuters, the US President is facing backlash from some members of his team over the prospect of launching a strike against Iran, which could drag the US into yet another prolonged war.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#1875 - June 20, 2025, 02:09:39 PM

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