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Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen in Fundamental_68922e7c602bf

Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

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Moderna (MRNA) Shares Plunge Nearly 9%
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Moderna (MRNA) shares tumbled by approximately 8.9%, falling below $29?marking their lowest level since April 2020, when global markets were shaken by the COVID-19 pandemic.

Since the start of 2025, MRNA?s share price has declined by around 32%.

Why Did MRNA Shares Drop?
On Monday, MRNA led the decline among US biotech stocks following the resignation of Peter Marks, director of the FDA?s Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research. Marks had held this position for over a decade.

During Trump?s first term, Marks oversaw the rollout of COVID-19 vaccines and established guidelines for emerging treatments such as cell and gene therapy.

However, in Trump?s second term, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. now serves as Health Secretary. According to The Wall Street Journal, Marks criticised Kennedy?s stance on vaccines in his resignation letter, calling it ?misinformation and lies.?

The pharmaceutical industry was already under pressure amid speculation that Trump?s tariff plans could extend to prescription drugs, which are typically exempt from such measures. Marks' departure has further intensified uncertainty regarding regulatory decisions under the new administration.

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#1666 - April 01, 2025, 09:01:48 AM

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What Is Random Walk Theory and Its Implications in Trading?
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Random walk theory argues that market prices move erratic, making it difficult to analyse past data for an advantage. It suggests that technical and fundamental analysis provide little to no edge, as prices instantly reflect all available information. While some traders embrace this idea, others challenge it. This article explores the theory, its implications, criticisms, and what it means for traders navigating financial markets.

What Is Random Walk Theory?

Random walk theory reflects the idea that financial markets move erratic, making it impossible to analyse past price data for an advantage. The theory argues that price changes are random and independent, meaning past movements don?t influence future direction. This challenges both technical and fundamental analysis, arguing traders who attempt to time the market are essentially guessing.

The concept was first introduced by Maurice Kendall in 1953, who found no meaningful patterns in stock prices. Later, Burton Malkiel popularised it in A Random Walk Down Wall Street (1973), arguing that a blindfolded monkey throwing darts at a stock list would perform as well as professional traders. The underlying principle is that markets are efficient, instantly reflecting all available information.

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#1667 - April 02, 2025, 08:43:25 AM

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Market Analysis: GBP/USD Eyes Fresh Gains While USD/CAD Dips
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GBP/USD started a fresh increase above the 1.2900 zone. USD/CAD declined and now consolidates below the 1.4350 level.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and USD/CAD Analysis Today

  • The British Pound is eyeing more gains above the 1.2970 resistance.
  • There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.2935 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
  • USD/CAD started a fresh decline after it failed to clear the 1.4415 resistance.
  • There was a break below a major bullish trend line with support at 1.4310 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis
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On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair formed a base above the 1.2870 level. The British Pound started a steady increase above the 1.2900 resistance zone against the US Dollar, as discussed in the previous analysis.

The pair surpassed the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2972 swing high to the 1.2879 low. The pair is now consolidating near the 1.2925 zone and the 1.2420 level and the 50-hour simple moving average.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#1668 - April 02, 2025, 08:50:36 AM

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Market Braces for Increased Volatility Ahead of New Tariffs
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Amid global economic uncertainty and anticipation of new tariffs, major currency pairs continue to test key levels. In recent weeks, market participants have been exercising caution, awaiting potential changes in trade policy that could significantly impact exchange rates. The introduction of new tariffs by the Trump administration could also put pressure on European currencies, adding another layer of uncertainty and volatility to the market. In the coming days, investors will focus on which tariffs will take effect from April and how this might influence the trajectory of leading currency pairs.

EUR/USD
Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen in Fundamental_qS0kC0F
The euro, after rebounding from 1.0950, tested key support at 1.0730 and is currently trading within a narrow range of 1.0850?1.0750. Technical analysis of EUR/USD suggests a possible continuation of the downward trend, as a series of bearish reversal patterns has formed on the daily chart.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#1669 - April 02, 2025, 08:56:37 AM

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Gold Prices Hover Near Record Highs Ahead of Trump?s Tariff Announcement
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As shown on the XAU/USD chart today, gold prices are fluctuating near their all-time high, set when the price of an ounce surpassed $3,140 for the first time in history.

Gold has risen by approximately 19% in the first three months of 2025.

Why Is Gold Rising?
On 2 April, traders' sentiment is driving gold prices higher in anticipation of US President Trump?s tariff announcements, expected later this evening.

This event enhances gold?s appeal as a safe-haven asset, as concerns grow that Trump?s aggressive trade policies could slow global economic growth and fuel inflation.

Additionally, media reports highlight strong demand for gold from central banks, while exchange-traded funds linked to the precious metal are seeing capital inflows from investors concerned about geopolitical uncertainty.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#1670 - April 02, 2025, 09:04:48 AM

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#1671 - Today at 11:30:39 AM

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Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Shares Drop Over 7%
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As the chart shows, Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) shares declined by approximately 7.6%, reaching their lowest level since late February. This marked one of the worst performances in the stock market yesterday.

Why Did JNJ Shares Fall?
Two major bearish factors contributed to the decline:

A Texas judge rejected Johnson & Johnson's third attempt to settle lawsuits related to allegations that its baby powder and other talc-based products harmed consumers.
On Tuesday, Johnson & Johnson announced that its upcoming acquisition of Intra-Cellular Therapies is expected to dilute adjusted earnings per share by approximately $0.25 for the full year 2025. Investors appear to have reacted negatively to this outlook, despite the company?s expectation that the deal will generate around $700 million in additional sales.

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#1671 - April 02, 2025, 10:00:30 AM

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Currency Risks in International Stock Investment
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In the realm of international stock investment, understanding and managing currency risks is pivotal. This risk can substantially influence the returns on global investments, making it essential for investors to grasp its nuances and develop strategies to mitigate its impact. Today, we?ll delve into different types of currency risks, factors influencing these risks, and effective ways to manage them.

Understanding Currency Risks

Currency risks, sometimes known as foreign currency exchange risks, are inherent in international stock investment. This currency exposure risk arises when the value of a foreign currency fluctuates, affecting the position?s value when converted back to the domestic currency.

To use an example of currency risk, consider an American investor who buys stocks in a European company. If the euro weakens against the US dollar, the value of these stocks in USD decreases, even if the stock's price in euros remains unchanged.

It's crucial for investors to understand these risks, as they can significantly impact the returns on global investments. Effectively managing this exposure may help in protecting and potentially enhancing returns in a globally connected market.

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#1672 - April 03, 2025, 08:55:53 AM

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Interest in the Dollar Declines Amid Trump's Escalating Trade Wars
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The tariffs introduced by Trump yesterday on imports from various countries?20% on the EU, 34% on China, and 46% on Vietnam?have heightened uncertainty in the currency markets. As expected, these measures have contributed to increased volatility in major currency pairs. The actions of the White House administration have led to losses for the dollar, causing concern among investors. The tariffs also affect countries such as Taiwan (32%), Japan (24%), and South Korea (25%), which could significantly impact exchange rates. Amid global economic instability, market participants are focused on how these changes will affect the world economy.

USD/JPY
Yesterday, before Donald Trump's speech, the USD/JPY currency pair was trading near 150.00. Better-than-expected preliminary labour market data and a rise in US industrial orders for February (0.6% versus the forecast of 0.5%) contributed to a slight strengthening of USD/JPY. However, the US President?s announcement of trade tariffs led to sharp market fluctuations and a loss of more than 150 pips for USD/JPY within just a few hours. At present, the pair is trading below 148.00. A technical analysis of USD/JPY suggests a possible test of this year's March lows in the 147.20?146.70 range.

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#1673 - April 03, 2025, 08:58:29 AM

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S&P 500 Index Hits 2025 Low Following Trump's Tariff Announcement
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As shown on the S&P 500 Index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) chart, the benchmark US stock index dropped below 5,450 points for the first time in 2025. This decline reflects the US stock market?s reaction to the tariffs imposed by the White House on international trade.

According to Reuters:

→ President Donald Trump announced a 10% tariff on most goods imported into the United States, with Asian countries being hit the hardest.

→ This move escalates the global trade war. "The consequences will be devastating for millions of people worldwide," said European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, adding that the 27-member EU bloc is preparing to retaliate if negotiations with Washington fail.

Financial Markets? Reaction to Trump?s Tariffs
→ Stock markets in Beijing and Tokyo fell to multi-month lows.
→ Gold hit a new all-time high, surpassing $3,160.
→ The US dollar weakened against other major currencies.

The S&P 500 Index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) is now trading at levels last seen in September 2024, before Trump's election victory.

Investor sentiment appears to have turned bearish, with growing concerns over the impact of Trump's tariffs, as fears mount that they could slow down the US economy and fuel inflation.

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#1674 - April 03, 2025, 09:01:14 AM

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USD/CHF Falls to Its Lowest Level in Nearly Five Months
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Today, the exchange rate of one US dollar against the Swiss franc dropped below 0.87000 francs?its lowest level since early November 2024.

Since the start of 2025, the USD/CHF pair has declined by more than 4%.

Why Is USD/CHF Falling Today?
On one hand, the US dollar is weakening against other currencies due to Trump?s decision to implement the previously announced tariffs on international trade, as mentioned in our previous post.

On the other hand, the Swiss franc is gaining strength due to its appeal as a safe-haven asset. Furthermore, this morning?s release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed that inflation in Switzerland remains at zero, increasing the franc?s value at a time when tariff conflicts pose risks to the global economy.

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#1675 - April 03, 2025, 09:03:46 AM

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Analytical Tesla Stock Predictions for 2025 ? 2030 and Beyond
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Tesla has been at the forefront of the electric vehicle revolution, capturing the imagination of investors and the general public alike since the launch of the Roadster in 2008. From the debut of the Model S to the unveiling of the Cybertruck, Tesla has redefined what?s possible in the automotive world. But what?s next for this pioneering company? In this article, we delve into Tesla?s recent stock performance, assess its outlook for 2025, and offer detailed analytical forecasts through to 2030 and beyond.

Tesla: How It Started

Tesla was founded in 2003 by engineers Martin Eberhard and Marc Tarpenning, with the vision of creating electric vehicles that could rival traditional combustion-engine cars in performance and style. Elon Musk joined Tesla shortly after as a chief executive officer, leading a series of investments that would shape the company?s future.

Tesla?s first car, the Roadster, launched in 2008 and set the stage for what the brand would become?an innovator in high-performance electric vehicles. The Roadster could travel over 200 miles on a single charge, shattering public scepticism about EV capabilities and proving that electric cars could be fast, efficient, and practical.

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#1676 - April 07, 2025, 09:00:07 AM

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Market Analysis: Gold and WTI Crude Oil Crash As Trade War Escalates
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Gold price started a fresh decline below $3,050. WTI Crude oil is down over 10% and remains at risk of more losses.

Important Takeaways for Gold and WTI Crude Oil Prices Analysis Today

  • Gold price climbed higher toward the $3,150 zone before there was a sharp decline against the US Dollar.
  • A key bearish trend line is forming with resistance near $3,068 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.
  • WTI Crude oil prices extended downsides below the $65.00 support zone.
  • A major bearish trend line is forming with resistance near $60.70 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.

Gold Price Technical Analysis
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On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price climbed above the $3,050 resistance. The price even spiked above $3,150 before the bears appeared.

A high was formed near $3,167 before there was a fresh decline. There was a move below the $3,100 support level. The bears even pushed the price below the $3,000 support and the 50-hour simple moving average.

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#1677 - April 07, 2025, 09:07:04 AM

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Nasdaq 100 drops to its lowest level since January 2024
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According to the chart of the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen), the index opened this week around the 16,500 mark ? a price level last seen in early 2024.

This suggests that the sharp sell-off in equities seen last Thursday and Friday may well continue today.

Stock indices respond to Trump?s tariffs
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on NBC News? Meet the Press that there is ?no reason? to expect a recession.

However, equity charts reflect market sentiment described by CNN Business?s Fear & Greed Index as ?extreme fear?. This wave of negativity followed President Trump?s announcement on 2 April of harsher-than-expected international trade tariffs. In response, China and other nations announced retaliatory measures.

As a result, the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) now trades roughly 25% below its 2025 peak ? officially entering bear market territory.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#1678 - April 07, 2025, 09:46:46 AM

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NZD/USD Analysis: Exchange Rate Nears 2025 Low
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Less than a month ago, we analysed the NZD/USD chart and:
→ highlighted the key resistance level at 0.5800;
→ outlined a potential scenario involving a decline from that zone.

Now, the NZD/USD pair is trading close to its lowest level of 2025, recorded on 3 February near 0.5525. The latest surge in volatility appears to be driven by President Trump?s widely discussed decision to impose substantial tariffs on trade with multiple countries.

For context, the Australian dollar has fallen to a five-year low amid concerns that retaliatory trade measures could trigger a global recession. The New Zealand dollar, however, has remained somewhat more stable ? possibly because traders are anticipating Wednesday?s Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) meeting, where the central bank may signal efforts to stabilise the currency. According to Forex Factory, a rate cut from 3.75% to 3.50% is expected.

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#1679 - April 07, 2025, 10:26:11 AM

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Market Insights with Gary Thomson: April 7 - 11

Market Insights with Gary Thomson: FOMC Minutes, US Inflation Rate, US PPI, Earnings Reports

In this video, we?ll explore the key economic events, market trends, and corporate news shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into forex, commodities, and stocks to help you navigate the week ahead. Let?s dive in!

In this episode, we discuss:

- FOMC Meeting Minutes
- US Inflation Rate
- US Producer Price Index
- Corporate Earnings Statements

Don?t miss out?gain insights to stay ahead in your trading journey.



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Watch it now and stay updated with FXOpen.

Don't miss out on this invaluable opportunity to sharpen your trading skills and make informed decisions.

Disclaimer: This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#1680 - April 07, 2025, 12:12:30 PM

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