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LOLEK 555 - trading journal, live trades (not signals)

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first long position i took today on SP500 at 3174 because all indicators (markets) point to higher indexes prices.

First bonds (10y US) reacted in big supply level with today's weakness, second VIX is trading lower with potential of break/test 26.82  and third which is very important US Dollar index's weakness is giving stocks additional fuel too. DXY could break 96.3.

So on SP500 i plan to add to position after US market open today .
out from this long. hard to see it moves higher without any correction. after open there is no continuation. So waiting for a correction..
#31 - July 06, 2020, 01:37:21 PM

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long again at 3168 ... but.. there are coming  US Coivid-19 data so it looks to me that the price would like go deeper than my entry level. hard to trade these highs..

#32 - July 06, 2020, 02:15:57 PM

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long again at 3168 ... but.. there are coming  US Coivid-19 data so it looks to me that the price would like go deeper than my entry level. hard to trade these highs..
considering the covid data mentioned above i'm moving my stop loss on breakeven. 
#33 - July 06, 2020, 02:19:51 PM

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considering the covid data mentioned above i'm moving my stop loss on breakeven.
 correction : SP 500 stopped out on BE , and then reentered the same price (around 3168 ) and closed +12 points. now waiting.

update about btcusdt entry, i closed this at 9195, now wait for reentry lower for long or sell around 9300...
#34 - July 06, 2020, 03:25:30 PM
« Last Edit: July 06, 2020, 03:28:14 PM by Lolek555 »

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overall markets i watch  are mixed. Yes indexes turned higher eventually but all US session it was big mess. but it is what it is... Few unsuccesful scalps or rather BE scalps. Bonds and VIX stronger on the second half of session but not much. No good risk reward trade for me on SP500 . oh and VIX is few points below weekly open SP on new highs - interesting. 

 last scalp: 9276 on BTCUSDT  (buy) closed on 9350. no selling for me . i tried to sell around 9300 earlier but with very little profits. BTC overall is getting stronger. 
#35 - July 06, 2020, 11:27:03 PM
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So the yesterday's observation of VIX turning higher to week's  open , gave today a correction on SP500 and the bonds are following this theme too and are almost at the weekly open. DXY also higher. let's see serious these moves are. 

I opened long position on SP500 around 3164 . Against those mentioned above "signals" because i will watch if this is real risk-off situation or only premature "panic"... 


#36 - July 07, 2020, 06:58:15 AM
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So the yesterday's observation of VIX turning higher to week's  open , gave today a correction on SP500 and the bonds are following this theme too and are almost at the weekly open. DXY also higher. let's see serious these moves are.

I opened long position on SP500 around 3164 . Against those mentioned above "signals" because i will watch if this is real risk-off situation or only premature "panic"...
stopped out at 3149 ,, wide stop loss but it was good risk reward. eventually market rose without me... 
now i am selling this crap from 3176 already on BE . let;s see. 
#37 - July 07, 2020, 04:17:39 PM

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stopped out at 3149 ,, wide stop loss but it was good risk reward. eventually market rose without me...
now i am selling this crap from 3176 already on BE . let;s see.
closed this short on 3169. this is two way scalping market without direction. almost half of the previous loss clreared . 
#38 - July 07, 2020, 04:47:21 PM

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yesterday session ended with VIX elevated above weekly open and risk-off sentiment, SP500 (other indexes too) sold off pretty hard. Today;s sentiments after London open are totally oposite. What i will look today :
- Is VIX holding gains (above weekly open)
- Are bonds holding gains too
- is SP500 holding above 3140
- DXY (overal strength or weaness) key level 96.5.
from my recent positions open is pound dollar 1.2555 (entry) will add to this if price reach 1.2528 too.
BTCUSDT - bought around 9250. ( i watch if it will break 300 and hold)
closed positions from this morning : SP500 from 3143 . closed on 3152.
#39 - July 08, 2020, 07:36:19 AM
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yesterday session ended with VIX elevated above weekly open and risk-off sentiment, SP500 (other indexes too) sold off pretty hard.
stop loss on GBPUSD triggered. minus 50 pips
#40 - July 08, 2020, 10:48:10 AM
« Last Edit: July 08, 2020, 02:53:32 PM by Mikser »

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no trades on US session , only closed btcusdt on 9400 .. 
now short on btcusdt from 9416  . tp 9300   Sl  9480
#41 - July 08, 2020, 09:25:54 PM

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today i only closed BTC short too early and then entered long around 9350 stopped out at 9200.

Overall market view is wide consolidation on SP500 up and down , vix higher , bonds higher and that caused the market sell off (not directly but were indicating down move). But. .. every dip on US indexes is being bought over and over again ..
DXY stronger. 

#42 - July 09, 2020, 05:10:27 PM
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recent trades:

EURUSD long position from 1.1282 . EUR technical key zone has been tested 1.1266-82 and holds. Second thing is US covid-19 cased are rising and i think investors will seek for hedge of USD as currency , Europe is for now "calm"
Other instruments suggest higher risk on markets. Bonds broke new highs , VIX is strong so the SP500 feel the pain finally and has been selling off. will see how Us session reacts further.
#43 - July 10, 2020, 09:14:52 AM
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key levels from the upside for EURUSD where sellers are is 1.1290 and 1.1304. without breaking it upside is limited.
#44 - July 10, 2020, 09:29:16 AM

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from the fundamental point of view for EUR there are still Eurogroup meetings ongoing about 750 billion Euro recovery plan. this is risk that the talks will fail or they will finally accept this. 
#45 - July 10, 2020, 09:35:29 AM

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