Ikhtiar Trading Jurnal

Posts: 19944 · #3091 - August 19, 2025, 11:34:49 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on August 19, 2025, 01:12:48 PM

Today I tried to buy EURJPY with a stop-loss order at 172.37 and a take-profit order at 172.91. EURJPY on the M15 timeframe. From the price action perspective, a higher low pattern is visible, indicating that buyers are always entering more quickly during each correction wave. This is a positive signal for the continuation of the uptrend. Furthermore, candlesticks with relatively long bodies during the uptrend indicate a strong volume surge. Conversely, corrective candlesticks generally have smaller bodies, indicating that seller pressure is not as strong as buyer pressure. This condition provides further confirmation that bullish opportunities are more dominant in the current price movement.

My open buy order on EURJPY hit my stop loss, resulting in a loss of $1.62. I believe EURJPY will likely fall again today, as several supply areas have formed and it is currently moving below the 200-day moving average (MA200).

Posts: 19944 · #3092 - August 19, 2025, 11:37:21 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on August 19, 2025, 01:17:18 PM

Today, I tried to buy USDJPY with a stop-loss order at 147.58 and a take-profit order at 148.16. On the M15 timeframe, USDJPY candlestick movements show a fairly consistent buyer push. Each time the price corrected, buyers re-entered, forming a higher low pattern. This indicates that buyers are more dominant than sellers. In fact, a price spike with a long candlestick tail upwards was seen, indicating the market was testing the resistance area above. Although the price subsequently fell again, the fact that it didn't break through key support indicates that buyers remain quite confident.

My open buy order on USDJPY hit my stop loss, resulting in a loss of $2.30. On the 15-month chart, USDJPY briefly fell and formed a new support area. However, USDJPY is now seen moving back above the 200-day moving average (MA200), indicating a potential rebound.

Posts: 19944 · #3093 - August 20, 2025, 05:09:44 AM

Today I attempted to sell EURUSD with a stop-loss at 1.1653 and a take-profit at 1.1619. On the M15 timeframe, EURUSD shows slight resistance from buyers in the support area. However, so far, buying pressure hasn't been strong enough to reverse the trend. The price attempted to rise several times, but was always held back before reaching the moving average area and then pushed back down. This indicates that sellers still view each rise as an opportunity to re-enter, thus limiting the potential for an upward correction.

#3094 - **Today** at 06:58:01 PM

Posts: 19944 · #3094 - August 20, 2025, 05:12:57 AM

Today I tried to sell GBPUSD with my stop-loss at 1.3494 and take-profit at 1.3455. GBPUSD on the M15 timeframe. Upon closer inspection, the price attempted several upward retracements but always failed to break through the resistance area near the moving average line. Each time the price approached that area, sellers stepped in with greater pressure, pushing the price down to a lower level. This situation indicates that buyers lacked sufficient strength to reverse the trend. On the contrary, sellers exploited each upward correction as an entry opportunity.

Posts: 19944 · #3095 - August 20, 2025, 05:15:07 AM

Today I attempted to buy USDX with a stop-loss at 98.16 and a take-profit at 98.59. USDX on the M15 timeframe: From the price action perspective, an upward impulsive pattern is visible, confirming a bullish trend. Bullish candles tend to be longer than bearish candles, indicating greater buyer power. The nearest resistance is seen at the take-profit area marked on the chart, which is the primary target for the current rally. If this area is successfully broken through, the opportunity for further upside is greater, with the potential to continue the bullish trend to higher levels.

Posts: 19944 · #3096 - August 20, 2025, 05:17:13 AM

Today I attempted to sell gold with my stop-loss placed at 3324.91 and take-profit at 3310.40. On the M15 timeframe, the nearest support area for gold appears to be around the take-profit level marked on the chart. This level is crucial because it was where the price held up. If this level is broken again, the chance of a decline to a lower level increases. Meanwhile, the resistance area appears to be close to the stop-loss level. This resistance plays a crucial role because it is the area where sellers are likely to react strongly when the price tries to rise. As long as the price fails to break through this resistance, the downtrend is expected to continue.

Posts: 19944 · #3097 - August 20, 2025, 05:20:29 AM

Today I attempted to sell GBPJPY with my stop-loss placed at 199.04 and take-profit at 198.48. GBPJPY on the M15 timeframe: Upon closer inspection, after a sharp decline, the price is currently attempting to hold on to a temporary support area. Although there was a slight upward correction, the movement wasn't strong enough to indicate a trend reversal. Instead, this pattern more closely reflects a normal retracement that often occurs in downtrends. The small, short-bodied candles forming at the bottom indicate that the market is in a consolidation phase after a significant decline. This condition is usually just a pause before resuming movement in the dominant direction.

Posts: 19944 · #3098 - August 20, 2025, 05:22:52 AM

Today I attempted to buy USDCAD with a stop-loss at 1.3854 and a take-profit at 1.3895. USDCAD on the M15 timeframe. From a price action perspective, the nearest support area can be seen at the stop-loss level marked on the chart. This level plays a crucial role as a lower limit that buyers must protect. If this support level holds, the price has a high chance of rising back towards the take-profit level. Conversely, if the support level is broken, there is a risk of a deeper correction before the uptrend can resume. The nearest resistance is at the take-profit area, which is also a logical target for long positions. This level will likely be tested in the near future if buyers are able to maintain control.

Posts: 19944 · #3099 - August 20, 2025, 05:25:23 AM

Today I attempted to sell EURJPY with a stop-loss order placed at 171.88 and a take-profit order at 171.34. EURJPY on the M15 timeframe currently appears to be consolidating after a sharp decline. The latest candles indicate minor resistance from buyers, but the strength of the upward momentum remains limited. This condition is usually only a temporary retracement, not a significant trend reversal. In other words, even if the price experiences a small increase, the market's primary trend remains down as long as it fails to break above the moving average and form a clear higher high.

Posts: 19944 · #3100 - August 20, 2025, 11:21:05 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on August 20, 2025, 05:09:44 AM

Today I attempted to sell EURUSD with a stop-loss at 1.1653 and a take-profit at 1.1619. On the M15 timeframe, EURUSD shows slight resistance from buyers in the support area. However, so far, buying pressure hasn't been strong enough to reverse the trend. The price attempted to rise several times, but was always held back before reaching the moving average area and then pushed back down. This indicates that sellers still view each rise as an opportunity to re-enter, thus limiting the potential for an upward correction.

My open sell position on EURUSD hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $2.00. At today's market open, EURUSD was seen moving below the 200-day moving average (MA200), indicating a possible further decline, and we could look for selling opportunities.

#3101 - **Today** at 06:58:01 PM

Posts: 19944 · #3101 - August 20, 2025, 11:23:25 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on August 20, 2025, 05:12:57 AM

Today I tried to sell GBPUSD with my stop-loss at 1.3494 and take-profit at 1.3455. GBPUSD on the M15 timeframe. Upon closer inspection, the price attempted several upward retracements but always failed to break through the resistance area near the moving average line. Each time the price approached that area, sellers stepped in with greater pressure, pushing the price down to a lower level. This situation indicates that buyers lacked sufficient strength to reverse the trend. On the contrary, sellers exploited each upward correction as an entry opportunity.

My open sell position on GBPUSD hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $2.20. On the M15 timeframe, GBPUSD actually appears to have fallen to 1.3445, forming a new support area. Overall, the GBPUSD trend on the M15 timeframe remains bearish, as it remains below the 200-day moving average (MA).

Posts: 19944 · #3102 - August 20, 2025, 11:25:45 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on August 20, 2025, 05:15:07 AM

Today I attempted to buy USDX with a stop-loss at 98.16 and a take-profit at 98.59. USDX on the M15 timeframe: From the price action perspective, an upward impulsive pattern is visible, confirming a bullish trend. Bullish candles tend to be longer than bearish candles, indicating greater buyer power. The nearest resistance is seen at the take-profit area marked on the chart, which is the primary target for the current rally. If this area is successfully broken through, the opportunity for further upside is greater, with the potential to continue the bullish trend to higher levels.

My open buy position on USDX hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $2.20. The USDX is currently testing the 200-day moving average (MA200) on the 15-day moving average (TF). If it fails to break below it, it's likely to continue rising today.

Posts: 19944 · #3103 - August 20, 2025, 11:28:00 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on August 20, 2025, 05:17:13 AM

Today I attempted to sell gold with my stop-loss placed at 3324.91 and take-profit at 3310.40. On the M15 timeframe, the nearest support area for gold appears to be around the take-profit level marked on the chart. This level is crucial because it was where the price held up. If this level is broken again, the chance of a decline to a lower level increases. Meanwhile, the resistance area appears to be close to the stop-loss level. This resistance plays a crucial role because it is the area where sellers are likely to react strongly when the price tries to rise. As long as the price fails to break through this resistance, the downtrend is expected to continue.

My open sell position on Gold hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $6.33. I believe gold will continue to rise today, as I see no signs of resistance from sellers. To be on the safe side, I think we can look for buying opportunities today.

Posts: 19944 · #3104 - August 21, 2025, 04:54:23 AM

Today I attempted to sell EURUSD with a stop-loss at 1.1659 and a take-profit at 1.1635. On the M15 timeframe, EURUSD candlestick movements indicate consolidation after the previous decline. This consolidation is characterized by a narrow range, where the price appears to be moving sideways, approaching the moving average line. However, because the primary bias remains bearish, the potential for a downward breakout is greater than the possibility of an upward breakout. Candlesticks with relatively long upper shadows around the moving average line also indicate that selling pressure is stronger than buying pressure.

Posts: 19944 · #3105 - August 21, 2025, 04:56:39 AM

Today I attempted to sell GBPUSD with a stop-loss at 1.3470 and a take-profit at 1.3438. On the M15 timeframe, GBPUSD briefly attempted to rise, but the rise was short-lived, before a sharp decline followed. Corrections tended to be limited and consistently failed to break through the moving average line. This demonstrates that the moving average truly functions as effective dynamic resistance. Each time the price approaches this area, selling pressure resurfaces, pushing it lower, indicating that market participants still view this area as an attractive selling point.