Ikhtiar Trading Jurnal

Posts: 22543 · #2986 - August 04, 2025, 11:37:50 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on August 04, 2025, 12:00:22 AM

Today I attempted to open a buy position on EURJPY with a stop-loss at 170.34 and a take-profit at 171.07. On the M15 timeframe, EURJPY's price action is generally in a retracement phase after a breakdown, with buyers trying to prevent further price declines.

My open sell position on EURJPY hit the take profit level, resulting in a profit of $2.37. Currently, EURJPY remains below the 200-day moving average (MA200) and is likely to decline further today, as I see no signs of a reversal to a bullish trend.

Posts: 22543 · #2987 - August 04, 2025, 11:44:00 PM

Today, I'm trying to open a buy position on gold, targeting it for the medium term because I'm analyzing gold on the H4 timeframe. I see gold touching a fresh supply area on the H4 timeframe, and there's a possibility this supply area will prevent gold from rising further and possibly lowering it. If gold does indeed fall, I've also placed a pending buy limit order below it.

Posts: 22543 · #2988 - August 05, 2025, 12:44:02 AM

Today I attempted to buy EURUSD with a stop-loss at 1.1542 and a take-profit at 1.1619. EURUSD on the M15 timeframe: From a price action perspective, after a major price spike, a new support area formed near the buy stop-loss level and resistance near the take-profit level. The price tested this resistance area several times but failed to break through decisively. This indicates strong selling pressure in this area and could signal that the market is not yet ready to continue rising. On the other hand, the support area appears strong enough to withstand downward pressure, indicating buyers are maintaining their positions below.

Posts: 22543 · #2989 - August 05, 2025, 12:46:22 AM

Today I attempted to buy GBPUSD with a stop-loss at 1.3262 and a take-profit at 1.3335. The candlestick pattern that emerged after the surge phase in GBPUSD on the M15 chart is also noteworthy. Several candles have long upper shadows near the resistance area, indicating seller rejection. However, there's no strong selling pressure, as the price is still holding within the upper zone. This signals that the market isn't completely bearish yet, and accumulation is likely occurring before a breakout.

Posts: 22543 · #2990 - August 05, 2025, 12:49:18 AM

Today I attempted to sell GBPJPY with a stop-loss at 196.28 and a take-profit at 194.68. The initial phase of the GBPJPY chart on the M15 timeframe showed a stable price, but then a gradual and continuing sharp decline occurred. The downward spike was quite sharp and significant, and was likely triggered by strong negative sentiment, both fundamentally and technically. The price action in this chart supports seller dominance. There are no strong or significant reversal patterns visible that could indicate a trend change.

#2991 - **Today** at 07:34:16 AM

Posts: 22543 · #2991 - August 05, 2025, 01:02:20 AM

Today I attempted to sell USDCAD with a stop-loss at 1.3789 and a take-profit at 1.3750. USCAD on the M15 timeframe. Overall, the price trend in this chart indicates seller dominance. This is evident from the sharp price decline after peaking, then remaining below the 200-day moving average (MA). The support and resistance structures on the chart are also quite clear. The resistance area is located around the MA line and at the stop-loss level determined for sell positions.

Posts: 22543 · #2992 - August 05, 2025, 01:04:35 AM

Today I attempted to sell EURJPY with a stop-loss at 170.58 and a take-profit at 169.64. The EURJPY on the M15 timeframe shows a downtrend. After a significant decline, the price briefly pulled back and moved up, but failed to break through the moving average (MA). This indicates that the MA acts as a fairly strong dynamic resistance. Failure to break through the MA indicates that selling pressure remains dominant and the downtrend has the potential to continue.

Posts: 22543 · #2993 - August 05, 2025, 11:55:12 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on August 05, 2025, 12:44:02 AM

Today I attempted to buy EURUSD with a stop-loss at 1.1542 and a take-profit at 1.1619. EURUSD on the M15 timeframe: From a price action perspective, after a major price spike, a new support area formed near the buy stop-loss level and resistance near the take-profit level. The price tested this resistance area several times but failed to break through decisively. This indicates strong selling pressure in this area and could signal that the market is not yet ready to continue rising. On the other hand, the support area appears strong enough to withstand downward pressure, indicating buyers are maintaining their positions below.

My open buy position on EURUSD hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $3.60. Looking at the EURUSD movement on the 15-day moving average (TF), it briefly dropped to 1.1527, but buyers are currently in control of the EURUSD as it remains firmly above the 200-day moving average (MA).

Posts: 22543 · #2994 - August 05, 2025, 11:58:14 PM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on August 05, 2025, 12:49:18 AM

Today I attempted to sell GBPJPY with a stop-loss at 196.28 and a take-profit at 194.68. The initial phase of the GBPJPY chart on the M15 timeframe showed a stable price, but then a gradual and continuing sharp decline occurred. The downward spike was quite sharp and significant, and was likely triggered by strong negative sentiment, both fundamentally and technically. The price action in this chart supports seller dominance. There are no strong or significant reversal patterns visible that could indicate a trend change.

My open sell position on GBPJPY hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $6.15. Looking at GBPJPY's movement on the M15 timeframe, it's trending upwards and is currently above the 200-day moving average (MA200), indicating a potential rise in GBPJPY, which could lead to a buy opportunity.

Posts: 22543 · #2995 - August 06, 2025, 12:01:08 AM

Quote from: Ikhtiar on August 05, 2025, 01:02:20 AM

Today I attempted to sell USDCAD with a stop-loss at 1.3789 and a take-profit at 1.3750. USCAD on the M15 timeframe. Overall, the price trend in this chart indicates seller dominance. This is evident from the sharp price decline after peaking, then remaining below the 200-day moving average (MA). The support and resistance structures on the chart are also quite clear. The resistance area is located around the MA line and at the stop-loss level determined for sell positions.

My open sell position on USCAD hit my stop-loss, resulting in a loss of $1.60. I'll monitor USDCAD's movement today, as it's still below the 200-day moving average (MA200), and there's still room for further declines.

Posts: 22543 · #2996 - August 06, 2025, 05:36:01 AM

Today I attempted to buy EURUSD with a stop-loss at 1.1561 and a non-profit at 1.1594. The EURUSD chart on the M15 timeframe shows that the price experienced downward pressure, then began to form a gradual recovery pattern with higher lows and higher highs. Although a truly strong uptrend is not yet visible, the breakout from the previous consolidation area and the price now above the moving averages are early indications that buyer strength is beginning to emerge. The market structure is starting to form a higher base, and this strengthens the possibility that the short-term trend is likely bullish.

Posts: 22543 · #2997 - August 06, 2025, 05:38:11 AM

Today I attempted to buy GBPUSD with a stop-loss at 11.3285 and a take-profit at 1.3322. On the M15 timeframe, GBPUSD didn't show any major reversal patterns like bearish engulfing patterns or pin bars, which would indicate significant selling pressure. Instead, bullish candlesticks were dominant, especially around minor support areas. This indicates that buyers are still actively maintaining momentum. Although a small correction appears at the end of the chart, this is still considered normal and doesn't signal a strong reversal.

Posts: 22543 · #2998 - August 06, 2025, 05:40:55 AM

Today I attempted to sell Gold with a stop-loss at 3378.84 and a take-profit at 3366.14. Gold on the M15 timeframe. Trend-wise, the chart shows that the price experienced a very sharp surge, then declined, and is currently testing the moving average area. Previously, the price was moving in a significant upward trend, but after reaching its peak, selling pressure emerged, causing the price to gradually decline.

Posts: 22543 · #2999 - August 06, 2025, 05:43:25 AM

Today I attempted to buy GBPJPY with a stop-loss at 195.96 and a take-profit at 196.51. The previous GBPJPY price movement on the M15 timeframe indicated strong bearish pressure, forming a low around 195.25. However, after reaching this low, the price began to rebound gradually, forming a series of higher highs and higher lows. This price increase indicates buyers' attempt to take control of the market, further reinforced by the breaking of the moving average line from bottom to top. The visible red moving average line also indicates a beginning of an upward turn, signaling a potential bullish trend change.

Posts: 22543 · #3000 - August 06, 2025, 05:46:20 AM

Today I attempted to sell USDCAD with a stop-loss at 1.3780 and a take-profit at 1.3759. On the M15 timeframe, USDCAD price movement shows continued strong seller dominance. This is evident from the price consistently remaining below the red moving average line, which is likely the 200-day moving average (MA). This line shows a fairly clear downward slope, indicating a bearish medium-term trend. Every time the price attempts to rise and approaches the MA line, selling pressure always arises, pushing it back down. This indicates that the area around the moving average is a fairly strong dynamic resistance.