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NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls) in Fundamental_68922e7c602bf

NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls)

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aizafx

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Quote from: Kirinkato on February 08, 2019, 03:37:29 AM
a few years ago I was a trader waiting for the NFP moment every month. but do not know why lately the NFP is not too attractive anymore. after the release of NFP the price moves with a range that is not too far away. what's with NFP?
There are so many factors I think why after news NFP was released but the trend seems in normal movement, first we can analyze whether before news been released the trend or price movement already move in a strong trend, if yes, maybe before news released as big trader already getting leak of data this news, so they start first and not waiting news time, and before news released they already take profit so after news released seems no impact on the market

Second reason also possible because data news that released not differ much with previous news, so no big trader that open transaction based on the news because data not supporting according to their opinion.
#16 - February 10, 2019, 01:24:07 PM

mohammad mmufroil

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Quote from: Fxortrader on February 01, 2019, 01:36:25 PM
The Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics measures changes in the number of workers outside the agricultural sector over a period of one month. This data is an initial indicator of consumer spending and overall economic activity, and is an important consideration for the Fed in determining interest rates.

February 1, 2019: NFP AS, Manufacturing
Last December 2018, NFP increased by 312,000 jobs, far higher than the estimated increase of 179,000 jobs, and the highest since February 2018. The average number of jobs added in the last 3 months was 254,000 jobs per month, higher than the previous month of 189,667 jobs per month.

In December 2018, the most employment increments were medical care personnel (+50,000 jobs), professional labor and business services (+43,000 jobs), manufacturing (+32,000 jobs), retail trade (+24,000 jobs), construction (+38,000 jobs), and food services (+41,000 jobs).

For January 2019, it is estimated that NFP will add 165,000 jobs, while according to ADP Non Farm Employment Change data dated January 30, 2019, NFP will increase 213,000 jobs (release). A higher than expected release will likely cause the USD to strengthen.
if later non-farm payroll data in February is good, the strength of the greenback will be stronger against other major pairs, because the release of nonfarm payroll data can also be fed into the statement of US economic growth.
#17 - February 13, 2019, 05:04:27 PM

Fxortrader

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The BoJ and the ECB will hold the first policy meeting in 2019. In previous analyzes, ACY has approved the central bank's interest rate policy as a driver of currency trends over the past two years.

The movement of the US Dollar versus other G7 currencies has appreciated, along with the widening increase in growth and expectations of US interest rates with other developed countries. Ahead of the BoJ and ECB meetings, the market meets need to return the latest macroeconomic data.

US industrial production last month posted growth of 4% on an annual basis. Eurozone industrial output reversed contraction, while Japanese data still rose.

Seeing weakness in some high-impact data over the past few weeks, it is widely expected for the BoJ and the ECB to increase consideration of growth divergences at their policy meetings.
#18 - February 17, 2019, 06:40:14 AM

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#19 - Today at 03:57:10 PM

Fxortrader

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Last week the US dollar strengthened again relative to many world currencies. The dollar index (ADX) reaches a new monthly high and closes in the positive zone. Demand for US currency remains high. 
Trade negotiations between the US and China are in the spotlight. Chinese President Xi Jinping said that trade negotiations between the US and China will resume next week in Washington. 
The two sides sought to reach an agreement that would prevent tariff increases on Chinese goods after March 1. 
Based on the President's statement, China is ready to resolve economic disputes and try to reach an agreement that satisfies both parties. Investors are looking forward to the publication of minutes of the RBA, ECB and Fed meetings.
#19 - February 18, 2019, 09:05:42 AM

Mulyana

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Quote from: Mohamad Saiful w on February 10, 2019, 10:19:35 AM
I hope this NFP has a huge influence on this USD currency.
can the NFP impact be predicted by analyzing the H1 candle when it will be ahead of its release?
#20 - February 19, 2019, 10:17:53 AM

rinshei

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Quote from: Mulyana on February 19, 2019, 10:17:53 AM
can the NFP impact be predicted by analyzing the H1 candle when it will be ahead of its release?
maybe you can do it sir, but its better to see the nes and we will know what action to make, as for me i always predict the movement more like gamble but its always work for me, but just do it with your own way maybe sir and sometimes like this month nfp dont really have great impact to market i think
#21 - February 20, 2019, 08:35:14 AM

Fxortrader

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This NFP trading strategy is specifically for GBPUSD currency pairs.
on the 15 minute chart
TF 15 chart allows initial volatility to shrink while still opening opportunities for us to capture movement.
big potential when market participants make more rational decisions about whether they will buy or sell based on the NFP news that just came out.
The rational trend that follow after the initial surge is the trend that seeks to be captured by this NFP trading strategy setup.
Pair EURUSD can also be used but because GBPUSD usually has a larger daily range than EURUSD.
then the opportunity is more potential Chart 15 minutes can be replaced by a 5 minute chart but it will be very vulnerable to false signals.
#22 - February 22, 2019, 11:19:36 AM

Fxortrader

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NFP news is postponed for release on Friday the 1st of the 3rd month of 2019. The news that has a big effect now is PMI news. predictions that the USD will weaken ..
#23 - March 01, 2019, 01:30:16 AM

Fxortrader

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New reviews about events in the coming week

At the end of last week, the US dollar recovered some of its losses against the Mayo currency after declining in mid February. The dollar index (#DX) moves away from local lows. demand for the US currency continued after the release of positive statistics on US GDP. Additional support is given by the growth in US government bond income. Financial market players were looking forward to the February US labor market report, as well as the Reserve Bank of Australia, ECB and Bank of Canada meetings.


#24 - March 04, 2019, 07:55:21 AM

Culun

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In connection with the NFP news

American businesses spoke with their underlying results in January hiring new employees since February, removing fears that a 35-day partial closure from the Federal government might have a serious economic impact.

Non-agricultural wages jumped 304,000, the US Labor Department reported on Friday, far surpassing estimates of 165,000. December total adjusted to 222,000 lost 90,000. But even with that revision, the increase in employment in the last quarter averaged 241,000 a month.

The unemployment rate rose 0.1% to 4.0% partly because some government workers who were on leave were counted as unemployed and partly because more people began looking for work.

Manufacturing jobs rose 13,000 to limit the best two years for the factory sector since 1995. Average annual hourly income was steady at 3.2%.
#25 - March 04, 2019, 08:39:30 AM

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#26 - Today at 03:57:10 PM

Fxortrader

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Hallo all member forum Forex.Zone

I want to remind you that today at 13:30 GMT + 00: 00 Non Farm Payroll is taking place on the financial market. This is one of the most anticipated financial releases. In general, this is used as a measure of economic health in the United States.


Financial market participants are awaiting the US Labor Market report, which will be published on March 8 at 3:30 p.m. (GMT + 2: 00). This report must influence the dynamics and balance of power in the major currency pairs. The latest report from the US is rather positive, that is, in February the Customer Trust Index reached 131.4 against expectations of 124.7. Non-industrial PMI increased from 56.7 to 59.7. According to ADP, the number of employees in the non-agricultural industry is estimated at 183,000 to 189,000.

Experts hope that in February the number of non-agricultural employees in the US will be lower than 304 thousand to 180 thousand. The unemployment rate must also be lower than 4% to 3.9%. Average wage growth must reach 0.3%. You must keep an eye on the difference between estimated and real data.
#26 - March 08, 2019, 12:25:15 AM

Alfrians

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eurusd goes up again with a fairly low range


The EUR / USD pair was built on a steady intraday rise and surged to the peak of a new session, around the 1.1235 area after a bad NFP, although it quickly retreated a few pips afterwards.

Details of the latest employment show that the US economy only added 20 thousand new jobs in February, down from a revised reading of 311 thousand last month and worse than consensus estimates pointing to 180 thousand new jobs.

However, a disappointing reading, in large part, was offset by a decline in the unemployment rate to 3.3% from the previous 4.0% and stronger than expected wage growth data, indicating that average hourly earnings rose 0.4% m / m and 3.4% y / y during the reported month.

Better readings of 0.3% m / m and 3.3% y / y levels are expected, which are combined with better-than-expected US housing market data - building permits and housing starts, expanding some support for the US Dollar and limiting all rallies, at least for now.
#27 - March 08, 2019, 10:49:59 PM

Fxortrader

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Quote from: Alfrians on March 08, 2019, 10:49:59 PM
eurusd goes up again with a fairly low range


The EUR / USD pair was built on a steady intraday rise and surged to the peak of a new session, around the 1.1235 area after a bad NFP, although it quickly retreated a few pips afterwards.

Details of the latest employment show that the US economy only added 20 thousand new jobs in February, down from a revised reading of 311 thousand last month and worse than consensus estimates pointing to 180 thousand new jobs.

However, a disappointing reading, in large part, was offset by a decline in the unemployment rate to 3.3% from the previous 4.0% and stronger than expected wage growth data, indicating that average hourly earnings rose 0.4% m / m and 3.4% y / y during the reported month.

Better readings of 0.3% m / m and 3.3% y / y levels are expected, which are combined with better-than-expected US housing market data - building permits and housing starts, expanding some support for the US Dollar and limiting all rallies, at least for now.
unpleasant results from the NFP news release.

efect is not too big influence on the euro zone
#28 - March 08, 2019, 11:04:24 PM

ASHfx

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Quote from: Fxortrader on March 08, 2019, 11:04:24 PM
unpleasant results from the NFP news release.

efect is not too big influence on the euro zone
Yesterday's NFP results were very unexpected to friends.
this number is very low compared to before. only 20K, very different from last month's 311K.

The effect can be said to have no effect.
#29 - March 09, 2019, 03:01:14 PM
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Fxortrader

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Quote from: ASHfx on March 09, 2019, 03:01:14 PM
Yesterday's NFP results were very unexpected to friends.
this number is very low compared to before. only 20K, very different from last month's 311K.

The effect can be said to have no effect.
Absolutely, no influence at all news that was released for EURUSD on Friday last until the market closure.
#30 - March 09, 2019, 04:36:35 PM
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