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Japan: Export Data Released BY Downhill Consecutive in 3 Months

Does the Economic Slowdown Also Begin to Hit it Japan?

The value of Japanese exports fell in February 2019. This means that, in the third consecutive month, Sakura's exports fell. Not only exports, Japanese imports also declined.

This condition raises concerns about the sluggish economy in the country with the third largest economy in the world.

According to a Japanese government report reported by AFP on Monday (03/18/2019), Japanese exports in February 2019 fell 1.2%, while imports fell deeper, namely 6.7%.

"There are concerns about the condition of the world economy and weak demand from the IT sector," said economist from the Mizuho Research Institute, Asuka Sakamoto.

This weak import raises fears of falling demand from companies in Japan. These companies are feared to reduce production.

Analysts closely monitor data on export performance and company investment, as clues to future economic health issues.
#16 - March 19, 2019, 05:40:15 AM

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DATA CORE RETAIL SALES AND RATAIL SALES AS BECOME A MARKET ACTION FOCUS

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the US central bank was "not in a hurry" to change interest rates again because it oversees how the slowing global economy affects local conditions in the US.

Other movers come from the Core Retails Sales and Retail Sales Sales data report which will be released at 19.30 WIB which has the potential to become a gold driver.

Market Movers Today



Movement Potential

GOLD

Gold prices potentially move up to test resistance levels in 1306-1309 because the dollar is pressured by the release of reported labor data that is lower than expected. But the gold price has the potential to get testing pressure support 1290 - 1285 because of the statement of Fed chairman Jerome Powell who will not rush to cut interest rates.

OIL

Oil prices have the potential to move up to test resistance levels at 57.00 - 57.30 because it is supported by Saudi Arabia's oil minister's statement that OPEC + will not change policy until June. Support for oil prices is at the level of 55.50 - 55.20.

EURUSD

EURUSD has the potential to move up to test resistance levels at 1.1300 - 1.1350 if the release of euro zone data is released higher than estimated. EURUSD support is at the level of 1.1180 - 1.1150.

GBPUSD

GBPUSD has the potential to move down to test the level of 1.2900 - 1.2850 because the ambiguity of the Brexit outlook still remains a pressure on GBPUSD. GBPUSD resistance is in the range of 1.3050 - 1.3100.

USDJPY

The dollar, which is pressured by employment data and risky markets which are under pressure, has the potential to pressure the USDJPY to move down to test the support level at 110.50 - 110.00. Failure to break the support level has a chance to make USDJPY test resistance level at 111.50 - 112.00.

AUDUSD

AUDUSD has the potential to move up to test the resistance level at 0.7070 - 0.7120 in the short term as long as it continues to move above the level of support at 0.7000 - 0.6950.


Full economic data releases can be seen in the Economic Calendar
Disappointment at the latest wage data could trigger sterling sales when markets remain vigilant about developments related to Brexit. The market may test the 1.3250 (daily) exchange rate. If the price breaks below, it looks like the 1.3200 level is unavoidable.
If the published data gives a positive surprise, GBP / USD can extend the recovery period and test the resistance level 1.3300.
The planned data publication appears in about an hour from the time this article was written, will show data in February. Increasing demand for repeated claims for unemployment benefits will eventually lead to an increase in unemployment.
#17 - March 19, 2019, 10:09:18 AM

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PERDANA MENTRI BRITAIN, WILL MEET CORBYN DANGER OF OBSTACLES OF BREXIT, GBPUSD STRENGTHS TO 1.3171


GBPUSD rose sharply in the European session on Wednesday (3/4/2019) after the news came out there would be a compromise between Prime Minister Theresa May and Labor leader Jeremy Corbyn regarding the obstacles that led to parliament's rejection of the Brexit agreement.

After three agreements with the European Union rejected by parliament, Theresa May finally decided to offer talks with opposition leader Jeremy Corbyn to ensure regular and negotiated departures from the European Union. The Labor Party, the opposition so far has been hard against the contents of the agreement.

Corbyn's position is that permanent customs union with the EU is a prerequisite for Brexit, which represents the best guarantee that trade with the EU will continue without friction. May and his party, the conservative party rejected Corbyn's stand and considered this permanent customs negating the independence of British trade policy, the main reason Britain wanted to leave the European Union.

This development provides relief to market participants because it signals the progress of the departure process faster.

#18 - April 03, 2019, 10:12:18 AM

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Brexit talks between teams led by Prime Minister Theresa May as leader of the Conservative Party and Labor opposition leader Jeremy Corbyn are scheduled to continue on Monday despite a Labor statement last Friday that the Conservative government has not offered to compromise on one of its main problems .

With waning optimism, the focus turned to the European Council's emergency Brexit summit on Wednesday. EU leaders signaled that it would not give an extension of Brexit time longer as PM May requested unless accompanied by detailed plans.

With the remaining time to extend until April 12, Britain will likely leave without agreement on Friday, although only a few in the British media expect such results.
#19 - April 08, 2019, 12:08:24 PM

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Brexit talks between teams led by Prime Minister Theresa May as leader of the Conservative Party and Labor opposition leader Jeremy Corbyn are scheduled to continue on Monday despite a Labor statement last Friday that the Conservative government has not offered to compromise on one of its main problems .

With waning optimism, the focus turned to the European Council's emergency Brexit summit on Wednesday. EU leaders signaled that it would not give an extension of Brexit time longer as PM May requested unless accompanied by detailed plans.

With the remaining time to extend until April 12, Britain will likely leave without agreement on Friday, although only a few in the British media expect such results.
Is good news , 
#20 - April 08, 2019, 01:23:25 PM

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important economic news that will be released on ink week.

On Monday, it will calm down. There are no plans to publish important economic reports.

On Tuesday, financial market players will assess important economic releases:

- Minutes of the RBA meeting at 04:30 (GMT + 3: 00);
- Labor market reports in the UK at 11:30 (GMT + 3: 00);
- German economic sentiment index from ZEW at 12:00 (GMT + 3: 00).


On Wednesday, events will also be fulfilled:

- Consumer price index in New Zealand at 1:45 (GMT + 3: 00);
- Japan's trade balance at 02:50 (GMT + 3: 00);
- GDP and industrial production data in China at 05:00 (GMT + 3: 00);
- Consumer price index in the UK at 11:30 (GMT + 3: 00);
- Consumer price index in the Euro zone at 12:00 (GMT + 3: 00);
- Inflation report in Canada at 15:30 (GMT + 3: 00).

On Thursday, pay attention to the following statistics on Thursday:

- Changes to employment in Australia at 04:30 (GMT + 3: 00);
- Economic activity index in Germany and the Eurozone at 10:30 (GMT + 3: 00) and 11:00 (GMT + 3: 00) respectively;
- Reports on retail sales in the UK at 11:30 (GMT + 3: 00);
- Statistics of retail sales in the US and Canada at 15:30 (GMT + 3: 00);
- Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index at 15:30 (GMT + 3: 00).

On Friday, in connection with the Good Friday warning, major global financial markets will close. Trading activity and volatility may decrease.

At 15:30 (GMT + 3: 00) will be published US real estate market statistics.
#21 - April 15, 2019, 07:06:46 AM

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important economic news that will be released on ink week.

On Monday, it will calm down. There are no plans to publish important economic reports.

On Tuesday, financial market players will assess important economic releases:

- Minutes of the RBA meeting at 04:30 (GMT + 3: 00);
- Labor market reports in the UK at 11:30 (GMT + 3: 00);
- German economic sentiment index from ZEW at 12:00 (GMT + 3: 00).


On Wednesday, events will also be fulfilled:

- Consumer price index in New Zealand at 1:45 (GMT + 3: 00);
- Japan's trade balance at 02:50 (GMT + 3: 00);
- GDP and industrial production data in China at 05:00 (GMT + 3: 00);
- Consumer price index in the UK at 11:30 (GMT + 3: 00);
- Consumer price index in the Euro zone at 12:00 (GMT + 3: 00);
- Inflation report in Canada at 15:30 (GMT + 3: 00).

On Thursday, pay attention to the following statistics on Thursday:

- Changes to employment in Australia at 04:30 (GMT + 3: 00);
- Economic activity index in Germany and the Eurozone at 10:30 (GMT + 3: 00) and 11:00 (GMT + 3: 00) respectively;
- Reports on retail sales in the UK at 11:30 (GMT + 3: 00);
- Statistics of retail sales in the US and Canada at 15:30 (GMT + 3: 00);
- Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index at 15:30 (GMT + 3: 00).

On Friday, in connection with the Good Friday warning, major global financial markets will close. Trading activity and volatility may decrease.

At 15:30 (GMT + 3: 00) will be published US real estate market statistics.
Wednesday and Thursday a lot of important news will be released, I hope the news has a positive impact on the USD.
#22 - April 16, 2019, 07:24:31 AM

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MNUCHIN EXPECTS 'SUBSTANTIAL PROGRESS' IN SPEAKING OF CHINA TRADE


US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said on Tuesday that he hoped to make "substantial progress" with Chinese negotiators in the next two rounds of trade talks, as the two largest economies in the world sought ways to end their bruising trade war.

Mnuchin spoke in Beijing, where he and US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer will hold talks this week, before China's Deputy Prime Minister Liu He goes to Washington next week for another round of negotiations, at the end of negotiations.

We had a meeting here, and then the deputy prime minister and the team will return to Washington D.C., and we hope to make great progress in these two meetings, Mnuchin told reporters.

Beijing and Washington have cited progress on issues including forced intellectual property and technology transfer to help end the conflict marked by high tariffs that have cost billions of dollars to both sides, disrupted supply chains and shook financial markets
#23 - April 30, 2019, 02:43:59 PM

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Gold price has given up some of its gains after better than expected Chinese economic numbers. The People Bank of China has been providing its full support for the economy and this backing has saved the day for China. However, the economic data did show that the Chinese economic growth has slowed to the weakest pace since 1992. The Chinese GDP q/q number of 6.2% clearly shows that the on going trade war has left a massive dent in the economic growth of the country. Having said this, the factory output and retail sales numbers have beaten estimates and this has brought some risk on appetite among investors.
Despite this, the gold price is still trading near the highest level in nearly six years and I do not think that the trend isn’t going to change anytime soon because the Fed has once again adopted the loose monetary policy. The Fed is under pressure to cut the interest rate this year in order to support inflation and this means weaker dollar.
As for the big bets, money managers have scaled back their positions in gold. According to the recent CFTC data, bullish bets dropped to 24,021 from a previous level of 217,142. This is despite the fact that geopolitical tensions are still high. France, Germany and the UK have increased pressure on Iran to act responsively in relation to its commitment (made back in 2015 about the international nuclear agreement).
#24 - July 15, 2019, 09:57:09 AM

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after the U.S. President Donald Trump provides more negative comments on trade deals. The USDJPY has the chance to move down to test the levels of 108.90 - 108.60. USDJPY resistance is in the range 109.50 - 109.80.
#25 - November 11, 2019, 05:11:26 AM

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The U.S. dollar was trading close to one-month lows on Wednesday when U.S. President Donald Trump warned a trade deal with China won't return till when the 2020 presidential election and vulnerable to step up his trade war with alternative nations.

The U.S. dollar index against a basket of six major currencies was at 97.6 by 03:47 AM ET (08:47 GMT), shortly from the lows of 97.55 reached on Nov. 18.

Trump's statement Tuesday that he had "no deadline" for an agreement with China hurt sentiment as world trade frictions have already hit the economic process, with several economies troubled to search out their footing.

Trump's comments on trade earlier within the week had already spooked investors.

On Monday, he said he would hit Brazil and Argentina with trade tariffs for "massive devaluation of their currencies".

The president then vulnerable duties of up to 100% on French merchandise, from champagne to purses, attributable to a digital services tax that Washington says harms U.S. school firms.

U.S. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross on Tuesday said that whereas staff-level talks are continued with Chinese officers, no high-level conferences are regular.

If there's no deal or substantial progress in talks before Dec. 15, tariffs on remaining Chinese imports, as well as cell phones, laptop computers, and toys, can become, Ross said.

"Expectations for a U.S.-China trade deal are weakening, and dollar/yen has broken its support levels, that the bias is tipped to the draw back," said Takuya Kanda, chief of analysis at Gaitame.com analysis Institute in Edo.

"More tariffs would push dollar/yen lower still."

Market analysts said the dollar might solely weaken well if U.S. economic knowledge showed a pointy declaration and expectations of rate cuts grew sharply. money market futures are informinged to a rate cut of 1 quarter purpose by next July.

The dollar stood at 108.48 versus the yen, its lowest since November. 21, whereas the dollar was at 0.9856 against nation monetary unit, grade not seen since November. 4.

Both the japanese and Swiss currencies tend to be sought-after by investors as safe-haven assets throughout times of heightened political tensions or market uncertainty.

The monetary unit was very little modified close to one-and-a-half week highs against the dollar at one.1085.

The biggest beneficiary of the slide within the dollar was British pound, that climbed 0.5% to a contemporary six-month high of 1.3059.

Sterling has been boosted by U.K. opinion polls showing that Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s conservative party is probably going to win Dec. 12 elections paving the way for Great Britain to depart the European Union in January. 31.
#26 - December 04, 2019, 11:04:27 AM

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The greenback and export-oriented currencies found support on Thursday as upbeat trade comments from U.S. President Donald Trump cheered the market, whereas New Zealand's softer-than-expected banking reforms pushed the kiwi to a four-month high.

The flight to safety seen on Wed reversed when Trump said trade talks with China were going "very well," daily when floating the thought that a deal might need to attend till after the 2020 presidential election.

Bloomberg additionally according that the 2 sides are moving nearer to an agreement, citing people familiar with the talks.

That took the shine off the safe-haven yen and Swiss franc, which nursed losses on Thursday.

"Another day, another reversal of what happened the previous day," aforesaid National Australia Bank's head FX contriver, Ray Attrill.

"I thought the markets had stopped enjoying headline ping- stink on trade, however apparently not."

Despite the swing, prevailing caution regarding high-level comments on trade unbroken market moves modestly. The U.S. dollar command nightlong gains against the safe-haven Japanese yen and Swiss franc to sit down at 108.79 yen and 0.9877 francs . it absolutely was steady on the euro at $1.1082 (EUR=).

Against a basket of currencies (DXY) the dollar held at 97.588.

The British pound crossed the $1.31 mark for the primary time since might nightlong as expectations that Prime Minister Boris Johnson would win a majority at next week's election firmed.

Sterling last listed at $1.3108. The dollar slipped 0.2% to $0.6838 when softer-than-expected retail sales information.

The standout was the kiwi, that rose 0.4% to $0.6555, its highest since August, and has placed on over a cent on as business sentiment there has rebounded and expectations for financial loosening have fallen.

The Federal Reserve Bank of recent Zealand upraised bank capital necessities, however not the maximum amount as some investors had feared, and with a protracted interval, reducing expectations that fiscal easing may be required to offset the hike's alteration effects.

Against the Australian, the kiwi has gained over three-dimensional during a month to face at a four-month high of NZ$1.0457 per A$1 (AUDNZD=).

The long, seven-year phase-in and modest scale of hiked bank capital rules were seen as having a softer impact on loaning and growth than expected, reducing the chance of deeper financial easing.

The country's biggest investor, Australia, and New Seeland Banking cluster, cut its expectations for cuts to the country's Official money Rate (OCR) next year from 2 reductions to 1 when the capital necessities were declared.

"A softening within the proposals, combined with an additional positive domestic outlook...mean we tend to are ever-changing our OCR decision to just one additional 25bp OCR cut, in might next year, taking the OCR to zero.75%," ANZ analysts said in an emailed note.

The dollar hit a one-month high of $1.3203 per buck when the country's financial institution command interest rates steady and said there have been signs the world economy was stabilizing.
#27 - December 05, 2019, 03:36:27 AM

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U.S. dollar Unchanged previous Job Report

The U.S. dollar was unchanged on Fri in Asia as traders anticipated the discharge of the newest U.S. job report, which is due at 8:30 AM ET (13:30 GMT).

The U.S. dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of alternative currencies was unchanged at ninety seven.380 by 1:30 AM ET (05:30 GMT).

Analysts half-track by investment.com expects the duty report back to show the economy an additional 186,000 jobs in Nov, up from 128,000 jobs in October and 155,00 jobs in Nov 2018. The percentage is projected to carry steady at 3.6%, unchanged from October and down slightly from December 2018.

Traders additionally unbroken an eye fixed out for the newest development on the Sino-U.S. trade front as U.S. President Donald Trump same "something may happen" on whether or not Washington can impose new tariffs on Chinese merchandise beginning Dec. 15.

Trump same on Thursday that negotiations with China are going "very well," only 1 day when he same an agreement to finish the trade dispute might need to be delayed till after the yankee presidential election in Nov 2020.

The USD/CNY combine listed 0.1% lower to 7.0417.

The EUR/USD combine was very little modified at 1.1102 as knowledge on Thursday showed that German mill orders unexpectedly declined in October.

The GBP/USD combine was additionally close to flat at 1.3156. Reports on instructed that U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson may win a majority at next week's election, paving the way for Britain to go away the European Union in January. 31.

The USD/JPY combine slipped 0.1% to 108.68.

Meanwhile, the AUD/USD combine and therefore the NZD/USD pair each gained 0.2%.
#28 - December 07, 2019, 03:15:00 AM

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Pound Rally Passes euro Milestone as Polls Back Conservatives


The pound strong Mon to a contemporary two-and-a-half year high against the euro, as weekend opinion polls continuing to purpose to a win for the ruling Conservatives during this week’s election.

The currency additionally rose against the dollar when polls in Britain’s Sunday newspapers all swing Boris Johnson’s party within the lead. though the gap between the parties has narrowed throughout the campaign, it's not enough to stay the Conservatives from returning to power on. The weekend surveys spurred buying by European investors, in line with traders.

“The pound is rallying once more when markets well-nigh totally discount a decent Tory majority,” wrote Elsa Lignos, international head of currency strategy at Royal Bank of Canada, in a very analysis note. “Friday can show whether or not that was a decent strategy or not.”

As well as gaining 0.3% to 83.93 pence per euro, it additionally additional the maximum amount as 0.3% against the dollar to $1.3181 Monday. The pound has strong 3-dimensional against the U.S. currency over the past month, as investors grow progressively assured of a win for Johnson within the Dec vote. Still, the price of hedging against a fall within the pound has additionally surged because the election looms, showing lingering caution following the failure of most opinion polls to accurately predict previous votes like the 2016 Brexit vote.

The spot rate for the pound-dollar combine continues to diverge with choices, as two-week risk reversals show raised demand to hedge an sudden outcome from Thursday’s ballot. A Bloomberg survey last month found the pound would fall to $1.27 on a Labour-led coalition outcome, a quite 3-dimensional drop from current levels.

Positioning on the currency additionally remains mixed, with leveraged funds dynamical short positions to rock bottom since could whereas plus managers have turned a lot of bearish on the currency, in line with the newest information from the artifact Futures trading Commission.

“The scope for surprise at this week’s election is sizeable,” wrote Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) strategists together with Alain Durre in a very analysis note. “The share of voters that are still undecided- thus late within the campaign- implies that even alittle swing in this slice of the citizens would cause a decorated parliament.”
#29 - December 09, 2019, 04:48:11 PM

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U.S. Dollar, euro close to Flat as Traders look central bank conferences

The U.S. greenback and therefore the euro was very little modified on Mon in Asia as traders look central bank conferences due later on.

The U.S. greenback Index was very little modified at ninety seven.685 by 11:57 PM ET (03:57 GMT). The FRS is predicted to stay rates steady on Wed on at the conclusion of its policy meeting. The Fed has cut rates 3 times this year to protect the U.S. economy from world retardation.

After the last rate cut, in October, Fed Chair theologiser Powell aforementioned each the economy and policy were in a very "good place" and indicated that policymakers saw no need to chop rates more.

"I assume they're feeling specialized straight away that they’ve determined to place this issue on pause,” aforementioned Tom Porcelli, chief U.S. economic expert at blood cell Capital Markets in the big apple.

On the info front, The yank client worth inflation figures are due on before the Fed meeting, that is expected to point out inflation running at a pair of, whereas retail sales numbers on Friday are forecast to point out the growth of 0.4%.

The USD/CNY combine last listed at seven.0329, up 0.01%, once knowledge showed the country’s exports born 1.1% year-on-year in Nov, compared with the expected 1.0% enlargement.

Meanwhile, the EUR/USD combine was conjointly close to flat at one.1055. Christine Lagarde can hold her initial meeting and press conference as European central bank (ECB) president on a weekday.

The ECB isn't expected to create any vital amendment to financial policy. However, traders pay attention to Lagarde’s wordings for her thoughts on the financial policy outlook, the economy, and a future strategy review.

The GBP/USD combine inched up 0.1% to 1.3143 as traders continued to look a U.K. election on which will confirm the course of Brexit.

The USD/JPY combine was unchanged at 108.57.

The AUD/USD combine and therefore the NZD/USD pair each slipped 0.1%.
#30 - December 10, 2019, 02:05:30 AM

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