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Hallo Traders

Tonight there will be a meeting of the FOMC. The market believes that the Fed will stop raising interest rates for the time being. And the question is what the central bank will do with the $ 4 trillion of bonds left on the balance sheet. The possibility will be focused on Wednesday when the Federal Open Market Committee releases a note from the January meeting. At the meeting, Chairman Jerome Powell and other committee members explained that they would be "patient" with the increase in interest rates and that for now the policy tightening would be suspended. What would happen to this issue should we monitor the movement of the Dollar Index

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#1 - February 20, 2019, 03:24:26 AM

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NEWS BREXIT.

British Prime Minister Theresa May be threatened with overthrow. The British mass media, the Sunday Times reported, plans came from the May cabinet itself.
key ministers added to overthrow May in the next few days, due to Brexit vagueness.

The Sunday Times said 11 senior ministers had agreed to overthrow May.
The end is imminent, he will resign in 10 days said one Cabinet minister may not be approved by his name.

De facto deputy May David Lidington is the strongest candidate to be appointed as interim prime minister. But there are names of other ministers who also received support, namely Environment Minister Michael Gove or Foreign Minister Jeremy Hunt.

The newspaper said the cabinet would be brought in tomorrow on Monday. If he refuses to step down, these ministers refuse to resign.

Meanwhile, Mail on Sunday reported that Gove was a consensus candidate among ministers who believed that Lidington was too pro-EU. Except for members agreeing to Euroceptic, they also expressed skepticism about Gove.

The Sunday Telegraph said that former education minister Nicky Morgan, who chose to remain in the EU, was very popular among several members who were pro-going. He is quite famous as a "candidate for unity" for May candidates.

May's office itself declined to comment on the report. Ladbrokes said, currently, there is a 20% chance that May will leave at the end of this month.

As is known, in accordance with the legal provisions, Brexit will be held on March 29, before May holds talks with the European Union to get Brexit.

If approved by England, an agreement made with the British government with the European Union, the date of separation will be postponed until May 22. But if approved, then the withdrawal agreement, then the European Union will shorten the period of UK withdrawal to April 12.
#2 - March 24, 2019, 11:38:34 AM

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Theresa May said she would step down as UK Prime Minister if the Brexit agreement she made with the European Union was supported by lawmakers at Westminster. So far the parliament has rejected the voting agreement in parliament twice, although May has revised it.

He made the announcement in a final effort to persuade his Conservative party MPs to support him. Some parliamentarians from his party rejected the agreement so that May lost to voting.

Speaking at the 1922 Committee meeting, Mrs. May said he would not lead the next phase of the Brexit negotiations.

Mrs May "will leave if an agreement is reached," said a member of parliament, who declined to be named.

Another Conservative lawmaker said that while Mrs May did not give a date, the impression was that she would leave "as soon as possible".

The third Conservative lawmaker said Mrs May told the meeting that she would submit to a successor to negotiate the next stage of Brexit.
#3 - March 28, 2019, 05:27:22 AM

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BRITISH AND WORLD PARTIES CONTINUE SPEAKING ABOUT BREXIT


The Conservative Party, the ruling party in Britain and the Labor Party will hold further talks on Brexit on Thursday, after lawmakers spawned a law that would legally rule out Brexit, which has no agreement with just one vote.

Prime Minister Theresa May said she wanted to secure the Brexit approach with Labor leader Jeremy Corbyn ahead of next week's European Union summit, where she said she would ask for a delay for the scheduled release by Britain of the European Union on April 12.

During this extension, May will seek to pass the necessary legislation before May 23, so the UK does not need to take part in European parliamentary elections.

However, there is speculation on both sides about whether Thursday's negotiations will be successful, according to sources from the Times. The reason is that the European Union has stressed that there will be no extension after April 12, unless the British parliament ratifies the May agreement with the European Union where it has been rejected three times by the parliament.
#4 - April 04, 2019, 12:50:04 PM

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News of the latest geopolitical tensions weakened the dollar against the yen as traders preferred to buy a safe haven Japanese yen related to geopolitical tensions on the Korean Peninsula.

The market largely ignored reports that the US and China could sign a trade agreement that was long negotiated in late May or early June. New news from North Korea conducted a trial of firing new tactical guided weapons, the first test since November, alarming market participants.

North Korea has carried out trials testing "new type of tactical guided weapons," state media announced Thursday, in a possible attempt to register displeasure with the nuclear talks which are currently deadlocked with the United States without causing the coveted negotiations to collapse.

The country's leader, Kim Jong Un, took part in observing the process of firing by the Defense Sciences Academy on weapons that were not specified on Wednesday, said the state-run North Korea Central News Agency. Kim reportedly said that "the development of a weapons system serves as a very important event in increasing the combat power of the People's Army."

The USDJPY traded at 111.84, down 0.17 percent or 20 pips from the close of the New York session late Wednesday.
#5 - April 19, 2019, 02:54:21 AM

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SOCIALIST PARTIES WIN THE SPANISH ELECTION, BUT DO NOT ACHIEVE PARLIAMENT MAJORITY


The Spanish Socialist Workers Party won the most seats in parliamentary elections on Sunday but did not reach the majority vote needed to form a self-government.

Based on calculations by the interior ministry with a total of 95% in the meantime, the socialist party led by Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez has won 123 parliamentary seats out of a total of 350. Meanwhile for the Podemos party it has 42 seats, making both parties only 11 seats out of the majority. This means that the bloc of the left-wing party in the country does not yet have an advantage over its right-wing rivals in national elections.

The right-wing conservative People Party (PP) party won only 65 votes, with the center-right party Ciudadanos gaining 57 seats and the other right-wing party Vox gaining 24 seats.

Sanchez requested an election in February. This came after a pro-Catholic independent party, which had previously been a minority supporter of the Sanchez government, joined the right-wing opposition and rejected the government's 2019 budget proposal.

Sanchez has led the government for less than a year. He won power in June 2018 after winning a no-confidence vote from the previous government led by the People Party, under the leadership of Mariano Rajoy. It was the third Spanish national election in four years.

The results of the polls in the past few weeks have consistently stated that Sanchez's socialist party will win a big vote in the election, but it is not enough for the party to govern alone. The poll also showed the presence of a large right-wing party for the first time since it was led by dictator General Francisco Franco, who ruled Spain until his death in 1975.

In a few weeks, if it doesn't drag on for months, the discussion is now expected to run because the opposing parties are trying to form an alliance to create a coalition government.
#6 - April 29, 2019, 02:14:48 AM

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China and US trade issues support the current market movement.
#7 - May 07, 2019, 05:10:34 PM

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The Reuters news agency reported Wednesday that a diplomatic cable from Beijing arrived in Washington on Friday night, with a systematic edit to the draft of a nearly 150-page trade agreement that would disrupt months of negotiations between the world's two largest economies, according to three US government sources and three short private sector sources. in conversation.

The document is full of reversals by China that have damaged the core US demands, the source told Reuters.

In each of the seven chapters of the draft trade agreement, China has erased its commitment to amend the law to resolve the core complaints that caused the United States to launch a trade war: theft of US intellectual property and trade secrets; forced technology transfer; competition policy; access to financial services; and currency manipulation.

Responding to this desperate Chinese action, Donald Trump vowed to raise tariffs on Chinese goods worth $ 200 billion from 10 to 25 percent on Friday this week - scheduled to take place during a visit by Chinese Deputy Prime Minister Liu He to Washington to continue trading talks.

The contents of the diplomatic cable that opposes the US idea strikes directly at the highest priority of US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer - who views changes to Chinese law as important to verify compliance after years of what US officials call a promise of empty reform.

Lighthizer has been pushing hard for law enforcement as it is used for economic sanctions on North Korea or Iran - rather than a typical trade agreement.

"This undermines the core architecture of the agreement," said a Washington-based source familiar with the negotiations
#8 - May 08, 2019, 12:47:50 PM

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the most trending issue this week is the trade war between America and China
#9 - May 23, 2019, 11:29:37 AM

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The Federal Open Meeting Committee (FOMC) is a board of policy meetings of the United States central bank. While the FOMC Meeting is a formal meeting between the top officials of the Fed which aims to discuss the latest economic outlook and future plans for US monetary policy. For the year 2019, Fed Chair Jerome Powell confirmed that he would always include a press conference at each monetary policy release. However, not all releases will be accompanied by a summary of economic projections.
#10 - May 24, 2019, 02:05:20 PM

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May's resignation has been widely discussed since the beginning of the week, so Pound Sterling traders have anticipated it. In fact, May's decision was warmly welcomed because it closed a period that was clearly over, while opening a period of new brexit negotiations that might produce better results. However, this does not necessarily erase the uncertainty surrounding the GBP.
#11 - May 25, 2019, 06:39:31 AM

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China criticized US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo for making rumors that Huawei's Chief Executive had lied about Huawei and China's government relations.
On the other hand, the weakness of a series of US economic data announced last week is increasingly alarming. Many people suspect that this is an impact of trade feuds with China. Thus, there is a possibility that the Fed must re-consider the policy of cutting interest rates. US monthly Durable Goods Oorders data are down to -2.1 percent in April 2019, lower than expectations of -2.0 percent. Whereas before, the data reached 1.7 percent. While the Core Durable Goods, which have more influence on the US Dollar, stagnated at 0.0 percent, down from the previous period at 0.3 percent.
#12 - May 27, 2019, 09:15:41 AM

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It is estimated that labor conditions in the US are still solid, but this data is expected to be the determinant of the Fed's next policy outlook. Because the Fed Chair Jerome Powell had said before that the Fed would be cautious and more patient in changing monetary policy.
#13 - June 07, 2019, 02:04:26 PM

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US-China Agrees to Restart Trade Talks
The United States and China agreed to restart trade negotiations, after a meeting between Trump and president Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the Osaka G20 Summit on Saturday (29 / June) morning local time. The news of the cease-fire of the US-China trade war this weekend was welcomed positively by the business community, and has the potential to catapult interest in market participants early in the week.
At the beginning of the conversation, President Xi told Trump that he hoped the United States could treat Chinese companies fairly. But regarding the issue of economic sovereignty and respect for the country, China (still) must maintain its core interests. "Cooperation and dialogue are better than friction and confrontation," said president Xi.
#14 - June 30, 2019, 11:09:49 PM

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The Australian central bank (RBA) said it was ready to relax monetary policy again if needed to help drive labor growth and trigger higher inflation, according to RBA Governor Philip Lowe, Tuesday (07/02/2019) a few hours after the monetary policy meeting's press conference decided to reduce interest rates to the lowest level in Australian history, which is 1 percent.

Lowe said the recent decline in interest rates would help reduce unemployment in Australia. For this reason, he will closely monitor how this policy will affect in the coming months.

Market players have predicted a second decline in interest this year with the AUDUSD plummeting in Monday's trading. At a Tuesday morning press conference, market participants awaited further direction on RBA policy, with expectations of further decline but there was no statement at all from Lowe regarding the prospect of the RBA monetary policy until the afternoon of the Lowe giving an indication of the next direction of RBA policy.
#15 - July 02, 2019, 01:23:03 PM

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